Alert archive / Missouri / Mesoscale Discussions in 2026

Mesoscale Discussion 192

March 10, 20264 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Mar 10, 2026, 5:41 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Mar 10, 2026, 5:41 PM CDT (22:41 UTC)
Expired: Mar 10, 2026, 7:45 PM CDT
In force: 2 hr
Issued by: the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning: Severe potential...tornado watch likely
Chance of a watch: 80%

All 70 counties

Appanoose County, IA, Lee County, IA, Adams County, IL, Brown County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Greene County, IL, Hancock County, IL, McDonough County, IL, Pike County, IL, Schuyler County, IL, Scott County, IL, Allen County, KS, Anderson County, KS, Bourbon County, KS, Franklin County, KS, Johnson County, KS, Linn County, KS, Miami County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Adair County, MO, Audrain County, MO, Bates County, MO, Benton County, MO, Boone County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Cass County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Clark County, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Cole County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Henry County, MO, Howard County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Marion County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Osage County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Pike County, MO, Platte County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Ray County, MO, Saline County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Scotland County, MO, Shelby County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Warren County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 165 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

Tornado Watch 36Mar 10, 6:00 PM CDT

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 12:00Z, 10.7 hours before the alert went out and 268 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 88 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -512 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1185 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 49 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 434 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 474 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 10, 11:16 AM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Bureau, Ford, Fulton, Grundy, Iroquois, Kankakee and 11 more	29 min
Mar 10, 1:53 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Bureau, Ford, Fulton, Grundy, Hancock, Henderson and 20 more	3 hr
Mar 10, 3:57 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	Bureau, Cass, Champaign, DeWitt, Ford, Fulton and 29 more	10 hr
Mar 10, 4:53 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Boone, Bureau, Carroll, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage and 12 more	97 min
Mar 10, 5:40 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	Boone, Carroll, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage, Jo Daviess and 11 more	7 hr
Mar 10, 5:57 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	Adams, Brown	6 hr
Mar 10, 6:27 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Kankakee	63 min
Mar 10, 3:34 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Barber, Harper, Kingman, Sedgwick, Sumner	116 min
Mar 10, 4:51 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Allen, Anderson, Barber, Bourbon, Butler, Chase and 25 more	2 hr
Mar 10, 5:21 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	Barber, Butler, Chase, Comanche, Cowley, Harper and 7 more	6 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2026 Mesoscale Discussions in Illinois, 2026 Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2026 Every mesoscale discussion in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.