Severe Thunderstorm Warning 54, NWS Tulsa, OK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1046 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1050 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

 - Showers and storms end from north to south through the day
   Wednesday.

 - Strong cold front passes Wednesday and a light freeze may
   occur for a few areas in northeast Oklahoma and northwest
   Arkansas Thursday morning.

 - Fire weather concerns may return by late week with dry weather
   and warming temperatures.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Through Wednesday)
Issued at 1050 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

Ongoing storms will continue eastward overnight with a continued
severe weather risk. The bulk of stronger convection will be east
of the local forecast area early in the day, however the cold
frontal passage into the afternoon may support a few isolated to
scattered showers and storms. Overall the heaviest rainfall will
end early in the day with gusty northerly winds and cooler
temperatures spreading southward through the day.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday Night through Tuesday)
Issued at 1050 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

The overall pattern aloft will transition to stronger western
CONUS ridging and the downstream northwesterly flow across the
central CONUS will feature fairly frequent frontal passages with
minimal moisture return in their advance. The trends will
generally be cooler temps through mid week with a warm up late
week ahead of Saturday cold front. Cool down again late in the
weekend into early next week and dry weather is likely to
continue. Periodic gusty winds and drying fine fuels will raise
grassland fire concerns at times.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 634 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

Not too many changes were made to the previous TAFs. A line of
strong and severe thunderstorms will move from west to east
across the terminals from mid evening tonight into early
Wednesday morning, with a period of IFR conditions and strong VRB
wind gusts. An abrupt wind shift and increase in speed and gusts
will occur at all sites from Wednesday morning and through the
afternoon following a strong cold frontal passage. MVFR ceilings
should occur with the front at most sites, but should trend to VFR
by early to mid afternoon for OK TAF sites, with MVFR hanging on
through later afternoon or early evening for AR TAF sites.

Mejia

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   83  55  64  34 /  10  80  30   0
FSM   80  62  73  36 /  10 100  60   0
MLC   79  59  70  35 /  10  90  20   0
BVO   86  50  59  29 /  10  60  30   0
FYV   78  55  69  30 /  10  90  60   0
BYV   78  55  67  33 /  10  90  70   0
MKO   80  55  68  32 /  10  80  30   0
MIO   80  52  59  30 /  10  80  60   0
F10   81  55  68  34 /  10  80  20   0
HHW   78  61  73  37 /  10  90  40   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...67

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1105 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

OKZ060>062-065>067-070-071-110430-
Tulsa OK-Muskogee OK-Okmulgee OK-Rogers OK-Okfuskee OK-Mayes OK-
Wagoner OK-McIntosh OK-
1105 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN ROGERS...
NORTHWESTERN MCINTOSH...SOUTHWESTERN MAYES...WAGONER...EASTERN
OKMULGEE...NORTHWESTERN MUSKOGEE...SOUTHEASTERN TULSA AND
SOUTHEASTERN OKFUSKEE COUNTIES THROUGH 1130 PM CDT...

At 1104 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated strong thunderstorms along a
line extending from 4 miles northeast of Oneta to 3 miles north of
Grayson to 2 miles west of Dustin. Movement was northeast at 55 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down small tree limbs and blow
         around unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation
         is possible.

Locations in or near the path include...
Inola...                          Mazie...
Dewar...                          Pierce...
Schulter...                       Stonebluff...
Chouteau...                       Eram...
Pryor Creek...                    Haskell...
Leonard...                        Lake Eufaula State Park...
Morris...                         Porter...
Grayson...                        Wainwright...
Tullahassee...                    Hoffman...
Jamesville...                     Pryor...

This includes the following highways,
 Interstate 40 in Oklahoma between mile markers 236 and 260.
 Interstate 44 between mile markers 249 and 260.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 400 AM CDT for southeastern,
northeastern and east central Oklahoma.

&&

LAT...LON 3633 9531 3600 9535 3539 9561 3528 9598
      3529 9598 3529 9611 3566 9590 3612 9574
      3638 9554 3640 9538
TIME...MOT...LOC 0404Z 211DEG 46KT 3608 9566 3555 9586 3526 9608

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

Mejia

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1123 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

OKZ049-053-073-110500-
Pittsburg OK-Choctaw OK-Pushmataha OK-
1123 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PUSHMATAHA...CHOCTAW AND SOUTHERN
PITTSBURG COUNTIES THROUGH MIDNIGHT CDT...

At 1122 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated strong thunderstorms along a
line extending from 2 miles north of Wardville to 5 miles southwest
of Daisy to near Boswell to 7 miles northwest of Sumner. Movement was
east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down small tree limbs and blow
         around unsecured objects.

Locations in or near the path include...
Snow...                           Mcalester...
Rattan...                         Sobol...
Pittsburg...                      Haywood...
Unger...                          Eubanks...
Corinne...                        Boswell...
Swink...                          Goodland...
Clayton...                        Bache...
Moyers...                         Raymond Gary State Park...
Kosoma...                         Huskey...
Dunbar...                         Finley...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 400 AM CDT for southeastern
Oklahoma.

&&

LAT...LON 3388 9554 3394 9560 3387 9584 3395 9594
      3415 9598 3416 9578 3450 9578 3451 9567
      3459 9567 3459 9588 3468 9609 3487 9609
      3502 9574 3477 9551 3468 9551 3460 9536
      3416 9515 3394 9516 3396 9523 3387 9529
TIME...MOT...LOC 0422Z 259DEG 30KT 3468 9603 3450 9583 3404 9588 3381
9578

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

Mejia

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1128 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1120 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     1 SE Inola              36.14N 95.50W
03/10/2026  E60 MPH          Rogers             OK   Amateur Radio

            Inola Hills on 4225 Rd.

&&