Alert archive / Arizona / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2026

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 184, NWS Tucson, AZ

August 13, 2026Cochise County, Arizona

NWS Tucson, AZ issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 13, 2026, 2:11 PM MST for Cochise County, Arizona. It was in force for 49 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Aug 13, 2026, 2:11 PM MST (21:11 UTC)
Expired
Aug 13, 2026, 3:00 PM MST
In force
49 min
Issued by
NWS Tucson, AZ
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.5 in
Wind
60.0 mph

County Cochise County, AZ

The radar

The Tucson radar (KEMX), 83 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Phoenix, AZ (KPSR), launched 12:00Z, 9.2 hours before the alert went out and 270 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Phoenix, AZ at 12:00Z on 2026-08-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 70 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Phoenix, AZ at 12:00Z on 2026-08-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 64 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
70 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-100 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1318 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
64 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
55 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 13, 1:15 PM MST, 56 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 13, 1:15 PM MST, 56 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
115 PM MST Thu Aug 13 2026

.SYNOPSIS...

Today scattered showers and thunderstorms with some of the
storms capable to produce brief heavy rain. Drier and hotter
conditions return this weekend with an Extreme Heat Watch issued
for Monday though Wednesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Where there was clearing this morning showers and thunderstorms
have developed. Substantial moisture remains in place with
satellite derived PWATs around 1.3" to 1.7", higher values Tucson
westward and surface dewpoints in the upper 50s to low 60s.
The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) has areas Tucson eastward
in Slight risk for excessive rainfall. The 12Z HREF highlights
this area with a 10-50% chance for greater than 1 inch of
rainfall, in a 3 hour period, with pockets of up to 2 inches
possible. While there is suitable instability in place, the main
concern today is flash flooding. There is a chance a storm or
two could produce gusty to strong outflow winds with small hail.
Rainfall overnight and over the past several days has made the
area highly susceptible for flash flooding thus any more rain
that falls will have a much higher chance to cause impacts.
Temperatures today will be 5 to 7 degrees below normal.

Dry air begins to move into the area beginning tomorrow moving
in across the area through weekend. Enough moisture will be in
place for daily chances for afternoon into the evening showers
and thunderstorms though they will mainly be to the south and
east of Tucson. During this time temperatures begin to gradually
rise eventually pushing high temperatures 5 to 7 degrees above
normal. This will bring HeatRisk to Major for the lower deserts
and Extreme for some locales including Tucson and Safford by
Monday. Due to this, an Extreme Heat Watch has been issued
starting Monday through Wednesday for a majority of Pima county,
Pinal county, and southern Graham and Greenlee counties.
Temperatures begin to cool Thursday and chances for daily
thunderstorms begin to increase.

&&

.AVIATION... Valid through 15/00Z.

Area of showers and isolated thunderstorms with ceiling bases
7-11k ft AGL from KTUS east with gusty erratic winds of 30-40
kts possible with any thunderstorm now through 14/05Z. Outside
of storms SFC winds WLY/NWLY at 8-12 kts with ocnl gusts to 20
kts. SFC winds light and terrain driven between 14/06Z and
14/16Z. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Scattered showers and thunderstorms today with the main concern
being heavy rainfall leading to flash flooding, gusty outflow
winds, and lightning. This system will then draw in drier air
Friday into the weekend resulting in a low- grade monsoon
pattern with chance of storms each day mainly south and east of
Tucson. A little more active monsoon pattern sets in early next
week. Minimum relative humidity will be 20-40 percent today
lowering to around 15-30 percent thereafter. Temperatures will
be below normal today, then warm up again to above normal this.
Outside of thunderstorms, winds terrain driven to around 10 mph
with occasional afternoon gusts to 20 mph.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Extreme Heat Watch from Monday morning through Wednesday
evening for AZZ501-502-504>506-509.

&&

Malarkey

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In the hours before

Local storm report, Aug 13, 8:54 AM MST, 5 hours 17 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
854 AM MST Thu Aug 13 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0312 AM     Flash Flood      12 WSW Tucson           32.13N 111.07W
08/13/2026                   Pima               AZ   911 Call Center

            Dispatch center reported swift water rescue
            near W Jeffrey Road and Mark Rd near Black
            Wash vehicle stuck in standing water. No
            injuries reported.

&&

CLP
Local storm report, Aug 13, 9:44 AM MST, 4 hours 27 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
944 AM MST Thu Aug 13 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0756 AM     Flash Flood      8 SSW Summerhaven       32.33N 110.80W
08/13/2026                   Pima               AZ   County Official

            Pima County Sheriff Office reports a swift
            water rescue on the north end of Sabino
            Canyon performed by bystanders; Minor
            injuries sustained.

&&

MJS
Local storm report, Aug 13, 9:56 AM MST, 4 hours 15 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
956 AM MST Thu Aug 13 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0946 AM     Flash Flood      4 SSW Picture Rocks     32.29N 111.28W
08/13/2026                   Pima               AZ   County Official

            Road closed due to flash flooding at
            intersection of Manville Rd and North
            Reservation Road.

&&

MJS
Local storm report, Aug 13, 1:44 PM MST, 27 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
144 PM MST Thu Aug 13 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0611 AM     Flash Flood      Duncan                  32.74N 109.09W
08/13/2026                   Greenlee           AZ   Law Enforcement

            Delayed report. Video on social media
            showing rushing water over roadways. Water
            took out sections of roadway and exposed
            under roadway culverts. Carlisle Rd and
            Campbell St closed.

&&

JVT
Local storm report, Aug 13, 1:47 PM MST, 24 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
147 PM MST Thu Aug 13 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0611 AM     Flash Flood      1 SW Duncan             32.73N 109.10W
08/13/2026                   Greenlee           AZ   Law Enforcement

            Delayed Report. Video showing running water
            with tree debris on bridge along Fairgrounds
            Rd. Water not overtopping bridge as of
            video. Closed roadway.

&&

JVT
Local storm report, Aug 13, 1:58 PM MST, 13 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
158 PM MST Thu Aug 13 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0502 AM     Flash Flood      3 WSW Marana            32.40N 111.22W
08/13/2026                   Pima               AZ   Fire Dept/Rescue

            Delayed Report. Water rescue at West Avra
            Valley Rd and North Sandario Rd. 5
            individuals rescued from vehicle with no
            injuries.

&&

JVT

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tucson, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 12, 9:58 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryTWCPima28 hr
Aug 12, 11:40 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryTWCPima, Pinal2 hr
Aug 13, 12:28 AM MSTFlash Flood WarningTWCPinal3 hr
Aug 13, 1:49 AM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryTWCPima3 hr
Aug 13, 3:20 AM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatTWCPima3 hr
Aug 13, 8:56 AM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryTWCPima6 hr
Aug 13, 11:19 AM MSTExtreme Heat WatchTWCGraham, Greenlee, Pima, Pinal46 hr
Aug 13, 12:35 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningTWCCochise3 hr
Aug 13, 1:00 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningTWCGraham3 hr
Aug 13, 1:37 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningTWCCochise5 hr
Aug 13, 2:45 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryTWCSanta Cruz3 hr
Aug 13, 2:47 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryTWCPima, Santa Cruz3 hr
Aug 13, 4:38 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningTWCPima3 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arizona, 2026Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.