Alert archive / Kansas / Seward County / Tornado Warnings

Tornado Warnings in Seward County, Kansas, 2015

7 tornado warnings in 2015. An alert counts here when it covered this county. The archive of tornado warnings reaches back to 1986.

Seward County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2015. Tap one for its archive.

Tornado Warnings
7
Busiest month
May4 tornado warnings
Busiest day
May 25, 20154 tornado warnings

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

5 of 7 tornado warnings covering Seward County in 2015 had a tornado report inside them; 5 of 9 tornado reports fell inside a warning, on average 24 minutes after it went out.

Seward County, 2015

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
Tornado warnings7529%956%24 min

Each office's whole area, 2015

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
NWS Dodge City, KS: tornado warnings643447%10477%17 min

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Central Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
May 24, 7:49 PM CDTTornado WarningDDC26 min
May 24, 9:03 PM CDTTornado WarningDDC27 min
May 24, 9:27 PM CDTTornado WarningDDC33 min
May 24, 9:57 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedDDC33 min
Nov 16, 5:23 PM CSTTornado WarningDDC37 min
Nov 16, 5:52 PM CSTTornado Warning Tornado observedConsiderable damage threatDDC38 min
Nov 16, 6:05 PM CSTTornado Warning Considerable damage threatDDC40 min

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20142016

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.