Alert archive / Missouri / Mesoscale Discussions in 2026

Mesoscale Discussion 2001

August 16, 202611 counties in Illinois; 45 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 16, 2026, 3:11 PM CDT for 11 counties in Illinois; 45 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 16, 2026, 3:11 PM CDT (20:11 UTC)
Expired
Aug 16, 2026, 5:15 PM CDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...watch possible
Chance of a watch
60%
All 56 counties

Calhoun County, IL, Clinton County, IL, Jackson County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Madison County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Perry County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Washington County, IL, Benton County, MO, Bollinger County, MO, Boone County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Camden County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Cole County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Dent County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Henry County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Iron County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Madison County, MO, Maries County, MO, Miller County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Osage County, MO, Perry County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Shannon County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Texas County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO, Wayne County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 112 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 352 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2026-08-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 543 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2026-08-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 112 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
543 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-47 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
966 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
112 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
109 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 16, 12:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Cass, Christian, Fulton, Hancock and 10 more93 min
Aug 16, 2:13 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrew, Atchison, Buchanan, Caldwell, Carroll, Chariton and 13 more2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2026Mesoscale Discussions in Illinois, 2026Every mesoscale discussion in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.