Flash Flood Warning 14, NWS Tulsa, OK

625 
WGUS74 KTSA 290348
FFSTSA

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1048 PM CDT Thu May 28 2026

OKC127-290545-
/O.CON.KTSA.FF.W.0014.000000T0000Z-260529T0545Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Pushmataha OK-
1048 PM CDT Thu May 28 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1245 AM CDT FRIDAY 
FOR SOUTHEASTERN PUSHMATAHA COUNTY...

At 1048 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms produced heavy 
rain across the warned area. Between 2 and 4 inches of rain have 
fallen. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Rattan...                          Cloudy...
Oleta...                           Corinne...
Sobol...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3441 9539 3450 9525 3437 9516 3435 9505
      3424 9505 3424 9515 3416 9515 3416 9541

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

Lacy

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
712 PM CDT Thu May 28 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 655 PM CDT Thu May 28 2026

 - Medium to high (40-80%) precipitation chances will continue
   through tonight across far northwest Arkansas, with lessening
   chances elsewhere by this evening and overnight. Locally heavy
   rainfall, minor flooding, and isolated flash flooding will be
   possible, especially in far northwest Arkansas.

 - Daily rain and storm chances continue through the weekend and
   into next week. Locally heavy rainfall will remain the primary
   concern, which could lead to isolated flash flooding. A limited
   severe weather threat will also occur.

 - Temperatures warming to above normal over the next several
   days.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Through tonight )
Issued at 1139 AM CDT Thu May 28 2026

Low level circulation just north of Tulsa will continue to lift
north this afternoon and tonight. Showers and isolated
thunderstorms will continue to develop and rotate around this
circulation, with the greatest coverage of showers and storms
expected across far northwest Arkansas by this evening and
overnight. Locally heavy rainfall may occur, especially in far
northwest Arkansas, which may lead to some localized flooding
concerns, especially in parts of Carroll county Arkansas.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tomorrow through Thursday)
Issued at 1139 AM CDT Thu May 28 2026

Precipitation coverage will be much lower, but non zero, in the
coming days. With added sunshine, temperatures will also be on the
rise, with most locations warming into the upper 80s to near 90
by the weekend. While shower and thunderstorm coverage will be
less, instability will be greater, so a conditional risk for
severe storms will exist Friday through the weekend, despite
marginal wind profiles. The greatest severe weather threat may be
late Saturday afternoon and especially Saturday evening as an
upper level storm system passes to our north. Locally heavy
rainfall will be possible with any storms that do occur.

Heading into next week, not much change is expected, with daily
low shower and thunderstorm chances. Slow moving storms will
continue to result in a locally heavy rainfall potential and a
very limited severe weather threat.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 712 PM CDT Thu May 28 2026

VFR conditions will prevail outside of showers and storms before
coverage drops aft 01Z or 02Z. Guidance has low clouds
overspreading most of the TAF sites overnight toward Friday
morning, with cigs expected to ultimately drop to IFR levels.
Latest short-term models develop spotty showers and storms by
Friday morning across NE OK, with activity increasing in coverage
and spreading east and south into NW AR and SE OK later in the
day. Used prob30 groups to cover the potential for now. Cigs
should rebound back to VFR by Friday afternoon.

Lacy

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   66  85  68  88 /  40  10  40  30
FSM   66  86  68  90 /  30  20  10  40
MLC   66  88  70  90 /  40  10  20  10
BVO   64  84  66  88 /  50  20  50  40
FYV   64  83  65  87 /  40  50  20  50
BYV   64  79  64  85 /  80  60  20  60
MKO   65  85  68  88 /  40  10  30  20
MIO   65  83  66  87 /  50  30  40  50
F10   65  86  68  89 /  30  10  30  20
HHW   66  88  70  90 /  40  10  10  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...30

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
510 PM CDT Thu May 28 2026

ARZ001-002-010-011-119-120-129-219-220-229-OKZ049-053-055>071-
073>075-154-172-176-254-272-276-354-376-292215-
Benton-Carroll-Washington AR-Madison-Northern Crawford-
Northern Franklin-North and Central Sebastian-Southern Crawford-
Central and Southern Franklin-Southern Sebastian-Pushmataha-
Choctaw-Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Ottawa-Pawnee-Tulsa-Rogers-
Mayes-Delaware-Creek-Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-Cherokee-Adair-
Muskogee-McIntosh-Pittsburg-Haskell-Latimer-Western Osage-
Northern Sequoyah-Northern Le Flore-Northeast Osage-
Central and Southern Sequoyah-Central Le Flore-Southeast Osage-
Southern Le Flore-
510 PM CDT Thu May 28 2026

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Western Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...Limited.
    AREA...Eastern Oklahoma.
 ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms this afternoon will decrease
in coverage after sunset this evening. Locally heavy rainfall
which could lead to isolated flash flooding is the main threat.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

Daily thunderstorm chances will continue Friday into next week.
There will be a limited risk of severe weather on Friday and
Saturday. Large hail and damaging winds are the main threats. Locally
heavy rainfall will be possible as well.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.