Alert archive / Iowa / Mesoscale Discussions in 2026

Mesoscale Discussion 730

May 15, 20264 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 15, 2026, 7:29 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 15, 2026, 7:29 PM CDT (00:29 UTC)
Expired
May 15, 2026, 9:30 PM CDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe thunderstorm watch 205
All 102 counties

Adair County, IA, Adams County, IA, Allamakee County, IA, Audubon County, IA, Black Hawk County, IA, Boone County, IA, Bremer County, IA, Buchanan County, IA, Buena Vista County, IA, Butler County, IA, Calhoun County, IA, Carroll County, IA, Cass County, IA, Cerro Gordo County, IA, Cherokee County, IA, Chickasaw County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Clay County, IA, Clayton County, IA, Crawford County, IA, Dallas County, IA, Dickinson County, IA, Emmet County, IA, Fayette County, IA, Floyd County, IA, Franklin County, IA, Fremont County, IA, Greene County, IA, Grundy County, IA, Guthrie County, IA, Hamilton County, IA, Hancock County, IA, Hardin County, IA, Harrison County, IA, Howard County, IA, Humboldt County, IA, Ida County, IA, Jasper County, IA, Kossuth County, IA, Lyon County, IA, Madison County, IA, Marshall County, IA, Mills County, IA, Mitchell County, IA, Monona County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, O'Brien County, IA, Osceola County, IA, Page County, IA, Palo Alto County, IA, Plymouth County, IA, Pocahontas County, IA, Polk County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Sac County, IA, Shelby County, IA, Sioux County, IA, Story County, IA, Tama County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Union County, IA, Warren County, IA, Webster County, IA, Winnebago County, IA, Winneshiek County, IA, Woodbury County, IA, Worth County, IA, Wright County, IA, Dodge County, MN, Faribault County, MN, Fillmore County, MN, Freeborn County, MN, Houston County, MN, Jackson County, MN, Martin County, MN, Mower County, MN, Nobles County, MN, Olmsted County, MN, Steele County, MN, Waseca County, MN, Winona County, MN, Burt County, NE, Butler County, NE, Cass County, NE, Colfax County, NE, Cuming County, NE, Dakota County, NE, Dixon County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Douglas County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Otoe County, NE, Saline County, NE, Sarpy County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Seward County, NE, Stanton County, NE, Thurston County, NE, Washington County, NE, Wayne County, NE, Clay County, SD, Union County, SD

The radar

The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 85 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 00:00Z, 0.5 hours before the alert went out and 177 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2026-05-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 798 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2026-05-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 102 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
798 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-87 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2723 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
102 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
147 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 15, 9:07 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Benton, Black Hawk, Bremer, Buchanan, Butler and 15 more113 min
May 15, 10:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBenton, Buchanan, Cedar, Clinton, Delaware, Dubuque and 5 more4 hr
May 15, 10:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Audubon, Black Hawk, Boone, Bremer and 45 more2 hr
May 16, 3:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Clarke, Decatur, Fremont, Montgomery, Page and 3 more85 min
May 16, 4:40 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Cass, Clarke, Decatur and 11 more6 hr
May 16, 5:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCPottawattamie9 hr
May 16, 6:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Appanoose, Clarke, Decatur, Montgomery, Ringgold and 3 more89 min
May 16, 2:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChase, Dundy, Hayes, Hitchcock, Perkins84 min
May 16, 4:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArthur, Chase, Cheyenne, Deuel, Dundy, Frontier and 13 more6 hr
May 16, 4:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Buffalo, Butler, Cass, Clay, Colfax and 37 more3 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Iowa, 2026Mesoscale Discussions in Nebraska, 2026Mesoscale Discussions in Minnesota, 2026Every mesoscale discussion in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.