Alert archive / Missouri / Mesoscale Discussions in 2026

Mesoscale Discussion 1014

June 7, 20264 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 7, 2026, 1:16 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 119 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 7, 2026, 1:16 PM CDT (18:16 UTC)
Expired
Jun 7, 2026, 3:15 PM CDT
In force
119 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...watch possible
Chance of a watch
40%
All 86 counties

Baxter County, AR, Benton County, AR, Boone County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Conway County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Garland County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Howard County, AR, Izard County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Logan County, AR, Madison County, AR, Marion County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Newton County, AR, Perry County, AR, Pike County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Saline County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, Washington County, AR, Yell County, AR, Bourbon County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Linn County, KS, Barry County, MO, Barton County, MO, Bates County, MO, Benton County, MO, Camden County, MO, Cass County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Christian County, MO, Cole County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Greene County, MO, Henry County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Howell County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Maries County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Miller County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Newton County, MO, Osage County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Delaware County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, McCurtain County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 95 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 6.3 hours before the alert went out and 63 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2026-06-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 416 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2026-06-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 138 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
416 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-26 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
786 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
20 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
138 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
143 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 6, 7:58 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrawford, Franklin, Johnson, Logan, Madison, Montgomery and 5 more62 min
Jun 7, 2:31 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBenton, Boone, Carroll, Marion, Newton, Searcy7 hr
Jun 7, 3:58 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Conway, Faulkner and 16 more92 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2026Mesoscale Discussions in Arkansas, 2026Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2026Every mesoscale discussion in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.