Alert archive / Illinois / Grundy County

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Grundy County, Illinois

408 severe thunderstorm warnings since 1986. An alert counts here when it covered this county. The archive of severe thunderstorm warnings reaches back to 1986.

Grundy County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count since 1986. Tap one for its archive.

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings
408
Busiest year
201030 severe thunderstorm warnings
Average year
10over 41 years on file

Over time

By year

Before October 2007 these were issued for whole counties, and a storm crossing three counties was often three warnings; since then one polygon follows the storm. The count changed with the practice, not only with the weather.

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

From 2008 to 2025, 77% of hail, wind and damage reports in Grundy County fell inside a severe thunderstorm warning issued on average 29 minutes before, and 41% of the severe thunderstorm warnings had no report inside them.

Severe thunderstorm warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
2008201050%989%37 min
200914564%2100%9 min
2010301840%1173%22 min
2011181328%12100%41 min
2012231439%771%17 min
2013161038%1839%38 min
201412118%1292%29 min
201516944%1856%14 min
201611191%10%
201715847%2100%19 min
201810100%0
20199456%2100%24 min
20207443%989%39 min
202111918%11100%46 min
20229633%2100%11 min
202313931%1182%20 min
20248625%786%28 min
202510730%683%15 min

Years from 2008, the first full year of storm-based warnings. The year still running is on its own page.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The latest severe thunderstorm warnings

The most recent on file, newest first.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Aug 12, 9:03 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLOT46 min
Aug 11, 9:48 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLOT72 min
Aug 10, 12:36 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOT69 min
Aug 9, 11:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLOT70 min
Jul 27, 3:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLOT57 min
Jul 27, 3:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOT64 min
Jul 4, 3:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOT56 min
Jul 3, 2:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOT43 min
Jun 24, 7:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOT56 min
Jun 11, 6:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOT28 min
Jun 10, 3:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLOT71 min
May 18, 10:13 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOT37 min

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.