Severe Thunderstorm Warning 174, NWS Shreveport, LA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1248 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1156 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

 - A backdoor cold front will bring chances for scattered showers
   and thunderstorms to area, especially south of a line from
   Mineola TX, to Shreveport, to Monroe LA, Tuesday afternoon and
   into Tuesday night.

 - Daytime high temperatures will cool back down into the 80s for
   the latter half of the week, but widespread showers and
   thunderstorms are expected to return to much of the forecast
   area Saturday and Sunday.

 - Temperatures are likely to climb back into the lower 90s by
   early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1156 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

A weak ridge is still in place over much of the Central CONUS at
the time of writing that will work to suppress most convection.
Even with this suppression, a backdooring cold front could act as
a lifting mechanism for some scattered showers and storms Tuesday
afternoon and into the overnight hours. Exact locations are
unknown due to model disagreements and possible lingering outflow
boundary interactions. However, the greatest chance will be
generally along and south of I-20. QPF is generally less than half
an inch with these showers. But slow moving or training showers
could lead to isolated flooding concerns in places. Any rain that
gets going should exit our southern zones just before midnight
Tuesday night.

Slightly cooler air will follow the cold front's exit on
Wednesday, with afternoon highs climbing into the mid to upper
80s. Temperatures should stay in this range through the rest of
the week despite the strengthening upper-level ridge. This is
partially due to a region of sfc high pressure in the Mid
Atlantic, bringing easterly sfc winds instead of the typical
southerlies. This sfc high is expected to push into the Atlantic
late this week and shift winds southerly again, which will
kickstart moisture advection and warming temperatures going into
next week.

At the same time as this wind shift, the upper-level ridge that
has been at the center of our forecast over recent days will give
way to southwest flow. Several perturbations are likely to move
downstream and bring multiple rounds of showers to the Ark-La-Tx
Friday through Sunday. Confidence is fairly high that there will
be showers, but exact locations are unknown thanks to long-range
model uncertainty. Rain chances remain broad right now for this
reason. Assuming that models can figure out this pattern, we
should be able to narrow down more specifics in the coming days.

57

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1242 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

For the 02/18Z TAF update, TSRA/VCTS continues to rapidly develop
across the airspace with some gradual southward propagation
expected through 03/03Z before dissipation. This TSRA convection will
produce some localized MVFR vis/cigs through the same time period.
By 03/12Z, some patchy MVFR/IFR vis/cigs will be likely through
03/15Z. /16/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 206 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

While an isolated severe thunderstorm cannot be ruled out through
tonight, spotter activation is not likely at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  72  87  71  86 /  20  10  20  20
MLU  71  86  69  86 /  20  20  10  10
DEQ  69  86  68  85 /   0   0   0  20
TXK  71  89  70  88 /   0   0   0  10
ELD  69  85  67  84 /   0  10  10  10
TYR  72  89  71  89 /  20  10  10  30
GGG  72  88  70  87 /  10  10  20  30
LFK  72  88  70  87 /  40  20  20  40

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

DISCUSSION...57
AVIATION...16

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1238 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

TXZ125-021830-
Upshur TX-
1238 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN UPSHUR COUNTY UNTIL
130 PM CDT...

At 1238 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Gilmer, moving west at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
  Gilmer, Rosewood, Midway, Bettie and Grice.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the weather situation closely and be alert for threatening
weather conditions.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3287 9494 3272 9486 3264 9515 3285 9515
TIME...MOT...LOC 1738Z 80DEG 16KT 3277 9498

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

50

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1245 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

ARZ072-073-021830-
Union AR-Columbia AR-
1245 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT EAST CENTRAL COLUMBIA AND WEST
CENTRAL UNION COUNTIES UNTIL 130 PM CDT...

At 1245 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Village, or 11 miles east of Magnolia, moving south at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
  Village, Calhoun, Spotville, Ebenezer, Noxobe, Marysville and
  Laughlin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the weather situation closely and be alert for threatening
weather conditions.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3334 9313 3327 9292 3309 9296 3319 9324
TIME...MOT...LOC 1744Z 21DEG 8KT 3326 9304

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

50

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1250 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

ARZ050-051-059>061-070-TXZ097-021830-
Little River AR-Howard AR-Nevada AR-Sevier AR-Miller AR-Bowie TX-
Hempstead AR-
1250 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN LITTLE
RIVER...NORTHEASTERN BOWIE...NORTHWESTERN MILLER...HEMPSTEAD...
SOUTHEASTERN HOWARD...NORTHWESTERN NEVADA AND SOUTHEASTERN SEVIER
COUNTIES UNTIL 130 PM CDT...

At 1250 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a line of strong
thunderstorms extending from 13 miles northeast of Blevins to over
Ashdown, or extending from 15 miles north of Prescott to over
Ashdown, moving southeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
  Hope, Ashdown, Prescott, Emmet, Wilton, Blevins, Perrytown,
  Tollette, Fulton, Washington, Ogden, Saratoga, McCaskill, Ozan,
  McNab, Oakhaven, Bright Star and Red Bluff.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the weather situation closely and be alert for threatening
weather conditions.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3374 9425 3386 9387 3398 9367 3398 9365
      3396 9362 3395 9353 3394 9353 3396 9347
      3395 9342 3396 9338 3393 9334 3392 9334
      3392 9333 3390 9330 3388 9331 3386 9330
      3384 9327 3361 9368 3348 9408
TIME...MOT...LOC 1750Z 322DEG 18KT 3402 9343 3378 9381 3369 9409

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

50

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1257 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

TXZ125-136-137-150-021845-
Smith TX-Rusk TX-Gregg TX-Upshur TX-
1257 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2026

...AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN GREGG...
EAST CENTRAL SMITH...NORTHWESTERN RUSK AND SOUTHWESTERN UPSHUR
COUNTIES UNTIL 145 PM CDT...

At 1257 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking an area of strong
thunderstorms near Kilgore, moving west at 5 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
  Longview, Kilgore, White Oak, Gladewater, Overton, New London, Arp,
  Clarksville City, East Mountain, Liberty City, Winona, Union Grove,
  Warren City and Laird Hill.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the weather situation closely and be alert for threatening
weather conditions.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3254 9514 3264 9503 3258 9480 3230 9483
      3223 9505 3243 9520
TIME...MOT...LOC 1756Z 98DEG 2KT 3245 9486

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

16