Alert archive / Missouri / Mesoscale Discussions in 2026

Mesoscale Discussion 1813

July 31, 202630 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 31, 2026, 5:30 PM CDT for 30 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 90 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 31, 2026, 5:30 PM CDT (22:30 UTC)
Expired
Jul 31, 2026, 7:00 PM CDT
In force
90 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Tornado watch 536
All 30 counties

Audrain County, MO, Boone County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Camden County, MO, Cole County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Dent County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Howard County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Maries County, MO, Marion County, MO, Miller County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Osage County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Pike County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Texas County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 100 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 10.5 hours before the alert went out and 254 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2026-07-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 714 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2026-07-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 216 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
714 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-90 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
952 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
216 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
272 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
4.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 31, 2:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Audrain, Benton, Boone, Callaway, Camden and 51 more2 hr
Jul 31, 3:26 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAudrain, Boone, Callaway, Camden, Cole, Cooper and 31 more8 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2026Every mesoscale discussion in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.