Alert archive / New York / Mesoscale Discussions in 2026

Mesoscale Discussion 1978

August 14, 20265 counties in Massachusetts; 21 counties in New York; Bennington County, Windham County, Vermont

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 14, 2026, 3:35 PM EDT for 5 counties in Massachusetts; 21 counties in New York; Bennington County, Windham County, Vermont. It was in force for 115 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 14, 2026, 3:35 PM EDT (19:35 UTC)
Expired
Aug 14, 2026, 5:30 PM EDT
In force
115 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...watch unlikely
Chance of a watch
5%
All 28 counties

Berkshire County, MA, Franklin County, MA, Hampden County, MA, Hampshire County, MA, Worcester County, MA, Albany County, NY, Columbia County, NY, Dutchess County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Greene County, NY, Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Oneida County, NY, Oswego County, NY, Otsego County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, St. Lawrence County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Warren County, NY, Washington County, NY, Bennington County, VT, Windham County, VT

The radar

The Albany radar (KENX), 38 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 7.6 hours before the alert went out and 28 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2026-08-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 51 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2026-08-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 33 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
51 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-49 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
827 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
60 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
33 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
91 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in New York, 2026Mesoscale Discussions in Connecticut, 2026Mesoscale Discussions in Massachusetts, 2026Every mesoscale discussion in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.