Flash Flood Warning 25, NWS Tulsa, OK

448 
WGUS74 KTSA 070716
FFSTSA

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
216 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

ARC143-070726-
/O.EXP.KTSA.FF.W.0025.000000T0000Z-260607T0715Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Washington AR-
216 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR SOUTHEASTERN WASHINGTON AR 
COUNTY...

The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a 
threat. Please continue to heed remaining road closures.

&&

LAT...LON 3583 9396 3576 9396 3576 9397 3576 9400
      3576 9401 3576 9402 3576 9404 3576 9408
      3576 9412 3576 9424 3595 9420 3594 9395
      3589 9395 3588 9395 3587 9395 3583 9395

$$

Lacy

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
647 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 641 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026

 - Widespread showers and a few thunderstorms Saturday through
   Sunday. Heavy rain and localized flooding are the main
   concerns.

 - Minor flooding forecast for Polecat Creek near Sapulpa through
   Sunday morning.

 - A few storms could become marginally severe mainly Sunday
   afternoon. Main hazards will be damaging wind gusts and large
   hail.

 - Hot and humid weather arrives next week, with heat headlines
   likely.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Through tonight)
Issued at 1216 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026

Widespread showers with embedded thunderstorms are ongoing late
this morning across much of eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas.
Creek and Tulsa counties have seen the heaviest rainfall this
morning, with MRMS estimates of 2 to 4 inches across a large part
of this area and rainfall continuing. The Bristow Mesonet
observation is approaching 6 inches of rain since midnight. The
localized heavy rainfall is leading to a rapid rise on Polecat
Creek near Sapulpa, with minor flooding currently forecast there
later today through tomorrow morning.

Additional thunderstorm development is possible this afternoon,
primarily across portions of southeast Oklahoma where a higher
likelihood of seeing some breaks in the cloudiness exists. The
better chance of this appears to be just west of the forecast
area, however, given current satellite observations and recent
trends. Any storms in southeast Oklahoma would have potential for
isolated marginally severe hail and wind, although again, the
better potential for this is just west of the forecast area. The
existing activity and any additional development later today will
continue to push to the north and east into the evening and
overnight as the upper low currently spinning over the South Texas
Plains moves to the north and east. A relative lull in the
coverage will likely occur from mid to late evening into early
Sunday morning, with an increasing chance for showers and
thunderstorms once again from west to east beginning just before
dawn Sunday.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tomorrow through Saturday)
Issued at 1216 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026

The immediate concern in the longer term is the increased
potential for flash flooding during the day Sunday, especially
given this morning/s rains. A Flood Watch has been posted from 12Z
Sunday to 00Z Monday for much of northeast Oklahoma. Localized
potential for 3 to 4 inches of rainfall will exist given what has
occurred today and 90th percentile NBM QPF also in this range. The
watch may need to be expanded south and eastward at a later time,
depending on how things evolve this afternoon and evening.

Showers and thunderstorms should be ongoing Sunday morning, along
and west of Highway 75, having developed to the west and moved
eastward along with the aforementioned upper low Saturday night.
In addition to the heavy rain/flash flooding threat, a lower end
severe weather threat will also exist across much of the area
during the day and possibly, into the overnight. Given the
location of the upper low, this will include a tornado threat. The
showers and thunderstorm coverage will decrease from southwest to
northeast Sunday night and into Monday.

Early next week, upper level ridging builds into the area,
bringing fairly typical heat and humidity for this time of year to
the region. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms will
exist Monday night near the Kansas and Missouri borders in
association with a disturbance moving along the periphery of the
ridge, but otherwise, a couple of days of dry weather looks
likely. Heat headlines look like a good bet during the period,
especially given the current rainfall and its likely impact on the
dew points.

Toward the latter part of the next week, an upper level trough in
the western United States will move toward the Northern and
Central Plains, which looks to bring a front into the area,
bringing additional shower and thunderstorm chances and reduced
humidity to at least northern parts of the area Friday and
possibly into Saturday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 641 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026

Generally VFR conditions will prevail at the eastern Oklahoma
sites until late tonight when MVFR to IFR ceilings will develop.
Showers and storms may impact KMLC this evening. At the Arkansas
sites, widespread showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected
this evening, with MVFR to IFR conditions prevailing. Brief
improvement may occur at these sites late this evening, but MVFR
to IFR conditions will return late tonight. Conditions will
improve to VFR at most sites by Sunday afternoon, with scattered
showers and thunderstorms expected to increase in coverage again
by that time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   70  82  73  89 /  80  90  60  10
FSM   72  85  73  91 /  70  90  50  10
MLC   70  85  75  90 /  80  90  30   0
BVO   68  82  70  89 /  80  90  70  10
FYV   70  81  71  86 /  70  90  60  30
BYV   69  81  71  86 /  50  90  60  40
MKO   70  82  72  88 /  70  90  50  10
MIO   69  81  70  88 /  60  90  70  30
F10   70  83  74  89 /  80  90  30   0
HHW   71  84  74  90 /  60  70  20   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Flood Watch from Sunday morning through Sunday evening for
     OKZ055>067-154-254-354.

AR...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...22
LONG TERM....22
AVIATION...05

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
501 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026

ARZ001-002-010-011-119-120-129-219-220-229-OKZ049-053-055>071-
073>075-154-172-176-254-272-276-354-376-072215-
Benton-Carroll-Washington AR-Madison-Northern Crawford-
Northern Franklin-North and Central Sebastian-Southern Crawford-
Central and Southern Franklin-Southern Sebastian-Pushmataha-
Choctaw-Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Ottawa-Pawnee-Tulsa-Rogers-
Mayes-Delaware-Creek-Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-Cherokee-Adair-
Muskogee-McIntosh-Pittsburg-Haskell-Latimer-Western Osage-
Northern Sequoyah-Northern Le Flore-Northeast Osage-
Central and Southern Sequoyah-Central Le Flore-Southeast Osage-
Southern Le Flore-
501 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Through Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Mainly Southeast Oklahoma.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...Elevated.
	AREA...Mainly Eastern Oklahoma.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...Significant.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Western Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Widespread showers with embedded thunderstorms will persist across
most of the region this afternoon and evening. A couple of
stronger to possibly severe storms could develop and move into
portions of southeast Oklahoma this evening. Damaging winds and
large hail will be the main threat with any severe storm this
evening. The bigger impact will come from locally heavy rainfall
with rainfall rates of one to two inches per hour likely in the
heavier downpours. Some flooding is already ongoing across eastern
Oklahoma and more area of flash flooding or creek flooding will be
possible through the evening. A break in activity should move into
the region overnight tonight before more storms approach the area
early tomorrow morning.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Dangerous Heat Potential.
TUESDAY...Dangerous Heat Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential...Dangerous Heat Potential.
FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Dangerous Heat Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Widespread showers and embedded thunderstorms will likely be
ongoing at daybreak Sunday, with an increasing threat for heavy
rain and flooding focused across northeast Oklahoma. A Flood Watch
is in effect through early Sunday evening. Conditions support a
low chance for severe weather across parts of the area during the
day Sunday, including a very low but nonzero chance for
tornadoes. The overall potential for thunderstorms is expected to
shift to the north and east into Sunday night and Monday.

Hot and humid conditions will develop early next week and continue
into the early part of the weekend for some areas. Widespread
triple digit heat index values should be expected, with heat
headlines likely to be necessary during the period.

A front looks to move into parts of the area late in the week,
bringing additional thunderstorm chances and possibly bringing
less humid conditions to northern areas.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
640 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0545 PM     Flash Flood      Henryetta               35.43N 95.98W
06/06/2026                   Okmulgee           OK   Emergency Mngr

            Corporation Street closed at Muscogee Nation
            Reintegration Center due to water over the
            road and possible pond dam failure.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
939 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0739 PM     Tornado          1 SE Excelsior          35.19N 94.30W
06/06/2026                   Sebastian          AR   Official NWS Obs

            TDS from KSRX radar and reports of damage to
            trees and a barn roof in the area.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
944 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0834 PM     Tornado          4 N Barling             35.39N 94.29W
06/06/2026                   Crawford           AR   Emergency Mngr

            Likely TDS from KSRX radar along with
            spotter report and picture of tornado from
            social media.

&&