Wind Advisory 6, NWS Topeka, KS

622 
WWUS73 KTOP 170002
NPWTOP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Topeka KS
702 PM CDT Tue Jun 16 2026

KSZ040-054>056-058-059-172000-
/O.EXT.KTOP.WI.Y.0006.260617T1200Z-260617T2000Z/
Douglas-Lyon-Osage-Franklin-Coffey-Anderson-
Including the cities of Garnett, Ottawa, Burlington, Osage City,
Carbondale, Overbrook, Emporia, Burlingame, Lyndon, Lawrence, and
Lebo
702 PM CDT Tue Jun 16 2026

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 3 PM CDT WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Anderson, Coffey, Douglas, Franklin, Lyon, and Osage 
  Counties.

* WHEN...From 7 AM to 3 PM CDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Small 
  tree limbs could be blown down too. Isolated power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution while driving.

Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

KSZ010>012-022>024-026-036>039-171700-
/O.CON.KTOP.WI.Y.0006.260617T1200Z-260617T1700Z/
Marshall-Nemaha-Brown-Riley-Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson-Geary-
Morris-Wabaunsee-Shawnee-
Including the cities of Alma, Sabetha, Manhattan, Nortonville,
Holton, Junction City, Marysville, Maple Hill, Blue Rapids,
Seneca, Hiawatha, Wamego, McFarland, Horton, St. Marys, Paxico,
Harveyville, Valley Falls, Grantville, Alta Vista, Oskaloosa,
Eskridge, Meriden, Frankfort, Topeka, McLouth, Perry, and Council
Grove
702 PM CDT Tue Jun 16 2026

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO NOON CDT WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Portions of east central and northeast Kansas.

* WHEN...From 7 AM to noon CDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Small 
  tree limbs could be blown down too. Isolated power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution while driving.

Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

BD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Topeka KS
1124 AM CDT Tue Jun 16 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

-Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms occur early this
 morning.

-Hot and humid conditions return Wednesday.

-Severe thunderstorms are possible Wednesday afternoon in east-
 central KS along an advancing cold front.

-Dry to end the week before rain returns this weekend. Heavy rain
 could lead to additional flooding.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 303 AM CDT Tue Jun 16 2026

Early this morning, a cluster of small showers has developed ahead
of an H5 trough axis and weak surface boundary in southeast
Nebraska. Forecast soundings ahead of the front show a minor amount
(100-250 J/kg) of elevated instability and some mid-level moisture,
enough to allow for scattered showers and possibly some isolated
lightning strikes early today. Rain should clear to the south and
east by late morning as high pressure pushes in from north. It
should then be a pleasant afternoon with light winds and highs in the
low 80s.

Conditions become more extreme on Wednesday. Low pressure will move
over the northern High Plains and toward the western Great Lakes as
the next H5 trough drops out of southern Canada and over the Upper
Midwest. At the surface, strong southerly flow will push today's
front back to the north as a warm front. Moisture advection will
take dew points into the 70s across far eastern KS ahead of the next
advancing cold front. Models agree fairly well on that front
bisecting the CWA from northeast to southwest at 18Z. By 21Z, high
resolution models show between 3000 and 4000 J/kg of MLCAPE and
around 45 to 50 kts of deep layer shear developing ahead of the
boundary. Convective initiation is likely to occur in an uncapped
environment between 20Z and 22Z near I-35. Given the environmental
parameters in place, storms will be capable of producing large hail
and damaging wind, with a slightly lower tornado risk given the
fairly veered wind profile in the lower layers of the atmosphere.
Storms are expected to move southeast of the CWA by the evening
hours. Lingering showers could occur on Thursday in southeast KS
where the boundary stalls.

Another consideration for Wednesday will be the hot and humid
conditions combining to create heat index values above 100 degrees
and the possible need for an advisory in east-central KS. Will let
later shifts reevaluate that potential.

High pressure will make for another nice day to wrap up the workweek
on Friday. The upper level pattern then becomes more quasi-zonal
this weekend with long range models showing several shortwaves
riding through the flow over the central US. There are still some
differences on timing of precipitation this weekend, but chances
will exist both Saturday and Sunday. The main concern this weekend
currently appears to be heavy rain and the potential for more
flooding.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1124 AM CDT Tue Jun 16 2026

Wind driven TAFs will be expected with winds increasing out of the
south later this evening and overnight into Wednesday morning.
Turbulent mixing overnight will become realized as a 50 knot low
level jet overspreads the terminals by sunrise Wednesday. Gusts
increase to around 35-40 knots for the late period. A frontal
boundary will begins to slide in from the west near the end of the
period helping to decrease wind speeds and shift winds out of the
northwest by Wednesday afternoon.

&&

.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

DISCUSSION...Teefey
AVIATION...Griesemer

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Topeka KS
311 AM CDT Tue Jun 16 2026

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-170815-
Republic-Washington-Marshall-Nemaha-Brown-Cloud-Clay-Riley-
Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson-Ottawa-Dickinson-Geary-Morris-
Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon-Osage-Franklin-Coffey-Anderson-
311 AM CDT Tue Jun 16 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Kansas, east central
Kansas, north central Kansas and northeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

A few severe thunderstorms could develop near Interstate 35 in east
central Kansas Wednesday afternoon. The main concerns will be large
hail and damaging wind gusts. There is a lower risk for a few
tornadoes.

&&

More detailed information can be found at:
www.weather.gov/media/top/DssPacket.pdf