Severe Thunderstorm Warning 73, NWS Tulsa, OK

825 
WWUS54 KTSA 032252
SVSTSA

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
552 PM CDT Fri Apr 3 2026

OKC113-117-032315-
/O.CON.KTSA.SV.W.0073.000000T0000Z-260403T2315Z/
Osage OK-Pawnee OK-
552 PM CDT Fri Apr 3 2026

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM CDT
FOR WEST CENTRAL OSAGE AND NORTHWESTERN PAWNEE COUNTIES...

At 551 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 3 miles west of
Sooner Lake, moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

This severe thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of west
central Osage and northwestern Pawnee Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3651 9703 3651 9701 3652 9701 3653 9698
      3653 9696 3655 9692 3655 9690 3658 9689
      3659 9691 3660 9687 3661 9677 3641 9674
      3636 9703
TIME...MOT...LOC 2251Z 242DEG 25KT 3643 9710 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1233 PM CDT Fri Apr 3 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1221 PM CDT Fri Apr 3 2026

 - Additional round of strong to severe thunderstorms Friday
   evening with increasing heavy rainfall potential.

 - Cooler and drier conditions Sunday into early next week.

 - Unsettled pattern returns late next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Through tonight )
Issued at 1148 AM CDT Fri Apr 3 2026

Forecast remains consistent with expectation of widespread showers
and storms spreading across the local region this evening into the
overnight hours and then ending from north to south early
Saturday. Isolated to scattered convection may develop this
afternoon across E OK and NW AR but confidence remains low in this
scenario. Should a storm develop then background conditions would
support a brief strong to severe threat. Otherwise, the focus will
be the advance cold front and storms initiating on the dryline
further southwest and their progress eastward. The early evening
time frame should see numerous storms spreading into E OK with a
risk of severe weather primarily damaging winds with a more
isolated risk of large hail. The tornadic potential continues to
be appear low but non zero. With time the severe risk will
transition to more of a heavy rain risk. The combination of short
term guidance trends and background ensemble data favor a corridor
of heavier rains as the convection line slows overnight. A flood
watch has been issued for the most likely corridor of these
heavier rains.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Friday)
Issued at 1148 AM CDT Fri Apr 3 2026

Showers and isolated storms will be ongoing across SE OK into
western AR early Saturday but continue to end from north to south
through the morning. Dry weather and noticeably cooler
temperatures are expected are wide by afternoon. Sfc high pressure
settles over the region and remains largely in place through early
next week. A reinforcing weak cold front arrives Tuesday before
stronger return flow and warmer temperatures develop by mid week.
Shower and thunderstorm chances return by late next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1221 PM CDT Fri Apr 3 2026

A mixture of low VFR to periodic MVFR ceilings will continue
through the afternoon with a few showers and storms from SE OK
into NW AR. Widespread convection will spread across the region
this evening and persist through the overnight hours with a focus
southward with time. Aviation impacts will likely occur at all
terminals with the heaviest rains and passing storms. Ceilings
will rise into VFR levels across NE OK into NW AR Saturday morning
with lower ceilings and areas of rain likely persisting across SE
OK into west central AR.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   79  52  65  42 /  50  90  20   0
FSM   82  57  67  43 /  30  90  80   0
MLC   81  54  65  44 /  50 100  60   0
BVO   77  48  64  37 /  70  90  10   0
FYV   79  50  63  39 /  40  90  50   0
BYV   79  52  61  39 /  40  90  60   0
MKO   81  52  63  40 /  40  90  40   0
MIO   78  49  60  37 /  50  90  20   0
F10   82  52  65  40 /  50  90  40   0
HHW   80  54  66  44 /  40 100  90   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Flood Watch from 10 PM CDT this evening through Saturday morning
     for OKZ049-068>076.

AR...Flood Watch from 10 PM CDT this evening through Saturday morning
     for ARZ001-010-019-029.

&&

SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...07

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
447 PM CDT Fri Apr 3 2026

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-042200-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
447 PM CDT Fri Apr 3 2026

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND FLASH FLOODING THREAT TONIGHT...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Through Tonight.
TORNADO.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...Elevated.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

FLASH FLOOD AND HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...Elevated.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
 	ONSET...Mid Evening.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
A line of thunderstorms is ongoing late this afternoon across
western and central Oklahoma and is expected to sweep eastward
through the evening and into early Saturday morning across eastern
Oklahoma and western Arkansas. During the early to middle part of
the evening, a large hail and damaging wind threat will exist,
along with a low, but nonzero chance of tornadoes. The primary
threats will transition to damaging wind, heavy rain and flash
flooding mid to late evening and into early Saturday morning
across areas south of Interstate 44.

In addition, isolated to scattered thunderstorm development will
remain late this afternoon and into the early evening ahead of the
main line of storms. This activity will have a lesser potential to
be severe.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
SATURDAY...High Wind Potential.
SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...No Hazards.
WEDNESDAY...High Wind Potential.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm and High Wind Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Showers will be ongoing early Saturday across southeast Oklahoma
and portions of western Arkansas, ending by late Saturday
morning. Quiet weather is then expected before thunderstorm
chances return by the end of next week.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.