Wind Advisory 7, NWS Tulsa, OK

335 
WWUS74 KTSA 161101
NPWTSA

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
601 AM CDT Sat May 16 2026

OKZ055>064-154-254-354-161215-
/O.CAN.KTSA.WI.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-260516T1200Z/
Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Ottawa-Pawnee-Tulsa-Rogers-Mayes-
Delaware-Creek-Western Osage-Northeast Osage-Southeast Osage-
Including the cities of Tulsa, Pawnee, Fairfax, Bartlesville,
Sapulpa, Pawhuska, Hominy, Miami, Nowata, Pryor, Shidler, Jay,
Claremore, Vinita, and Grove
601 AM CDT Sat May 16 2026

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Southerly winds may locally gust up to 35 mph beneath light or 
decaying showers through mid morning, but the threat for gusts above 
40 mph has decreased.

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
641 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1245 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026

 -Low thunderstorm chances Friday through Sunday. Limited severe
  risk Sunday afternoon and evening.

- A more active weather pattern is expected early next week
  including the risk of sever weather and heavy rainfall.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Through tonight )
Issued at 1245 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026

Regional RAOBS sampled the deep layer of very steep lapse rates
supportive of high based convection within any weak region of
forcing. Sfc based convection remains capped especially across the
local region away from more defined initiation boundaries. Several
guidance members maintain the mid level convection across the
forecast through tonight and into the day Saturday. Any precip
amounts will remain light but isolated lightning remains a hazard
for outdoor activities.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Friday)
Issued at 1245 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026

Scattered light showers and isolated storms are likely to be
ongoing early Saturday with slightly higher chances from far NE OK
into far NW AR which could be nearer the periphery of any decaying
overnight storms origination further north and west. Uncertainty
remain on if clouds and light precip will linger through the day
or if lesser cloud cover remains allowing a notable warm up area
wide. Any severe weather focus is again likely to remain well west
and north of the region through Saturday night.

Instability will trend upward across the region Sunday however the
focus for storm initiation will again remain west and north of the
region. Low level jet increases Sunday night into Monday and may
support isolated to scattered late night showers and storms but
confidence is low in overall coverage.

The approach and more southern influence from a stronger wave on
Monday will be the forcing needed to increase storm chances along
a more eastward located dryline and also along a surging cold
front to our north. Expect storm chances to increase through the
day Monday but more so Monday night into Tuesday. Run to run and
across model inconsistencies remain regarding the cold frontal
push into the region which impacts storm chances on Tuesday.
Conditions along and ahead of the front will likely support some
risk of severe weather and a slower frontal progression will favor
heavy rainfall potential. Once the front does clear the region
then drier and cooler temperatures are likely for a few days.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 641 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026

Isolated to scattered showers and sprinkles (with occasional
lightning) continue to stream across eastern OK and northwest AR
early this evening. These widespread spotty and brief showers
will persist overnight and into tomorrow morning. Hi-res model
data show radar echos intensifying some around midnight and
continuing through daybreak. Included some PROB30 groups for low
thunder chances at KMLC, KXNA, KROG, KFYV, and KFSM when the best
chances of thunder will occur, though timing confidence is fairly
low. Regardless, aviation impacts should be low to none through
the period. Mid and high level clouds will continue to prevail
through the forecast period. A robust LLJ will create LLWS for
most TAF sites. Overall, VFR is expected to prevail through the
period.

Mejia

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   73  88  73  87 /  20  20   0   0
FSM   71  89  69  89 /  20  20   0   0
MLC   73  85  73  88 /  20  10   0   0
BVO   71  88  70  88 /  20  20   0   0
FYV   71  85  69  86 /  20  20   0  10
BYV   71  86  68  86 /  30  30   0   0
MKO   72  87  71  86 /  20  20   0   0
MIO   71  87  70  86 /  30  20   0  10
F10   72  86  72  87 /  20  20   0   0
HHW   70  86  70  86 /  20  10   0  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...67

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
134 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026

ARZ001-002-010-011-119-120-129-219-220-229-OKZ049-053-055>071-
073>075-154-172-176-254-272-276-354-376-161845-
Benton-Carroll-Washington AR-Madison-Northern Crawford-
Northern Franklin-North and Central Sebastian-Southern Crawford-
Central and Southern Franklin-Southern Sebastian-Pushmataha-
Choctaw-Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Ottawa-Pawnee-Tulsa-Rogers-
Mayes-Delaware-Creek-Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-Cherokee-Adair-
Muskogee-McIntosh-Pittsburg-Haskell-Latimer-Western Osage-
Northern Sequoyah-Northern Le Flore-Northeast Osage-
Central and Southern Sequoyah-Central Le Flore-Southeast Osage-
Southern Le Flore-
134 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Isolated thunderstorms will remain possible through the
afternoon and into the overnight hours. Severe weather is not
expected at this time. Winds will continue to gust 20 to 30 mph
through the afternoon and evening.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
SATURDAY and SUNDAY...Thunderstorm and High Wind Potential.
MONDAY...Severe Thunderstorm and High Wind Potential.
TUESDAY...Thunderstorm and Heavy Rain Potential.
WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will remain possible
Saturday and Sunday. The risk of severe weather during this time
frame is very low. More widespread thunderstorms are expected
Monday into Tuesday as a slow moving cold front moves into
the region. Severe weather may develop along and ahead of the
cold front with a risk of locally heavy rainfall also possible.
The weather pattern may remain unsettled through mid to late
next week.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
938 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026

OKZ064-160330-
Creek OK-
938 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026

...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS WILL IMPACT CREEK COUNTY THROUGH 1030
PM CDT...

At 937 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated strong thunderstorms along a
line extending from 2 miles northwest of Drumright to near Kendrick.
Movement was northeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 45 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down small tree limbs and blow
         around unsecured objects.

Locations in or near the path include...
Bristow...                        Mannford...
Drumright...                      Oilton...
Depew...                          Shamrock...
Silver City...                    Milfay...

This includes Interstate 44 between mile markers 178 and 195.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3616 9662 3616 9630 3564 9636 3564 9662
TIME...MOT...LOC 0237Z 244DEG 19KT 3602 9663 3576 9676

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1024 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026

OKZ056>058-061-063-160400-
Craig OK-Rogers OK-Delaware OK-Ottawa OK-Nowata OK-
1024 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CRAIG...NORTHEASTERN ROGERS...
NORTHWESTERN DELAWARE...OTTAWA AND SOUTHERN NOWATA COUNTIES THROUGH
1100 PM CDT...

At 1022 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated a cluster of decaying
thunderstorms producing gusty winds 3 miles northwest of White Oak,
moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down small tree limbs and blow
         around unsecured objects.

Locations in or near the path include...
Miami...                          Vinita...
Nowata...                         Grove...
Commerce...                       Chelsea...
Fairland...                       Afton...
Quapaw...                         Welch...
Bernice...                        Delaware...
Bluejacket...                     Wyandotte...
Lenapah...                        Big Cabin...
New Alluwe...                     Bernice State Park...
Watova...                         Cleora...

This includes Interstate 44 between mile markers 273 and 314.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 9465 3651 9526 3651 9543 3648 9544
      3645 9564 3684 9573 3699 9480
TIME...MOT...LOC 0322Z 250DEG 29KT 3667 9530

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Mejia

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1055 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026

OKZ057-058-062-063-160430-
Craig OK-Delaware OK-Ottawa OK-Mayes OK-
1055 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT CRAIG...NORTHERN DELAWARE...
OTTAWA AND NORTHEASTERN MAYES COUNTIES THROUGH 1130 PM CDT...

At 1054 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated a cluster of strong decaying
thunderstorms producing gusty winds 3 miles southwest of Afton,
moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 45 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down small tree limbs and blow
         around unsecured objects.

Locations in or near the path include...
Miami...                          Vinita...
Baxter Springs...                 Grove...
Commerce...                       Seneca...
Fairland...                       Afton...
South West City...                Quapaw...
Welch...                          Bernice...
Ketchum...                        Bluejacket...
Wyandotte...                      Disney...
Big Cabin...                      Treece...
Honey Creek State Park...         Cherokee State Park...

This includes Interstate 44 between mile markers 270 and 324.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3647 9461 3648 9533 3660 9533 3660 9534
      3700 9538 3700 9462
TIME...MOT...LOC 0354Z 263DEG 27KT 3666 9500

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Mejia

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1117 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026

OKZ059-060-064-066-354-160500-
Tulsa OK-Southeast Osage OK-Okmulgee OK-Pawnee OK-Creek OK-
1117 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN OSAGE...CREEK...
NORTHWESTERN OKMULGEE...SOUTHEASTERN PAWNEE AND WESTERN TULSA
COUNTIES THROUGH MIDNIGHT CDT...

At 1116 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated a strong thunderstorm 5 miles
southeast of Shamrock, moving northeast at 55 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down small tree limbs and blow
         around unsecured objects.

Locations in or near the path include...
Tulsa...                          Sand Springs...
Okmulgee...                       Bristow...
Sapulpa...                        Jenks...
Glenpool...                       Skiatook...
Mannford...                       Drumright...
Kiefer...                         Beggs...
Sperry...                         Mounds...
Kellyville...                     Oilton...
Depew...                          Jennings...
Westport...                       Slick...

This includes Interstate 44 between mile markers 178 and 220.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3642 9600 3563 9597 3564 9662 3616 9662
      3616 9664 3621 9664
TIME...MOT...LOC 0416Z 230DEG 49KT 3588 9649

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH