Alert archive / Iowa / Winnebago County

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Winnebago County, Iowa

266 severe thunderstorm warnings since 1986. An alert counts here when it covered this county. The archive of severe thunderstorm warnings reaches back to 1986.

Winnebago County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count since 1986. Tap one for its archive.

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings
266
Busiest year
201820 severe thunderstorm warnings
Average year
7over 38 years on file

Over time

By year

Before October 2007 these were issued for whole counties, and a storm crossing three counties was often three warnings; since then one polygon follows the storm. The count changed with the practice, not only with the weather.

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

From 2008 to 2025, 75% of hail, wind and damage reports in Winnebago County fell inside a severe thunderstorm warning issued on average 18 minutes before, and 46% of the severe thunderstorm warnings had no report inside them.

Severe thunderstorm warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
20087357%1182%22 min
20096350%1100%27 min
20109811%1258%23 min
201111464%367%6 min
201212833%3100%7 min
20139367%1100%5 min
20149278%580%24 min
20159544%3100%17 min
201640100%50%
2017131115%9100%15 min
2018201145%6100%14 min
20197186%10%
202011645%1100%17 min
20214250%0
2022171041%367%38 min
20235340%0
202414657%475%22 min
2025161225%367%6 min

Years from 2008, the first full year of storm-based warnings. The year still running is on its own page.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The latest severe thunderstorm warnings

The most recent on file, newest first.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Aug 7, 1:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMX50 min
Aug 7, 1:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMX23 min
Aug 7, 12:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMX29 min
Jun 28, 7:57 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMX48 min
Jun 28, 7:16 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMX44 min
May 17, 9:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatDMX62 min
May 15, 8:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatDMX41 min
May 15, 7:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMX59 min
May 15, 6:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatDMX57 min
Apr 23, 5:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMX40 min
Apr 13, 8:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMX32 min
Apr 13, 8:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatDMX46 min

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.