Flash Flood Warning 5, NWS Tallahassee, FL

342 
WGUS52 KTAE 190053
FFWTAE
ALC031-045-061-190300-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FF.W.0005.000000T0000Z-260619T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
853 PM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

The National Weather Service in Tallahassee has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Coffee County in southeastern Alabama...
  Northwestern Dale County in southeastern Alabama...
  Western Geneva County in southeastern Alabama...

* Until 1000 PM CDT.

* At 753 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  heavy rain across the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or 
  expected to begin shortly.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Elba, Enterprise, Fort Rucker, Ozark, Level Plains, Samson, New 
  Brockton, Ariton, Lee, Kinston, Coffee Springs, Turner Crossroads, 
  Richburg, Goodman, Enterprise Municipal A/P, Clintonville, 
  Woodland Grove Church, Lucile, Battens Crossroads and Shell Army 
  Field.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law 
enforcement and request they pass this information to the National 
Weather Service when you can do so safely.

&&

LAT...LON 3154 8614 3162 8615 3162 8560 3116 8583
      3099 8598 3099 8619 3153 8619

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
356 PM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER, HYDROLOGY...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 347 PM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

- Additional rounds of heavy rain are expected this evening into Friday
  with the heaviest amounts expected across southeast Alabama,
  southwest Georgia, and the Florida panhandle. High rain rates
  and training bands will increase the chance of dangerous to
  life-threatening flash flooding. A flood watch is in effect
  today and Friday generally near and west of a Panama City to
  Ashburn line for the potential for flash flooding.

- A few tornadoes are possible today and Friday across the area
  with quick spin-ups in some rain bands. A Slight Risk of severe
  weather (level 2 of 5) exists from Randolph County to Walton
  County eastward with a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) over the
  rest of the area. A Marginal Risk continues area-wide Friday.

- A High Risk of rip currents is forecast to continue through at
  least Saturday for the Walton, Bay, and Gulf county beaches.
  High surf is also likely along the Walton and Bay County
  beaches. It is strongly discouraged to enter the surf on high
  risk days. Please heed the beach flags and advice of local
  officials.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This Evening through Friday)
Issued at 347 PM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

The remnants of Arthur are moving across southern Mississippi into
southwestern and central Alabama this afternoon. Bands of showers
and storms have developed across southeast Alabama and southwest
Georgia with more concentrated rain and thunderstorms over southwest
Alabama and south Mississippi. PWATs will increase as the low
associated with the remnants move east-northeastward. These bands
have exhibited rotating cells so far today, but with the approaching
low, low level shear will increase gradually late this afternoon
into the evening. Thus, expect the overall tornado threat to
increase late this afternoon into the evening.

The other, perhaps greater threat, is the flash flood potential.
There is a line of storms extending from what appears to be a meso-
low near Evergreen, AL. As this feature moves east-northeast, it'll
drag this NE-SW oriented line of storms across southern Alabama and
possibly into the Florida Panhandle. This band would likely train,
producing high rain rates and several inches of rain in a short
period of time. This would likely lead to flash flooding,
potentially considerable, wherever this band trains. Guidance has
wavered between the AL/FL line and across Pike/Barbour Counties.
Regardless, all those in the Flood Watch should be alert for any
Flash Flood Warnings. All those in the Flood Watch are in a Moderate
Risk (level 3 of 4) for excessive rainfall, which is relatively
rare, and means considerable flash flooding and/or numerous flash
floods are possible.

There may be a lull overnight as the shortwave associated with the
remnants of Arthur depart to the east. However, we'll have a cold
front that will still be in place with trailing vorticity in the
wake of Arthur's remnants. Models show redevelopment along this
trailing front with a potential MCS along the front, moving
southeastward through our area. Given the potential for the heavy
rain this evening, we'll be primed for additional flooding. Thus,
the Moderate Risk for excessive rainfall continues for Friday across
southeast Alabama and the adjacent Florida and Georgia counties.

In addition to the flash flood threat on Friday, another severe
threat exists, mostly in the form of damaging wind gusts, though a
brief tornado or two cannot be ruled out. SPC has a Marginal Risk of
severe weather (level 1 of 5) for the entire area on Friday.

Dangerous rip currents and high surf continues along the beaches
into Friday. On high risk days, it is strongly urged that everyone
stays out of the surf.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 347 PM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

The cold front will stall across the southern parts of Mississippi,
Alabama, and Georgia on Saturday. Another shortwave will approach
from the west, which may kick off more convection Saturday. This
part of the forecast is much more uncertain as it really depends on
where the front is. Thus, right now, the flash flood risk for
Saturday is currently at a Slight (level 2 of 4) for southeast
Alabama and the adjacent FL/GA counties. But, if it appears that
training storms are possible again, it is not out of the realm of
possibility that the flash flood risks increase. Also, a few strong
storms may be possible again Saturday.

By Sunday, the front starts to lift northward, but there will still
be enough moisture in place for numerous showers and thunderstorms
to develop once again with heavy rainfall and gusty winds being the
main threats.

Early next week, we should have a bit of a lull in rain chances back
to more typical for summer as moisture decreases a bit and the sea
breeze becomes the more dominant feature. Highs will rise early next
week back to the low to mid 90s, with heat index values of 102-107,
possibly near advisory levels in some cases.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 131 PM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

An active TAF period with multiple rounds of TSRA/SHRA possible
at all terminals, bringing periods of IFR conditions. Gusty
southerly winds to 20-30kts will persist as well, relaxing some
overnight in areas not influenced by TSRA. Another active day in
store tomorrow.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 347 PM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

Southerly breezes with advisory-level conditions are expected
through at least early Friday morning over the Gulf west of
Apalachicola with cautionary conditions east. Winds will weaken as
we head into the weekend, becoming gentle to moderate out of the
west to southwest. Seas will subside from 5 to 7 feet tonight to
2 to 3 feet this weekend into next week.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 347 PM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

A very moist air mass will be in place through the weekend,
supporting widespread shower and thunderstorm activity, thick
cloud cover, and wetting rains. Pockets of heavy rainfall are
expected. Thunderstorms will come with dangerous lightning and
sudden gusty winds.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 347 PM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

Heavy rain bands will move near or over our area later this
afternoon into the evening, potentially bringing several inches of
rain to our area in a short period of time. Models have differed on
whether this sets up just north of our area or closer to the FL/AL
state line. However, the rain totals themselves are concerning
enough that a Moderate Risk of excessive rainfall (level 3 of 4)
continues for southeast Alabama, the Florida Panhandle, and
southwest Georgia. This means that numerous, potentially
considerable flash floods are possible. The Flood Watch continues
for the Moderate Risk area.

While widespread totals in the Flood Watch area will be around 3-6
inches, some localized spots under training bands could see 7-10
inches (10 percent chance of seeing totals higher than this). If
this falls in a short period of time, considerable flash flooding
would become increasingly likely.

Farther east, while the threat of considerable flash flooding is
lower, some localized flash flooding remains possible as the storms
will still be capable of producing very heavy rain. But, the
concentration of heavy rain will be more scattered.

The Moderate Risk continues for southeast Alabama and the adjacent
FL/GA counties on Friday. Our ground will also be pretty saturated
at this point, so we will be rather susceptible to flash flooding.
It's concerning that model guidance shows redevelopment of a
trailing band of showers and storms over our area early Friday
morning and continuing through the afternoon.

Saturday's risk is a bit lower, but more uncertain as showers and
storms will redevelop, and potentially fall over saturated ground.
Right now, it's a Slight Risk (level 2 of 4) for southeast Alabama
and the adjacent FL/GA counties.

On the river side, rises into action stage and minor flood are
likely along the Pea, Choctawhatchee, and Shoal River basins. An
isolated rise to moderate flood stage cannot be ruled out if bands
train over a particular river basin, especially the Shoal River.
Otherwise, most other rivers could rise to action stage, but river
flooding outside of the aforementioned basins is not expected.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is requested. Spotters should safely report
significant weather conditions and/or damage by calling the
office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee   89  77  89  75 /  60  50  80  50
Panama City   86  80  88  78 /  70  40  70  60
Dothan        83  74  85  73 /  80  90  90  80
Albany        87  73  84  73 /  80  80  80  60
Valdosta      90  77  87  74 /  40  50  80  60
Cross City    93  80  90  77 /  20   0  60  60
Apalachicola  87  82  88  79 /  30  20  50  40

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Flood Watch through late Friday night for FLZ007>013-108-112.

     High Rip Current Risk through late Sunday night for FLZ108-112-
     114.

     High Surf Advisory until 10 AM CDT Friday for FLZ108-112.

     High Rip Current Risk through late Saturday night for FLZ115.

GA...Flood Watch through late Friday night for GAZ120>128-142>145-155-
     156.

AL...Flood Watch through late Friday night for ALZ065>069.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM CDT Friday for GMZ751-752-770-
     772.

&&

SHORT TERM...Young
LONG TERM....Young
AVIATION...Humphreys
MARINE...Young
FIRE WEATHER...Young
HYDROLOGY...Young

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
1135 AM CDT Thu Jun 18 2026

ALZ068-FLZ007>009-181715-
Geneva AL-Central Walton FL-Holmes FL-North Walton FL-
1135 AM CDT Thu Jun 18 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN GENEVA...
NORTHWESTERN WALTON AND NORTHWESTERN HOLMES COUNTIES THROUGH 1215 PM
CDT...

At 1135 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles northwest of De Funiak Springs, moving north at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
De Funiak Springs, Eglin Air Force Base, Liberty, Paxton, Pond Creek,
Oakwood Hills, Cluster Springs, Gaskin, Alpine Heights, Darlington,
Logan Field Municipal A/P, De Funiak Spring Airport, Glendale,
Pleasant Ridge, Center Ridge, New Harmony, Piney Grove, Mossy Head,
Caney Creek, and Hacoda.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3079 8639 3100 8632 3100 8619 3114 8619
      3106 8593 3067 8615 3074 8639
TIME...MOT...LOC 1635Z 201DEG 27KT 3081 8622

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

58-REESE

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
152 PM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

GAZ124>127-181900-
Worth GA-Lee GA-Dougherty GA-Terrell GA-
152 PM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL DOUGHERTY...LEE...
EASTERN TERRELL AND NORTHWESTERN WORTH COUNTIES THROUGH 300 PM EDT...

At 152 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Albany, moving north at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Leesburg, Albany, Smithville, East Albany, Marine Corps Logistics
Base, Turner City, Warwick, Sasser, Bronwood, Chokee, Radium Springs,
Stocks, Forrester, Lockett Crossing, South Albany, Southwest Ga
Regional A/P, Palmyra, Olivers Mill, Neyami, and Bridges Crossroad.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3191 8392 3188 8393 3186 8393 3186 8394
      3185 8394 3185 8391 3150 8407 3155 8436
      3190 8437 3187 8434 3192 8434
TIME...MOT...LOC 1752Z 194DEG 24KT 3162 8422

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

58-REESE

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
157 PM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0140 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     Southwest Ga Regional a 31.54N 84.19W
06/18/2026  M44 MPH          Dougherty          GA   ASOS

            The Southwest Georgia Regional Airport in
            Albany measured a gust of 44 mph at 1:40 PM
            EDT.

&&

DR

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
252 PM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

GAZ124>127-181945-
Worth GA-Lee GA-Dougherty GA-Terrell GA-
252 PM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL DOUGHERTY...LEE...
EASTERN TERRELL AND NORTHWESTERN WORTH COUNTIES THROUGH 345 PM EDT...

At 252 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles northwest of Albany, moving north at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Leesburg, Albany, Putney, Smithville, East Albany, Marine Corps
Logistics Base, Turner City, Walker, Warwick, Sasser, Bronwood,
Chokee, Radium Springs, Stocks, Forrester, Lockett Crossing, South
Albany, Southwest Ga Regional A/P, Palmyra, and Olivers Mill.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM EDT for southwestern
Georgia.

&&

LAT...LON 3191 8392 3188 8393 3186 8393 3185 8394
      3184 8387 3183 8385 3182 8385 3182 8384
      3146 8405 3157 8442 3190 8438 3187 8434
      3192 8434
TIME...MOT...LOC 1852Z 197DEG 29KT 3165 8431

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

58-REESE

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
340 PM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

GAZ127>131-146-182115-
Tift GA-Worth GA-Colquitt GA-Irwin GA-Turner GA-Ben Hill GA-
340 PM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT WESTERN IRWIN...TURNER...
NORTHERN COLQUITT...TIFT...BEN HILL AND SOUTHEASTERN WORTH COUNTIES
THROUGH 515 PM EDT...

At 340 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Omega, or 9 miles southwest of Tifton, moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Tifton, Moultrie, Ashburn, Ocilla, Fitzgerald, Sylvester, Omega,
Norman Park, Poulan, Doerun, Ty Ty, Phillipsburg, Mystic, Unionville,
Riverside, Worth, Terrell, Schley, Sycamore, and Funston.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3183 8315 3183 8314 3181 8313 3182 8311
      3181 8310 3167 8317 3133 8348 3132 8351
      3129 8351 3110 8369 3125 8400 3126 8400
      3180 8369 3180 8361 3185 8361 3184 8321
      3185 8318
TIME...MOT...LOC 1940Z 215DEG 25KT 3139 8365

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

58-REESE

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
335 PM CDT Thu Jun 18 2026

ALZ065-066-182200-
Dale AL-Coffee AL-
335 PM CDT Thu Jun 18 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN DALE AND COFFEE
COUNTIES THROUGH 500 PM CDT...

At 334 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Troy Municipal Airport to near Brantley to
6 miles southwest of Andalusia. Movement was east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Elba, Fort Rucker, New Brockton, Ariton, Lee, Kinston, Pine Level,
Mixons Crossroads, Perry Store, Curtis, Carl Folsom A/p, Ino, Lowry
Mill, Camp Humming Hills, Clintonville, Roeton, Wise Mill, Clowers
Crossroads, Basin, and Arcus.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for southeastern
Alabama.

&&

LAT...LON 3153 8619 3154 8614 3162 8615 3162 8563
      3122 8611 3121 8619
TIME...MOT...LOC 2034Z 257DEG 21KT 3180 8606 3153 8620 3124 8655

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

58-REESE