Alert archive / Kentucky

Weather alerts in Nelson County, Kentucky

3,452 weather alerts since 1986, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.

Nelson County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count since 1986. Tap one for its archive.

Alerts
3,452
Warnings
966
Watches
597
Advisories
752
Busiest year
2025223 alerts
Average year
86over 40 years on file

Over time

By year

Before late 2005 the archive holds only tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings, and from 1997 SPC's watches, so the jump that year is the archive widening, not the weather.

By month of the year

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

From 2008 to 2023, 67% of tornado reports in Nelson County fell inside a tornado warning issued on average 11 minutes before, and 72% of the tornado warnings had no report inside them.

Tornado warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
20084250%2100%11 min
20116183%0
20127271%0
201310100%0
20152150%0
20172150%0
201850100%0
202010100%10%
20213233%0
20222150%0
202330100%0

Severe thunderstorm warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
2008131023%1050%19 min
200916663%667%14 min
2010231439%580%12 min
2011321456%956%7 min
2012462252%956%12 min
2013181044%450%15 min
201414750%367%24 min
2015281739%1070%23 min
2016271737%875%22 min
2017261735%1573%16 min
2018361850%1553%19 min
20196267%0
202012833%2100%14 min
202110370%475%6 min
2022231152%1060%12 min
2023272026%580%18 min

Flash flood warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
2008330%475%17 min
20102150%0
20114250%0
20122150%0
2013030%
20157529%1100%96 min
2016110%1100%9 min
2017330%4100%42 min
20183167%0
2019440%0
20206433%5100%77 min
2021220%3100%20 min
202220100%0
2023660%2100%64 min

Years from 2008, the first full year of storm-based warnings. The year still running is on its own page.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

By product

Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.

The latest warnings

The most recent on file, newest first.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Aug 16, 7:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMK32 min
Aug 11, 8:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMK23 min
Jul 21, 8:28 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningLMK3 hr
Jul 21, 7:48 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningLMK3 hr
Jul 21, 5:34 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningLMK3 hr
Jul 21, 4:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLMK44 min
Jul 21, 4:40 PM EDTTornado WarningLMK27 min
Jul 21, 4:30 PM EDTTornado WarningLMK30 min
Jul 21, 4:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMK30 min
Jul 21, 3:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMK54 min
Jul 21, 3:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMK64 min
Jul 12, 12:56 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningLMK3 hr

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.