Alert archive / Iowa / Mesoscale Discussions in 2026

Mesoscale Discussion 445

April 15, 202659 counties in Iowa; 9 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Apr 15, 2026, 10:22 AM CDT for 59 counties in Iowa; 9 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 15, 2026, 10:22 AM CDT (15:22 UTC)
Expired
Apr 15, 2026, 12:45 PM CDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...watch possible
Chance of a watch
40%
All 68 counties

Adair County, IA, Adams County, IA, Audubon County, IA, Benton County, IA, Black Hawk County, IA, Boone County, IA, Bremer County, IA, Buchanan County, IA, Buena Vista County, IA, Butler County, IA, Calhoun County, IA, Carroll County, IA, Cass County, IA, Cedar County, IA, Chickasaw County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Crawford County, IA, Dallas County, IA, Delaware County, IA, Fayette County, IA, Floyd County, IA, Franklin County, IA, Greene County, IA, Grundy County, IA, Guthrie County, IA, Hamilton County, IA, Hardin County, IA, Harrison County, IA, Humboldt County, IA, Ida County, IA, Iowa County, IA, Jasper County, IA, Johnson County, IA, Jones County, IA, Keokuk County, IA, Linn County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Madison County, IA, Mahaska County, IA, Marion County, IA, Marshall County, IA, Mills County, IA, Monona County, IA, Monroe County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, Pocahontas County, IA, Polk County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Poweshiek County, IA, Sac County, IA, Shelby County, IA, Story County, IA, Tama County, IA, Union County, IA, Warren County, IA, Washington County, IA, Webster County, IA, Woodbury County, IA, Wright County, IA, Burt County, NE, Cass County, NE, Cuming County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Douglas County, NE, Sarpy County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Thurston County, NE, Washington County, NE

The radar

The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 32 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 3.4 hours before the alert went out and 334 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2026-04-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2026-04-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 82 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
937 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
49 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
82 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
96 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 14, 7:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Appanoose, Clarke, Davis, Decatur, Fremont and 12 more2 hr
Apr 14, 9:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Clarke, Davis, Decatur and 16 more4 hr
Apr 14, 11:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Cedar, Clarke, Clinton, Fremont, Iowa and 14 more84 min
Apr 14, 11:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBenton, Cedar, Clinton, Iowa, Jackson, Jefferson and 8 more4 hr
Apr 15, 1:47 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppanoose, Davis, Des Moines, Henry, Jefferson, Keokuk and 11 more88 min
Apr 15, 12:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAudubon, Black Hawk, Boone, Bremer, Butler, Calhoun and 24 more7 hr
Apr 15, 1:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Dallas, Grundy, Hamilton, Hardin, Jasper and 4 more85 min
Apr 15, 2:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppanoose, Clarke, Davis, Decatur, Lucas, Monroe and 4 more2 hr
Apr 15, 3:40 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Benton, Buchanan, Cedar and 37 more6 hr
Apr 15, 4:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDubuque86 min
Apr 15, 6:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppanoose, Benton, Cedar, Clinton, Davis, Delaware and 24 more2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Iowa, 2026Mesoscale Discussions in Nebraska, 2026Every mesoscale discussion in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.