Alert archive / Indiana / Mesoscale Discussions in 2026

Mesoscale Discussion 1237

June 21, 202626 counties in Illinois; 31 counties in Indiana

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 21, 2026, 6:53 PM CDT for 26 counties in Illinois; 31 counties in Indiana. It was in force for 97 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 21, 2026, 6:53 PM CDT (23:53 UTC)
Expired
Jun 21, 2026, 8:30 PM CDT
In force
97 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Tornado watch 363...365
All 57 counties

Bond County, IL, Clark County, IL, Clay County, IL, Clinton County, IL, Coles County, IL, Crawford County, IL, Cumberland County, IL, Edwards County, IL, Effingham County, IL, Fayette County, IL, Franklin County, IL, Hamilton County, IL, Jackson County, IL, Jasper County, IL, Jefferson County, IL, Lawrence County, IL, Marion County, IL, Perry County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Richland County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Wabash County, IL, Washington County, IL, Wayne County, IL, White County, IL, Williamson County, IL, Bartholomew County, IN, Brown County, IN, Clay County, IN, Daviess County, IN, Decatur County, IN, Dubois County, IN, Gibson County, IN, Greene County, IN, Hendricks County, IN, Jackson County, IN, Jefferson County, IN, Jennings County, IN, Johnson County, IN, Knox County, IN, Lawrence County, IN, Marion County, IN, Martin County, IN, Monroe County, IN, Morgan County, IN, Orange County, IN, Owen County, IN, Pike County, IN, Posey County, IN, Putnam County, IN, Rush County, IN, Scott County, IN, Shelby County, IN, Sullivan County, IN, Vanderburgh County, IN, Vigo County, IN, Washington County, IN

The radar

The Evansville,IN radar (KVWX), 58 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 11.9 hours before the alert went out and 166 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2026-06-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2026-06-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 10 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1482 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
10 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
35 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

607 
ACUS11 KWNS 212354
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 212353 
KYZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-220130-

Mesoscale Discussion 1237
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0653 PM CDT Sun Jun 21 2026

Areas affected...southern Illinois into southern and central Indiana

Concerning...Tornado Watch 363...365...

Valid 212353Z - 220130Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 363, 365 continues.

SUMMARY...The tornado threat continues across Tornado Watches #363
and #365.

DISCUSSION...Supercells with a history of producing tornadoes are
ongoing across Tornado Watches #363 and #365 this evening. The
overall environment remains very favorable for thunderstorm
rotation, with effective-layer shear on the order of 40-50 knots and
0-3 kilometer SRH ranging from 400 m2/s2 from the Evansville, IN,
VAD to over 600 m2/s2 from the Indianapolis, IN, VAD. 

Likely contributing to this enhanced low-level helicity is a strong
easterly component to the low-level wind field in response to an MCV
tracking northeast into central Indiana. As this MCV moves northeast
toward Indianapolis, increasing low-level theta-e to the south and
east of the MCV should be sufficient to offset the loss of diurnal
heating to maintain sufficient instability into the evening hours,
particularly across the watch area. Thus, the threat for
thunderstorms will continue. The threat for tornadoes will exist as
long as ongoing thunderstorms can remain sufficiently rooted in the
boundary layer to ingest these helicity-rich low-level air parcels.

As storms move east of I65, low-level theta-e quickly drops off and
storms should become increasingly elevated. As this occurs, the
overall tornado threat should lessen and a transition to strong,
damaging winds may occur before thunderstorms weaken.

..Marsh.. 06/21/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...ILN...LMK...IND...PAH...ILX...LSX...

LAT...LON   38599018 39518828 39848672 39738536 38728522 38098731
            37678889 37799007 38599018 

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-125 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 21, 10:06 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Bond, Clay, Clinton, Coles, Cumberland and 24 more114 min
Jun 21, 1:28 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBond, Christian, Clark, Clay, Clinton, Coles and 31 more9 hr
Jun 21, 2:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Clay, Crawford, Cumberland, Edwards, Effingham and 5 more116 min
Jun 21, 4:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Crawford, Edgar, Lawrence97 min
Jun 21, 4:43 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCHamilton, White8 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Indiana, 2026Mesoscale Discussions in Illinois, 2026Every mesoscale discussion in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.