Alert archive / Missouri / Mesoscale Discussions in 2026

Mesoscale Discussion 2049

August 19, 20265 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 19, 2026, 11:04 PM CDT for 5 states. It was in force for 86 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 19, 2026, 11:04 PM CDT (04:04 UTC)
Expired
Aug 20, 2026, 12:30 AM CDT
In force
86 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe thunderstorm watch 602
All 52 counties

Baxter County, AR, Clay County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Greene County, AR, Izard County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Alexander County, IL, Massac County, IL, Pope County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Ballard County, KY, Caldwell County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Graves County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Livingston County, KY, Lyon County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCracken County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Bollinger County, MO, Butler County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Carter County, MO, Dunklin County, MO, Howell County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Scott County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Texas County, MO, Wayne County, MO, Benton County, TN, Carroll County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Houston County, TN, Lake County, TN, Obion County, TN, Stewart County, TN, Weakley County, TN

The radar

The Paducah radar (KPAH), 127 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 00:00Z, 4.1 hours before the alert went out and 201 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2026-08-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 659 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2026-08-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 7 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
659 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-17 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2822 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
7 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
0 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 19, 9:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBaxter, Clay, Fulton, Greene, Izard, Lawrence and 2 more7 hr
Aug 20, 1:49 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Greene86 min
Aug 20, 3:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Bradley, Chicot, Desha, Drew, Lincoln117 min
Aug 20, 5:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAshley, Chicot7 hr
Aug 20, 6:07 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Hempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River, Miller and 6 more2 hr
Aug 19, 8:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Clay, Clinton, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin and 21 more83 min
Aug 20, 12:08 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllen, Butler, Logan, Simpson, Warren6 hr
Aug 20, 5:26 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Cheatham, Davidson, Dickson, Houston, Humphreys and 6 more64 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2026Mesoscale Discussions in Kentucky, 2026Mesoscale Discussions in Tennessee, 2026Every mesoscale discussion in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.