Alert archive / Florida / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2026

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 13, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

July 10, 2026Lee County, Florida

NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 10, 2026, 3:54 PM EDT for Lee County, Florida. It was in force for 36 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jul 10, 2026, 3:54 PM EDT (19:54 UTC)
Expired: Jul 10, 2026, 4:30 PM EDT
In force: 36 min
Issued by: NWS Tampa Bay, FL
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 0.75 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

County Lee County, FL

The radar

The Tampa radar (KTBW), 133 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jul 10, 4:09 PM EDT	TSTM WND GST 55	1 Nne Page Park-Pine Ma, FL	ASOS station KFMY Fort Myers.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 12:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 133 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1871 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -79 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1067 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 3 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 5 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 10 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

551 
WUUS52 KTBW 101954
SVRTBW
FLC071-102030-
/O.NEW.KTBW.SV.W.0013.260710T1954Z-260710T2030Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area Ruskin FL
354 PM EDT Fri Jul 10 2026

The National Weather Service in Ruskin has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Northeastern Lee County in southwestern Florida...

* Until 430 PM EDT.

* At 354 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Southwest
  Florida Airport, or near Fort Myers, moving northwest at 20 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
  Cape Coral, Fort Myers, Whiskey Creek, Page Park, Page Field
  Airport, McGregor, East Dunbar, Suncoast Estates, Fort Myers
  Villas, and Pine Manor.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 2663 8165 2648 8174 2663 8208 2677 8195
TIME...MOT...LOC 1954Z 115DEG 17KT 2655 8178 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

TBW

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 10, 1:39 PM EDT, 2 hours 15 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

Hot conditions continue this afternoon, with near record high temperatures and heat index values of up to 110.
There is a marginal risk of severe thunderstorms this afternoon, with a few strong or damaging storms possible.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 10, 1:39 PM EDT, 2 hours 15 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
139 PM EDT Fri Jul 10 2026

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Hot conditions continue this afternoon, with near record high
  temperatures and heat index values of up to 110.

- There is a marginal risk of severe thunderstorms this afternoon,
  with a few strong or damaging storms possible.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 138 PM EDT Fri Jul 10 2026

The Saharan Air Layer still lingers, though seems to have thinned
out compared to yesterday. Even with the SAL still present,
afternoon thunderstorms are still expected to develop especially
for coastal areas, south of I4. Warm temperatures, plenty of
surface moisture, and moderate instability could lead to isolated
strong or severe storms. Main concern will be strong, damaging
winds. Otherwise, the main story continues to be the heat . High
temperatures are expected to be near record for many places once
again and wide spread heat indices over 100 with some reaching
around 108 or higher.

As typical moisture returns to the area this weekend, temperatures
will moderate slightly, though still reach the low to mid 90s each
day. Current forecast shows the Saharan dust returning over South
Florida by Sunday then lingering through the first half of the week.
However, rain chances will increase for the northern half of the
forecast area where moisture will be increasing a frontal boundary
approaches.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 138 PM EDT Fri Jul 10 2026

VFR conditions prevail. However, scattered to numerous storms are
expected to develop later this afternoon into the evening,
especially over SWFL. Some storms could have strong, damaging winds.
Conditions quiet overnight.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 138 PM EDT Fri Jul 10 2026

Marine conditions will continue to be quiet through the weekend as
winds stay below 10 kts. Only concern will be showers and storms
that move over the water creating locally higher winds and rough
seas.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 138 PM EDT Fri Jul 10 2026

Fire weather concerns remain minimal as plenty of low level moisture
remains in the area. Scattered to numerous showers and storms
expected this afternoon into the evening, mainly south of I4.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  80  93  81  94 /  40  40  20  20
FMY  77  94  78  97 /  30  50  10  20
GIF  76  96  76  96 /  30  50  40  40
SRQ  77  93  79  94 /  40  40  10  10
BKV  74  96  75  95 /  40  40  20  30
SPG  80  93  81  94 /  40  40  10  10

&&

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Friday: 6
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Saturday: 6

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to:
     https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Heat Advisory until 7 PM EDT this evening for Coastal Charlotte-
     Coastal Citrus-Coastal Hernando-Coastal Hillsborough-
     Coastal Lee-Coastal Levy-Coastal Manatee-Coastal Pasco-
     Coastal Sarasota-DeSoto-Hardee-Highlands-Inland Charlotte-
     Inland Citrus-Inland Hernando-Inland Hillsborough-Inland
     Lee-Inland Levy-Inland Manatee-Inland Pasco-Inland Sarasota-
     Pinellas-Polk-Sumter.

Gulf waters...None.

&&

DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Pearce
DECISION SUPPORT...Carlisle/Wynn

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 10, 1:27 PM EDT, 2 hours 27 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area Ruskin FL
127 PM EDT Fri Jul 10 2026

FLZ050-101800-
Pinellas FL-
127 PM EDT Fri Jul 10 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN PINELLAS COUNTY
THROUGH 200 PM EDT...

At 126 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Harbor Bluffs, or near Largo, moving northwest at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Clearwater, Largo, Harbor Bluffs, Ridgecrest, South Highpoint, Palm
Harbor, Belleair, Belleair Bluffs, Belleair Beach, Belleair Shore,
Walsingham Park, Belleair Shores, and Caladesi Island.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 2801 8291 2806 8274 2791 8272 2786 8284
      2796 8291
TIME...MOT...LOC 1726Z 156DEG 7KT 2795 8280

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

TBW

Local storm report, Jul 10, 2:15 PM EDT, 1 hour 39 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
215 PM EDT Fri Jul 10 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0155 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     3 NW Dunedin            28.06N 82.81W
07/10/2026  M45 MPH          Pinellas           FL   Mesonet

            Mesonet station XDUN Dunedin Causeway.

&&

TBW

Special weather statement, Jul 10, 2:59 PM EDT, 55 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area Ruskin FL
259 PM EDT Fri Jul 10 2026

FLZ139-239-101930-
Coastal Levy FL-Inland Levy FL-
259 PM EDT Fri Jul 10 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL LEVY COUNTY THROUGH 330
PM EDT...

At 259 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles southwest of Bronson. This thunderstorm was nearly stationary.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Bronson and Otter Creek.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 2923 8270 2933 8291 2953 8281 2941 8257
TIME...MOT...LOC 1859Z 202DEG 1KT 2936 8276

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

TBW

Special weather statement, Jul 10, 3:28 PM EDT, 26 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area Ruskin FL
328 PM EDT Fri Jul 10 2026

FLZ165-262-265-102030-
Inland Charlotte FL-Inland Lee FL-Coastal Lee FL-
328 PM EDT Fri Jul 10 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN CHARLOTTE AND LEE
COUNTIES THROUGH 430 PM EDT...

At 328 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 7 miles southeast of Ortona to Naples Park.
Movement was northwest at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Cape Coral, Fort Myers, Bonita Springs, Lehigh Acres, East Dunbar,
Matlacha, Palmona Park, Southwest Florida Airport, Harlem Heights,
Lochmoor Waterway Estates, Iona, Cypress Lake, San Carlos Park,
McGregor, Pine Manor, Charleston Park, Lovers Key State Park,
Matlacha Isles-Matlacha Shores, Olga, and Buckingham.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 2633 8182 2632 8186 2638 8216 2650 8224
      2703 8157 2642 8156 2642 8166 2632 8166
      2631 8182
TIME...MOT...LOC 1928Z 126DEG 19KT 2672 8124 2627 8183

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

TBW

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 10, 2:40 AM EDT	Heat Advisory	TBW	Charlotte, Citrus, DeSoto, Hardee, Hernando, Highlands and 9 more	16 hr
Jul 10, 1:27 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	TBW	Pinellas	33 min
Jul 10, 1:30 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	TBW		45 min
Jul 10, 2:00 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	TBW		30 min
Jul 10, 2:59 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	TBW	Levy	31 min
Jul 10, 3:28 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	TBW	Lee	62 min
Jul 10, 3:29 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	TBW		61 min
Jul 10, 3:41 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TBW	Lee	34 min
Jul 10, 4:13 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	TBW	Citrus	32 min
Jul 10, 4:29 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	TBW	Charlotte, DeSoto, Lee	61 min
Jul 10, 4:30 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TBW	Charlotte, Lee	30 min
Jul 10, 4:33 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	TBW		57 min
Jul 10, 4:41 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TBW	Charlotte, Lee, Sarasota	34 min
Jul 10, 4:53 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TBW	Charlotte, Sarasota	37 min
Jul 10, 5:19 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TBW	DeSoto, Hardee, Manatee, Sarasota	26 min
Jul 10, 5:24 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	TBW	DeSoto, Hardee, Manatee, Polk, Sarasota	66 min
Jul 10, 5:27 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	TBW		63 min
Jul 10, 5:37 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TBW	DeSoto, Hardee, Hillsborough, Manatee, Polk, Sarasota	38 min
Jul 10, 6:10 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	TBW		95 min
Jul 10, 6:15 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TBW	Hardee, Hillsborough, Manatee, Pinellas, Polk, Sarasota	30 min
Jul 10, 6:28 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	TBW		62 min
Jul 10, 6:45 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TBW	Hillsborough, Pinellas	30 min
Jul 10, 7:09 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TBW	Hillsborough, Pasco, Pinellas	36 min
Jul 10, 7:22 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	TBW		38 min
Jul 10, 7:25 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	TBW	Sumter	35 min
Jul 10, 7:33 PM EDT	Special Marine Warning	TBW		57 min
Jul 10, 7:43 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TBW	Hernando, Pasco, Pinellas	32 min
Jul 10, 7:52 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TBW	Citrus, Hernando, Pasco, Sumter	23 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Florida, 2026 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.