Alert archive / New Jersey / Mesoscale Discussions in 2026

Mesoscale Discussion 2145

August 27, 20264 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 27, 2026, 10:57 AM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 27, 2026, 10:57 AM EDT (14:57 UTC)
Expired
Aug 27, 2026, 1:00 PM EDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...watch possible
Chance of a watch
40%
All 34 counties

New Castle County, DE, Atlantic County, NJ, Bergen County, NJ, Burlington County, NJ, Camden County, NJ, Cumberland County, NJ, Essex County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Hudson County, NJ, Hunterdon County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Ocean County, NJ, Passaic County, NJ, Salem County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ, Union County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Bronx County, NY, Kings County, NY, Nassau County, NY, New York County, NY, Queens County, NY, Richmond County, NY, Rockland County, NY, Westchester County, NY, Bucks County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA

The radar

The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 43 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 3.0 hours before the alert went out and 169 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2026-08-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 346 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2026-08-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 83 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
346 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-24 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
890 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
83 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
87 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 27, 12:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCKent, New Castle9 hr
Aug 27, 2:29 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cape May, Cumberland, Gloucester and 5 more2 hr
Aug 27, 12:51 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbany, Broome, Chemung, Chenango, Columbia, Cortland and 22 more114 min
Aug 27, 1:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlbany, Broome, Cayuga, Chemung, Chenango, Columbia and 28 more7 hr
Aug 27, 4:22 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbany, Columbia, Delaware, Fulton, Greene, Montgomery and 7 more113 min
Aug 27, 7:06 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbany, Columbia, Delaware, Dutchess, Greene, Rensselaer and 6 more84 min
Aug 27, 1:52 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Cumberland, Dauphin, Franklin, Fulton, Juniata and 2 more113 min
Aug 27, 3:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Centre, Clinton, Columbia, Cumberland, Dauphin and 16 more7 hr
Aug 27, 7:26 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Berks, Columbia, Cumberland, Dauphin, Lancaster and 8 more94 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in New Jersey, 2026Mesoscale Discussions in New York, 2026Mesoscale Discussions in Pennsylvania, 2026Every mesoscale discussion in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.