Alert archive / Kentucky / Nelson County

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Nelson County, Kentucky

557 severe thunderstorm warnings since 1986. An alert counts here when it covered this county. The archive of severe thunderstorm warnings reaches back to 1986.

Nelson County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count since 1986. Tap one for its archive.

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings
557
Busiest year
201246 severe thunderstorm warnings
Average year
14over 39 years on file

Over time

By year

Before October 2007 these were issued for whole counties, and a storm crossing three counties was often three warnings; since then one polygon follows the storm. The count changed with the practice, not only with the weather.

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

From 2008 to 2025, 66% of hail, wind and damage reports in Nelson County fell inside a severe thunderstorm warning issued on average 15 minutes before, and 44% of the severe thunderstorm warnings had no report inside them.

Severe thunderstorm warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
2008131023%1050%19 min
200916663%667%14 min
2010231439%580%12 min
2011321456%956%7 min
2012462252%956%12 min
2013181044%450%15 min
201414750%367%24 min
2015281739%1070%23 min
2016271737%875%22 min
2017261735%1573%16 min
2018361850%1553%19 min
20196267%0
202012833%2100%14 min
202110370%475%6 min
2022231152%1060%12 min
2023272026%580%18 min
2024292321%1688%8 min
2025241154%425%0 min

Years from 2008, the first full year of storm-based warnings. The year still running is on its own page.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The latest severe thunderstorm warnings

The most recent on file, newest first.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Aug 16, 7:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMK32 min
Aug 11, 8:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMK23 min
Jul 21, 4:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLMK44 min
Jul 21, 4:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMK30 min
Jul 21, 3:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMK54 min
Jul 21, 3:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMK64 min
Jun 26, 8:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMK48 min
Jun 22, 3:17 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMK28 min
Jun 22, 1:04 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMK41 min
Jun 22, 12:14 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMK46 min
Jun 18, 5:14 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMK31 min
May 22, 9:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMK37 min

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.