Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2026

Mesoscale Discussion 615

April 29, 2026Miller County, Arkansas; 12 parishes in Louisiana; 22 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Apr 29, 2026, 10:21 AM CDT for Miller County, Arkansas; 12 parishes in Louisiana; 22 counties in Texas. It was in force for 114 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 29, 2026, 10:21 AM CDT (15:21 UTC)
Expired
Apr 29, 2026, 12:15 PM CDT
In force
114 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...watch possible
Chance of a watch
60%
All 35 counties

Miller County, AR, Bienville Parish, LA, Bossier Parish, LA, Caddo Parish, LA, Claiborne Parish, LA, De Soto Parish, LA, Jackson Parish, LA, Lincoln Parish, LA, Natchitoches Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Sabine Parish, LA, Webster Parish, LA, Winn Parish, LA, Bowie County, TX, Camp County, TX, Cass County, TX, Delta County, TX, Franklin County, TX, Gregg County, TX, Harrison County, TX, Hopkins County, TX, Hunt County, TX, Lamar County, TX, Marion County, TX, Morris County, TX, Panola County, TX, Rains County, TX, Red River County, TX, Rusk County, TX, Shelby County, TX, Smith County, TX, Titus County, TX, Upshur County, TX, Van Zandt County, TX, Wood County, TX

The radar

The Shreveport radar (KSHV), 56 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 3.4 hours before the alert went out and 270 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2026-04-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2026-04-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 184 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
838 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
184 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
346 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
14.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 28, 7:29 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Calhoun, Clark, Cleburne, Cleveland, Conway and 31 more2 hr
Apr 28, 8:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Cleveland, Desha and 3 more2 hr
Apr 28, 9:41 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCCrittenden, Lee, Phillips, St. Francis4 hr
Apr 28, 11:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Chicot, Cleveland, Desha and 3 more2 hr
Apr 29, 11:16 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCColumbia, Lafayette, Miller, Union10 hr
Apr 29, 1:37 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColumbia, Lafayette, Miller, Union113 min
Apr 29, 12:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFranklin, Madison, Tensas2 hr
Apr 29, 1:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCatahoula, Concordia, East Baton Rouge, East Carroll, East Feliciana, Franklin and 13 more8 hr
Apr 29, 3:02 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCConcordia, Franklin, Madison, Richland, Tensas, Washington118 min
Apr 29, 5:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Avoyelles, Caldwell, Catahoula, Concordia, De Soto and 9 more115 min
Apr 29, 5:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEast Feliciana, Livingston, Saint Helena, Saint Tammany, Tangipahoa, Washington2 hr
Apr 28, 7:02 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEllis, Erath, Hill, Hood, Johnson, Navarro and 1 more118 min
Apr 28, 7:50 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAnderson, Falls, Freestone, Henderson, Houston, Leon and 5 more5 hr
Apr 28, 9:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFalls, Freestone, Hill, Leon, Limestone, McLennan and 1 more2 hr
Apr 29, 12:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Bexar, Blanco, Caldwell, Comal, Edwards and 12 more2 hr
Apr 29, 3:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBandera, Crockett, Dimmit, Edwards, Frio, Kerr and 10 more8 hr
Apr 29, 5:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Dimmit, Edwards, Frio, Kerr, Kinney and 7 more85 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2026Mesoscale Discussions in Louisiana, 2026Mesoscale Discussions in Arkansas, 2026Every mesoscale discussion in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.