Wind Advisory 8, NWS Tulsa, OK

106 
WWUS74 KTSA 180412
NPWTSA

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1112 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026

OKZ057-058-062-063-067-190000-
/O.EXB.KTSA.WI.Y.0008.260518T0600Z-260519T0200Z/
Craig-Ottawa-Mayes-Delaware-Wagoner-
Including the cities of Jay, Vinita, Miami, Grove, Pryor, and
Wagoner
1112 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph expected.

* WHERE...Craig, Delaware, Mayes, Ottawa, and Wagoner Counties.

* WHEN...Until 9 PM CDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down. Drivers of high profile vehicles should 
  be alert to sudden gusts.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

OKZ055-056-059>061-064-154-254-354-190000-
/O.EXT.KTSA.WI.Y.0008.260518T0600Z-260519T0200Z/
Washington OK-Nowata-Pawnee-Tulsa-Rogers-Creek-Western Osage-
Northeast Osage-Southeast Osage-
Including the cities of Fairfax, Bartlesville, Nowata, Hominy,
Shidler, Sapulpa, Pawhuska, Claremore, Tulsa, and Pawnee
1112 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph expected.

* WHERE...Creek, Northeast Osage, Nowata, Pawnee, Rogers, Southeast 
  Osage, Tulsa, Washington OK, and Western Osage Counties.

* WHEN...Until 9 PM CDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down. Drivers of high profile vehicles should 
  be alert to sudden gusts.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

687 
WWUS74 KTSA 181621
NPWTSA

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1121 AM CDT Mon May 18 2026

OKZ055>064-067-154-254-354-190200-
/O.CON.KTSA.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-260519T0200Z/
Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Ottawa-Pawnee-Tulsa-Rogers-Mayes-
Delaware-Creek-Wagoner-Western Osage-Northeast Osage-Southeast
Osage-
Including the cities of Pawnee, Bartlesville, Tulsa, Pawhuska,
Jay, Nowata, Fairfax, Grove, Pryor, Shidler, Hominy, Vinita,
Miami, Claremore, Wagoner, and Sapulpa
1121 AM CDT Mon May 18 2026

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...South winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

* WHERE...A portion of northeast Oklahoma.

* WHEN...Until 9 PM CDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down. Drivers of high profile vehicles should 
  be alert to sudden gusts.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

06

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
616 AM CDT Sun May 17 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 606 AM CDT Sun May 17 2026

 - Low shower and storm chances Sunday and Sunday night. Limited severe
   risk Sunday evening.

 - Numerous showers and storms late Monday and Tuesday. Severe
   weather possible along with locally heavy rainfall.

 - Cooler temperatures Wednesday with continued low rain chances
   through the remainder of the week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Through Monday evening)
Issued at 1130 PM CDT Sat May 16 2026

Strong low level jet is aiding a broad swath of low level moisture
advection which will contribute to increasing instability across
the local region Sunday through Monday. It is likely that several
subtle mid level waves passing across the region Sunday through
Monday with at least periods of weak lift within the weakly capped
and unstable conditions. Low level focus for storm initiation is
largely absent across the forecast area which typically acts to
reduce storm potential, however confidence is not high enough to
preclude a mention so low thunderstorms chances will be included
area wide Sunday through Monday. A more defined focus will be the
dryline across western OK both Sunday and Monday afternoon, and
should storms develop within that corridor, then they could
possibly move into portions of E OK before dissipating. Any storms
that do develop and/or move into the region will pose a limited
severe risk through Monday evening. Additionally, gusty winds will
continue and likely approach wind advisory across portions of NE
OK on Sunday and more so by Monday.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday Night through Saturday)
Issued at 1130 PM CDT Sat May 16 2026

Guidance remains in general agreement on storms spreading
southeastward late Monday evening through Monday night. It is
likely that storms will outpace the actual cold front and may
remain organized into the overnight hours with a continued risk of
severe weather before a weakening trend is realized. The composite
cold front / thunderstorm outflow will be a focus for renewed
storm development Tuesday however placement of this favored
corridor will be uncertain until Monday night storm trends are
realized. A period of both severe weather and heavy rainfall
potential may develop Tuesday afternoon through evening before the
boundary pushes further south.

Cooler temperatures follow for mid week however the elevated
frontal zone continues to be shown as a focus for persistent
shower and thunderstorm chances mid to late weak. The more stable
boundary layer and expectation of weaker flow aloft will likely
limit the overall severe potential.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 606 AM CDT Sun May 17 2026

Low clouds will continue to spread northward through the morning
hours, with MVFR cigs developing across at least SE OK and
W-Central AR. However, MVFR ceilings will be possible through
early afternoon areawide. Scattered showers have also developed
this morning within the moisture advection regime, though impacts
from these showers should remain minimal over the next several
hours. A return to VFR is expected this afternoon as low clouds
become more scattered/lift. There is a low chance (20 percent) of
additional shower and thunderstorm development this afternoon, but
probability of impacts at any one site remain too low to include
in the TAF at this time. Sfc winds will strengthen again this
morning and afternoon, with gusts up to 30 kts. LLWS will develop
once again this evening and tonight areawide. There is at least
some signal for MVFR cigs to redevelop tonight, late in the
forecast period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   88  73  87  68 /  10  20  20  50
FSM   89  72  88  72 /  20  20  30  10
MLC   88  75  87  73 /  20  20  30  10
BVO   88  71  87  62 /  10  20  20  70
FYV   84  71  84  71 /  20  20  30  20
BYV   85  71  84  72 /  20  20  30  20
MKO   86  72  86  70 /  20  20  30  30
MIO   86  72  85  68 /  20  20  30  50
F10   87  73  87  70 /  20  20  20  30
HHW   88  73  86  72 /  20  20  30  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...43

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
447 AM CDT Sun May 17 2026

ARZ001-002-010-011-119-120-129-219-220-229-OKZ049-053-055>071-
073>075-154-172-176-254-272-276-354-376-181000-
Benton-Carroll-Washington AR-Madison-Northern Crawford-
Northern Franklin-North and Central Sebastian-Southern Crawford-
Central and Southern Franklin-Southern Sebastian-Pushmataha-
Choctaw-Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Ottawa-Pawnee-Tulsa-Rogers-
Mayes-Delaware-Creek-Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-Cherokee-Adair-
Muskogee-McIntosh-Pittsburg-Haskell-Latimer-Western Osage-
Northern Sequoyah-Northern Le Flore-Northeast Osage-
Central and Southern Sequoyah-Central Le Flore-Southeast Osage-
Southern Le Flore-
447 AM CDT Sun May 17 2026

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...This Afternoon.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...Late Morning.

DISCUSSION...
Isolated thunderstorm development is possible this afternoon and
evening across eastern Oklahoma and into northwest Arkansas.
Additionally, storms may develop along the dryline to the west of
the local area this afternoon and move eastward. If any
thunderstorms develop or move into eastern Oklahoma and northwest
Arkansas this afternoon and evening, they will have potential to
become severe and produce damaging wind gusts and large hail.
Additionally, strong southerly winds will continue across much of
the area this afternoon, with maximum gusts between 30 and 40 mph.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
MONDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Isolated thunderstorms remain possible through the day Monday,
with greater storm coverage expected to arrive Monday night into
Tuesday as a cold front influences the region. The environment
will continue to support severe weather during this time with all
severe hazards possible. This includes large hail, damaging wind
gusts, heavy rainfall, and at least a limited tornado potential.
The cold front pushes south of the area by Tuesday evening,
putting an end to the severe threat. Additional thunderstorm
chances persist through much of the upcoming week, but severe
weather chances are likely to be much lower after Tuesday.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.