Alert archive / Arizona / Red Flag Warnings in 2026

Red Flag Warning 6, NWS Tucson, AZ

June 25, 20266 counties in Arizona

NWS Tucson, AZ issued this red flag warning at Jun 25, 2026, 1:27 AM MST for 6 counties in Arizona. It took effect at Jun 27, 2026, 10:00 AM MST. It was in force for 34 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 25, 2026, 1:27 AM MST (08:27 UTC)
In effect from
Jun 27, 2026, 10:00 AM MST
Expired
Jun 28, 2026, 8:00 PM MST
In force
34 hr
Issued by
NWS Tucson, AZ

Counties Cochise County, AZ, Graham County, AZ, Greenlee County, AZ, Pima County, AZ, Pinal County, AZ, Santa Cruz County, AZ

The radar

The Tucson radar (KEMX), 61 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Flgstf/Belemont, AZ (KFGZ), launched 00:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 335 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 00:00Z on 2026-06-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 91 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 00:00Z on 2026-06-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 166 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
91 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-103 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1720 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
166 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
246 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

708 
WWUS85 KTWC 250827
RFWTWC

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
127 AM MST Thu Jun 25 2026

AZZ150>154-260000-
/O.UPG.KTWC.FW.A.0002.260627T1700Z-260629T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KTWC.FW.W.0006.260627T1700Z-260629T0300Z/
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O'odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
127 AM MST Thu Jun 25 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO 8 PM MST
SUNDAY FOR STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY, AND
HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 150, 151, 152, 153, AND
154...

The National Weather Service in Tucson has issued a Red Flag
Warning for strong and gusty winds, low relative humidity, and
high fire danger, which is in effect from 10 AM Saturday to 8 PM
MST Sunday. The Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect.

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zones 150, 151, 152, 153 and 154.

* TIMING...From 10 AM Saturday to 8 PM MST Sunday.

* WINDS...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts 35 to 40 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...10 to 15 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop or are ongoing will have the 
  potential to spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or are expected to develop. A
combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and dry
vegetation will create the potential for rapid and erratic fire
growth.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of the Red Flag Warning for portions of Southeast Arizona.

&&

$$

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7 follow-up statements
631 
WWUS85 KTWC 252003
RFWTWC

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
103 PM MST Thu Jun 25 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO 8 PM MST
SUNDAY FOR STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY, AND
HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 150, 151, 152, 153, AND
154...


AZZ150>154-261300-
/O.CON.KTWC.FW.W.0006.260627T1700Z-260629T0300Z/
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O'odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
103 PM MST Thu Jun 25 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO 8 PM
MST SUNDAY FOR STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY, AND
HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 150, 151, 152, 153, AND
154...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zones 150, 151, 152, 153 and 154.

* TIMING...From 10 AM Saturday to 8 PM MST Sunday.

* WINDS...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts 35 to 40 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...10 to 15 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop or are ongoing will have the 
  potential to spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or are expected to develop. A
combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and dry
vegetation will create the potential for rapid and erratic fire
growth.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of the Red Flag Warning for portions of Southeast Arizona.

&&

$$

Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson
559 
WWUS85 KTWC 260809
RFWTWC

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
109 AM MST Fri Jun 26 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO 8 PM MST
SUNDAY FOR STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY, AND
HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 150, 151, 152, 153, AND
154...

AZZ150>154-261615-
/O.CON.KTWC.FW.W.0006.260627T1700Z-260629T0300Z/
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O'odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
109 AM MST Fri Jun 26 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO 8 PM
MST SUNDAY FOR STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY, AND
HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 150, 151, 152, 153, AND
154...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zones 150, 151, 152, 153 and 154.

* TIMING...From 10 AM Saturday to 8 PM MST Sunday.

* WINDS...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts 35 to 40 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...10 to 15 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop or are ongoing will have the 
  potential to spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or are expected to develop. A
combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and dry
vegetation will create the potential for rapid and erratic fire
growth.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of the Red Flag Warning for portions of Southeast Arizona.

&&

$$

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354 
WWUS85 KTWC 261957
RFWTWC

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
1257 PM MST Fri Jun 26 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO 8 PM MST
SUNDAY FOR STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY, AND
HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 150, 151, 152, 153, AND
154...

AZZ150>154-271300-
/O.CON.KTWC.FW.W.0006.260627T1700Z-260629T0300Z/
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O'odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
1257 PM MST Fri Jun 26 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO 8 PM
MST SUNDAY FOR STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY, AND
HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 150, 151, 152, 153, AND
154...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zones 150, 151, 152, 153 and 154.

* TIMING...From 10 AM Saturday to 8 PM MST Sunday.

* WINDS...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts 35 to 40 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...10 to 15 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop or are ongoing will have the 
  potential to spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or are expected to develop. A
combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and dry
vegetation will create the potential for rapid and erratic fire
growth.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of the Red Flag Warning for portions of Southeast Arizona.

&&

$$

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428 
WWUS85 KTWC 270926
RFWTWC

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
226 AM MST Sat Jun 27 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO 8 PM MST
SUNDAY FOR STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY, AND
HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 150, 151, 152, 153, AND
154...

AZZ150>154-272300-
/O.CON.KTWC.FW.W.0006.260627T1700Z-260629T0300Z/
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O'odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
226 AM MST Sat Jun 27 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
8 PM MST SUNDAY FOR STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY, AND HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 150, 151,
152, 153, AND 154...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zones 150, 151, 152, 153 and 154.

* TIMING...From 10 AM this morning to 8 PM MST Sunday.

* WINDS...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...10 to 15 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop or are ongoing will have the 
  potential to spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or are expected to develop. A
combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and dry
vegetation will create the potential for rapid and erratic fire
growth.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of the Red Flag Warning for portions of Southeast Arizona.

&&

$$

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147 
WWUS85 KTWC 271719
RFWTWC

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
1019 AM MST Sat Jun 27 2026

AZZ150>154-281200-
/O.CON.KTWC.FW.W.0006.000000T0000Z-260629T0300Z/
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O'odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
1019 AM MST Sat Jun 27 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MST SUNDAY FOR
STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY, AND VERY HIGH FIRE
DANGER FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 150, 151, 152, 153, AND 154...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zones 150, 151, 152, 153 and 154.

* TIMING...Until 8 PM MST Sunday.

* WINDS...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...10 to 15 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop or are ongoing will have the 
  potential to spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or are expected to develop. A
combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and dry
vegetation will create the potential for rapid and erratic fire
growth.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of the Red Flag Warning for portions of Southeast Arizona.

&&

$$

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959 
WWUS85 KTWC 280930
RFWTWC

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
230 AM MST Sun Jun 28 2026

AZZ150>154-290300-
/O.CON.KTWC.FW.W.0006.000000T0000Z-260629T0300Z/
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O'odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
230 AM MST Sun Jun 28 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MST THIS EVENING
FOR STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY, AND HIGH FIRE
DANGER FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 150, 151, 152, 153, AND 154...

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire Weather Zones 150, 151, 152, 153 and 154.

* TIMING...Until 8 PM MST this evening.

* WINDS...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...10 to 15 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop or are ongoing will have the 
  potential to spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or are expected to develop. A
combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and dry
vegetation will create the potential for rapid and erratic fire
growth.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of the Red Flag Warning for portions of Southeast Arizona.

&&

$$

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409 
WWUS85 KTWC 290300
RFWTWC

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
800 PM MST Sun Jun 28 2026


AZZ150>154-290400-
/O.EXP.KTWC.FW.W.0006.000000T0000Z-260629T0300Z/
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O'odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
800 PM MST Sun Jun 28 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS, LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY, AND HIGH FIRE DANGER FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
150, 151, 152, 153, AND 154...

While the Red Flag Warning has expired, elevated to near critical
fire weather conditions are expected Monday and Tuesday. 

$$

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Jun 24, 1:41 PM MST, 11 hours 46 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 24, 1:41 PM MST, 11 hours 46 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
141 PM MST Wed Jun 24 2026

.SYNOPSIS...
Chance of thunderstorms south and east of Tucson today through
Thursday, with dry conditions returning Friday into the
weekend. High temperatures will be several degrees above normal
through the work week, resulting in moderate to major HeatRisk.
Breezy southwest winds during the afternoon and evening Friday
through Monday result in near critical fire weather conditions.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Much of the virga/light shower activity from this morning has
moved north/northeastward and/or dissipated this early
afternoon. Showers have begun to build in the Huachuca
Mountains near Sierra Vista, with minimal activity elsewhere.
The latest HRRR run keeps the storm activity mainly areas south
and east of Tucson, with the metro on the outer fringes of
chances. With the dry low levels and DCAPE of 1400-1600 J/kg,
the greatest impacts with the storms continue to be the wind
gusts of 40-60 mph and lofted areas of blowing dust around those
storms. Activity will decrease into the evening, with possibly
some lingering showers in Cochise County overnight.

Shower/thunderstorm activity tomorrow afternoon and evening
continues to be focused on areas south and east of Tucson once
again with similar concerns of strong to severe outflow winds
and areas of blowing dust. The HREF 24/12Z run has a decently
sized area of 10% chance for 50 kts. This generally translates
to a stronger wind day.

Outside of the storm/shower chances, the hot temperatures
continue this afternoon into tomorrow, with an Extreme Heat
Warning in place. Moderate to Major HeatRisk will remain through
Friday, with a decrease to Minor HeatRisk this weekend into
early next week as a dry low pressure system passes to the
north of the area. This system will increase southwest winds as
early as Friday afternoon, with the stronger winds expected on
Saturday and Sunday. The combination of the dry conditions and
strong winds this weekend leads to near to critical fire weather
conditions each afternoon and evening, leading to the issuance
of a Fire Weather Watch this weekend (more in the fire weather
section).

Once this low pressure system passes, the high pressure system
to the east will slowly begin to move westward early to mid next
week, bringing back moisture and the potential for increased
storm activity.

&&

.AVIATION... Valid through 26/00Z.
SCT clouds at 12k-15k ft AGL and SCT-BKN AOA 20k ft AGL mainly
from Tucson south and eastward thru the forecast period.
Isolated -SHRA/-TSRA south and east of KTUS will be possible now
thru roughly 25/04Z. Confidence is low in a storm impacting an
airport, but the best chances will be at KOLS and KDUG. Strong
outflow winds 30-40 kts will be possible in the vicinity of
storms. Otherwise SFC winds WLY-NWLY at 8-14 kts with ocnl gusts
to 20-25 kts this afternoon and evening. At other times winds
will be variable in direction at less than than 8 kts. Aviation
discussion not updated for TAF amendments.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Isolated thunderstorms south and east of Tucson
possible today and Thursday, slight chance in the White
Mountains Friday, with dry conditions returning over the
weekend. High temperatures will be several degrees above normal
through Friday, resulting in moderate to major HeatRisk.
Sustained wind speeds will generally be 15 mph or less today,
except for the lower elevations of Graham county where stronger
speeds of 15-20 mph are expected. Afternoon and early evening
gusts to 25-30 mph are expected areawide due to the strong
surface heating. Any thunderstorms that develop Wednesday though
Friday will have the potential to have wind gusts to 40+ mph.
Minimum relative humidity levels will be in the 10-20 percent
range with areas along the international border on the higher
end of that range.

Southwest winds increase Thursday afternoon in advance of a system
moving to our north, with near critical fire weather conditions
Friday through Sunday. Saturday and Sunday continue to appear
to be the breeziest days with some locations seeing brief Red
Flag conditions in the afternoon and evening, thus a Fire
Weather Watch has been issued for areas Sells eastward.
Southwest winds of 15-25 mph and gusts to 35-40 mph are
expected Saturday and Sunday afternoon/evenings.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Extreme Heat Warning until 8 PM MST Thursday for AZZ504>507-
509.
Fire Weather Watch from Saturday morning through Sunday
evening for AZZ150>154.

&&

JT

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The office that day

Everything else NWS Tucson, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 25, 2:39 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryTWCCochise2 hr
Jun 25, 3:56 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryTWCCochise14 min
Jun 25, 4:10 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatTWCCochise3 hr
Jun 25, 4:18 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryTWCCochise117 min

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Arizona, 2026Every red flag warning in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.