Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1221 PM CDT Fri Apr 10 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1220 PM CDT Fri Apr 10 2026

 - Scattered storms through mid evening w/ a limited severe
   weather risk.

 - An unsettled weather pattern with multiple opportunities for
   thunderstorms, along with some severe weather and locally heavy
   rainfall potential through early next week.

 - A window for higher-end severe weather potential exists Tuesday
   into Wednesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Through tonight )
Issued at 1220 PM CDT Fri Apr 10 2026

Corridor of numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms ongoing
across NE OK will slowly spread south and eastward through the
remainder of the afternoon. Conditions will become increasingly
unstable along and south of the composite outflow and approaching
cold front through afternoon. Wind shear remains low but strong to
briefly severe multicell clusters are expected to persist within weak
low level forcing. Convective coverage is expected to decrease
from mid evening onward through the remainder of the night.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tomorrow through Friday)
Issued at 1220 PM CDT Fri Apr 10 2026

The primary focusing boundaries for storms on Saturday are
expected to be north and west of the local region. An unstable and
weakly capped airmass will reside across the region and a subset
of guidance does initiate isolated to scattered storms within the
ongoing moisture advection axis, however chances will remain
generally low across the immediate area through Saturday evening.
Convection will become widespread across the the western Southern
Plains by Saturday night and spread eastward across the forecast
area early Sunday through Sunday afternoon. Instability is likely
to remain somewhat limited given the timing and expected coverage
of this convection which is likely to keep any severe weather
threat limited.

Monday continue to appear a low storm chance period with focus
well north and west of the region. Forcing does increase across
the region Tuesday and more so Tuesday night into Wednesday for
the timing of the stronger wave and associated cold front. This
period does trend higher for severe weather potential and overall
rainfall footprint for heavier totals. Temperatures will remain
warm with Sunday forecast the coolest given the widespread precip
through the day.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1146 AM CDT Fri Apr 10 2026

Showers and thunderstorms will continue to periodically impact
terminals in northeast OK the next few hours, and possibly through
the afternoon. The impacts will be lightning, heavy rain, briefly
lowered ceilings to 2-3 kft, and visibility reductions to 1-2 SM.
These showers and storms will move into northwest AR this
afternoon with similar impacts possible. Partly to mostly cloudy
conditions will continue for southern areas, with little to no
rainfall. Winds will remain out of the south today, but may become
gusty and erratic by storms. Overnight, ceilings will lift and
break up, but may begin to return during the day Saturday. Winds
will again become breezy but precipitation is expected to hold off
until late morning or the afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   60  82  64  76 /  30  20  50  90
FSM   59  85  65  80 /  20  20  10  70
MLC   61  81  65  77 /  10  20  40  90
BVO   56  81  61  77 /  30  30  60  90
FYV   58  82  63  77 /  30  20  10  80
BYV   59  81  64  76 /  30  20   0  60
MKO   59  81  63  76 /  20  20  30  90
MIO   59  81  63  74 /  40  20  30  90
F10   60  81  64  76 /  20  20  50  90
HHW   59  81  63  76 /   0  20  20  80

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...06

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
144 PM CDT Fri Apr 10 2026

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-111845-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
144 PM CDT Fri Apr 10 2026

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...North of Interstate 40.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Portions of Northeast Oklahoma.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
A corridor of widespread showers and scattered thunderstorms will
continue into the evening and extend across northeast Oklahoma
into northwest Arkansas. The majority of thunderstorms will remain
north of Interstate 40 through the evening. The slow storm motions
will allow for locally heavy rainfall across portions of northeast
Oklahoma. The coverage of showers and storms will decrease
by mid to late evening.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
SATURDAY through TUESDAY...Thunderstorm and High Wind Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm and Heavy Rain Potential.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
There is a low chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms
Saturday for much of eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. No
severe weather is expected Saturday afternoon. Additional storms
will approach the area from the west late Saturday night into
Sunday morning. This activity will likely be weakening with time,
but some strong winds will be possible as storms move into
northeast Oklahoma. Additional strong to severe thunderstorms may
develop Sunday afternoon and evening with potential for large
hail, damaging winds, and a low tornado threat.

The weather pattern remains active into early next week, with
additional thunderstorm and severe weather chances Monday through
Wednesday. There is potential for more significant severe weather
during this period as several disturbances move into the plains.
Timing and spatial details will be refined as more data becomes
available, so please monitor the forecast during this period.

In addition to the severe potential, heavy rainfall and localized
flash flooding will also be possible over the next several days.
Mainstem river flooding may also occur depending on where the
heaviest rains fall.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
226 PM CDT Fri Apr 10 2026

OKZ064-102000-
Creek OK-
226 PM CDT Fri Apr 10 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL CREEK COUNTY THROUGH 300
PM CDT...

At 226 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated a strong thunderstorm 3 miles
northeast of Bristow, moving northeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down small tree limbs and blow
         around unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation
         is possible.

Locations in or near the path include...
Kellyville...                     Bristow...

This includes Interstate 44 between mile markers 189 and 210.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3607 9617 3589 9604 3586 9613 3586 9619
      3582 9624 3579 9640 3592 9649
TIME...MOT...LOC 1926Z 241DEG 19KT 3588 9636

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
321 PM CDT Fri Apr 10 2026

OKZ064-066-102045-
Okmulgee OK-Creek OK-
321 PM CDT Fri Apr 10 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN CREEK AND
NORTHWESTERN OKMULGEE COUNTIES THROUGH 345 PM CDT...

At 320 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated a strong thunderstorm near
Slick, moving east at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down small tree limbs and blow
         around unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation
         is possible.

Locations in or near the path include...
Beggs...                          Mounds...
Slick...                          Liberty...

This includes Interstate 44 near mile marker 194.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3587 9636 3592 9603 3586 9603 3586 9601
      3564 9603 3569 9636
TIME...MOT...LOC 2020Z 274DEG 10KT 3580 9629

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Mejia