Flash Flood Warning 52, NWS Tulsa, OK

744 
WGUS74 KTSA 241613
FFSTSA

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1113 AM CDT Wed Jun 24 2026

OKC117-241623-
/O.EXP.KTSA.FF.W.0052.000000T0000Z-260624T1615Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Pawnee OK-
1113 AM CDT Wed Jun 24 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 1115 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR 
SOUTHWESTERN PAWNEE COUNTY...

The heavy rain has ended. Please continue to heed remaining road 
closures.

A Flood Watch remains in effect until 100 PM CDT for portions of 
east central, northeast, and southeast Oklahoma.

&&

LAT...LON 3650 9701 3648 9700 3646 9697 3646 9694
      3647 9691 3622 9656 3616 9662 3616 9682
      3625 9682 3625 9693 3633 9692 3633 9703
      3651 9703

$$

Lacy

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
640 AM CDT Wed Jun 24 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 637 AM CDT Wed Jun 24 2026

 - The potential for heavy rainfall and flooding are the main
   concerns in the near term as the unsettled weather pattern
   continues through Friday.

 - Confidence remains high in the unsettled pattern persisting
   however timing and placement of strong storms and heaviest
   rains is less certain.

 - A more typical summer time pattern expected to build over the
   region by early next week. Heat headlines will likely be needed.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Through Wednesday)
Issued at 1145 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026

Widespread convection during the day Tuesday has overturned the
airmass across the local region and a relative lull in convection
is expected through much of the overnight hours. 00z regional
soundings sampled ample instability upstream of the forecast area
and the low level jet is already intensifying with the more
unstable airmass being advected back across the region overnight.
Storms ongoing along the High Plains are likely to congeal into
another thunderstorm complex and ESE and approach eastern OK
by early to mid morning. While timing and overall coverage of
convection varies amongst guidance as the MCS tracks eastward
across the region, the overall pattern remains favorable for the
complex to persist through the day along with associated heavy
rainfall and some severe potential. The ongoing flood watch was
extended through early afternoon with additional adjustments
possible as the coverage and intensity of the convection becomes
more certain.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday Night through Tuesday)
Issued at 1145 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026

The current timing of the departing MCS favors another lull in
storm coverage Wednesday evening before another complex approaches
the area late Wednesday night into Thursday. Flow aloft will
become more westerly by this time influencing a more east west
track of this storm complex with precip chances adjusted
accordingly across the forecast area. Timing and track of the
storm complex and its associated outflow will be instrumental in
the overall footprint of severe weather potential through Thursday
night. Conditions south of the storms will become increasingly
warm and humid with strong instability present should the southern
flank and/or outflow become a more defined focus through Thursday
night.

Sfc boundaries become more aligned west and north of the forecast
area by Friday with hot and humid conditions building across the
region. The proximity of focusing boundaries will maintain storm
chances with some risk of severe weather, however the pattern will
be transitioning toward rising heights and more stable conditions
with a deepening west coast trough and downstream ridging across
the southern states.

This weekend into early next week will feature high pressure aloft
strengthening and centered east of the local region. Hot and humid
conditions are expected to return with dangerous heat index values
likely to develop daily for much of next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 637 AM CDT Wed Jun 24 2026

Highly variable flight conditions early this morning will trend
towards MVFR ceilings by mid morning through much of the rest of
the day today. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are
expected through the day today, with storms possibly persisting
into this evening at KMLC. Mainly VFR conditions are expected by
this evening, with renewed shower and thunderstorm development
expected again late tonight, potentially affecting the northeast
Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas sites.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   84  71  89  76 /  70  30  40  40
FSM   87  72  91  75 /  60  30  30  20
MLC   89  74  90  78 /  60  20  10  10
BVO   83  68  86  72 /  70  30  50  50
FYV   83  68  86  73 /  60  30  50  30
BYV   82  67  85  72 /  70  40  50  40
MKO   84  70  88  75 /  60  30  30  30
MIO   82  68  85  72 /  50  30  50  60
F10   86  71  89  76 /  70  30  20  20
HHW   89  73  91  76 /  40  10   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Flood Watch until 1 PM CDT this afternoon for OKZ049-053-055>057-
     059>062-064>067-070-071-073>075-154-254-354.

AR...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...05

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
607 AM CDT Wed Jun 24 2026

ARZ001-002-010-011-119-120-129-219-220-229-OKZ049-053-055>071-
073>075-154-172-176-254-272-276-354-376-251115-
Benton-Carroll-Washington AR-Madison-Northern Crawford-
Northern Franklin-North and Central Sebastian-Southern Crawford-
Central and Southern Franklin-Southern Sebastian-Pushmataha-
Choctaw-Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Ottawa-Pawnee-Tulsa-Rogers-
Mayes-Delaware-Creek-Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-Cherokee-Adair-
Muskogee-McIntosh-Pittsburg-Haskell-Latimer-Western Osage-
Northern Sequoyah-Northern Le Flore-Northeast Osage-
Central and Southern Sequoyah-Central Le Flore-Southeast Osage-
Southern Le Flore-
607 AM CDT Wed Jun 24 2026

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...Elevated.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...This Morning.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...This Morning.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...This Morning.

DISCUSSION...
Showers and thunderstorms are expected to increase in coverage and
intensity across the area this morning and continue through much
of the day. Some of these storms are likely to become severe, with
large hail and damaging winds being the main severe weather
threats. Locally heavy rainfall will also be possible, which will
likely lead to flooding concerns in some places.

Shower and thunderstorm coverage is likely to diminish this
evening, but may increase again by late tonight, especially across
parts of northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
THURSDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
SATURDAY through TUESDAY...High Wind Potential...Dangerous Heat Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Shower and thunderstorm chances will continue Thursday and Friday,
mainly across northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. Thursday
looks to be the day of greatest concern with regards to severe
weather potential, with all modes of severe weather possible,
including tornadoes.

Hot, humid, and breezy conditions are expected this weekend into
early next week. Afternoon heat index values will likely exceed
100 degrees in many places Saturday through Tuesday.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
749 AM CDT Wed Jun 24 2026

OKZ064-241315-
Creek OK-
749 AM CDT Wed Jun 24 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN CREEK COUNTY
THROUGH 815 AM CDT...

At 749 AM CDT, Doppler radar indicated a strong thunderstorm near
Oilton, moving east at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea to dime size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down small tree limbs and blow
         around unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation
         is possible.

Locations in or near the path include...
Oilton...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3616 9662 3616 9648 3599 9653 3602 9662
TIME...MOT...LOC 1249Z 288DEG 11KT 3609 9663

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH