Tornado Warning 74, NWS Springfield, MO

327 
WWUS53 KSGF 010045
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
745 PM CDT Fri Jul 31 2026

MOC065-203-215-010115-
/O.CON.KSGF.TO.W.0074.000000T0000Z-260801T0115Z/
Shannon MO-Dent MO-Texas MO-
745 PM CDT Fri Jul 31 2026

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN SHANNON...SOUTHWESTERN DENT AND EAST CENTRAL TEXAS
COUNTIES...

At 745 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Raymondville, or 11 miles east of Houston, moving
east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Montauk State Park, Raymondville, and Montauk.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3734 9185 3744 9183 3746 9171 3747 9158
      3728 9160
TIME...MOT...LOC 0045Z 275DEG 21KT 3738 9177 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

Price

501 
WWUS53 KSGF 010105
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
805 PM CDT Fri Jul 31 2026

MOC065-010115-
/O.CAN.KSGF.TO.W.0074.000000T0000Z-260801T0115Z/
Dent MO-
805 PM CDT Fri Jul 31 2026

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN DENT COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for south central
Missouri.

&&

LAT...LON 3732 9172 3741 9171 3741 9159 3728 9160
TIME...MOT...LOC 0105Z 275DEG 21KT 3737 9162 

$$

MOC203-215-010115-
/O.CON.KSGF.TO.W.0074.000000T0000Z-260801T0115Z/
Shannon MO-Texas MO-
805 PM CDT Fri Jul 31 2026

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN SHANNON AND EAST CENTRAL TEXAS COUNTIES...

At 805 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 12 miles east of Raymondville, or 19 miles east of
Houston, moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
northwestern Shannon and east central Texas Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3732 9172 3741 9171 3741 9159 3728 9160
TIME...MOT...LOC 0105Z 275DEG 21KT 3737 9162 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

Price

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
607 PM CDT Fri Jul 31 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Heat Advisory continues for areas along and west of I-49 today
  until 8 PM for heat index values up to 110 degrees.

- Slight Risk (Level 2 of 5) for strong to severe thunderstorms
  east of Highway 65 from 4 to 11 PM today. Damaging wind gusts
  will be the primary risk, with a secondary risk for hail (ping
  pong ball size) and tornadoes.

- Unseasonably cool temperatures and windy conditions this
  weekend, especially Saturday, with highs in the upper 70s to
  lower/middle 80s and gusts up to 30 mph.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 101 PM CDT Fri Jul 31 2026

Synoptic Analysis shows an upper level low pressure system over the
Upper Mississippi Valley, with the shortwave trough axis progged to
continue pushing southeast throughout today. Satellite imagery
showcases the associated surface low currently residing over
northern Iowa, with a cold front extending south/southwest through
northwest Missouri, southeast Kansas, and down into the Texas
panhandle.

This morning's showers/storms have pushed out of the area, with
radar showing clear weather across the forecast area. Behind
this morning's convection and ahead of the cold front,
temperatures have begun to climb, with observations as of 1PM
showing temps in the upper 70s/low 80s east of Hwy 65 and into
the low 90s further west towards the MO/KS border so far. Over
the next few hours, temps will continue to climb a couple more
degrees in areas that haven't experienced peak heating, with
highs topping out in the 90s along/west of Highway 65, and the
mid 80s further east. Additionally, with dewpoints in the 70s
and relative humidity values of 70-80%, it's been a very muggy
morning/early afternoon. This has helped raise heat index values
into the upper 90s to 105 degree range, especially for areas
that were able to clear out faster from the morning rain,
generally along/west of Highway 65. The Heat Advisory remains in
effect for areas along/west of the I-49 corridor, where heat
indices will range between 105-110 degrees.

Severe Weather Chances This Afternoon/Evening:

Visible satellite has been depicting clearing behind the morning
activity, which has led to daytime heating and destabilization as
much of the area is now in the warm sector. As the afternoon
continues with diurnal heating, Hi-Res guidance suggests MLCAPE
values upwards of 1500-3000 J/kg ahead of the trailing cold front.
Deep layer shear values remain relatively marginal between 25-35kts,
however as they're oriented perpendicular to the approaching frontal
boundary, some semi-discrete cells could initiate before developing
into a more organized cluster/line segment, bringing the potential
for severe weather. SPC has highlighted a Slight Risk (level 2 of 5)
for areas east of Highway 65, with a Marginal Risk (1 of 5)
extending westward. Right now, damaging winds look to be the primary
hazard, especially if any part of the line segment can begin to bow
out. If discrete cells do end up initiating ahead of the front
(as CAMs are suggesting) , large hail up to ping pong ball size
will also pose a secondary threat, however this is a lower-end
scenario. There will also be a short window in which tornadoes
will pose a threat, especially if SRH values up to 150-250 m2/s2
can align with the highest instability. This would primarily be
for areas east of Highway 65, which is highlighted by SPC's 5%
tornado risk area. CAMs suggest the greatest severe threat would
be within a 4pm-11pm window, with the better severe chances
along/east of Highway 63.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Issued at 101 PM CDT Fri Jul 31 2026

The cold front will usher in a cooler, drier airmass into the region
on Saturday, leading to highs remaining in the 70s for much of the
area (and into the low 80s for far southeast KS/southwest MO). This
would be well below (10-15 degrees below) the climatological normal.
This is supported by northwesterly flow aloft, as an upper level
closed High pressure system resides over the Four Corners region,
with an associated upper Ridge over the western CONUS. Additionally,
Saturday will be breezy, with gusts up to 30-35mph throughout the
day.

Temperatures will gradually warm up throughout next week, with highs
reaching the low to mid 90s by midweek. Mostly dry weather is
expected as we head into the beginning of August.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 555 PM CDT Fri Jul 31 2026

Isolated convection has begun to initiate ahead of a cold front
pushing through the area, bringing chances for strong to severe
storms. KJLN is now behind the front, so confidence is high
that that terminal will remain dry. There's low confidence in
convection affecting KSGF and KBBG, with the better chances
(albeit still below 30%) at KBBG. Went with a PROB30 group for
KBBG for -TSRA to account for this potential. Otherwise, VFR
conditions will persist until approximately 11Z when MVFR
ceilings filter in to KSGF and KBBG before lifting between
20Z-22Z.

Behind the frontal passage, northwest winds will begin to pick
up at all sites, gusting up to 20-30kts beginning around 06Z and
persisting through the remainder of the TAF period.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for KSZ073-097-101.
MO...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for MOZ066-077-088-
     093-101.

&&

SHORT TERM...Melto
LONG TERM...Melto
AVIATION...Melto

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
136 PM CDT Fri Jul 31 2026

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-011845-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
136 PM CDT Fri Jul 31 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Slight tornado risk.
  Marginal hail risk.
  Slight thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Elevated lightning risk.
  Significant extreme heat risk.
  Elevated excessive rainfall risk

DISCUSSION...

Heat Advisory continues for areas along and west of I-49 until 8PM
for heat index values up to 110 degrees.

Slight Risk (Level 2 of 5) for strong to severe thunderstorms
primarily east of Highway 65 from 4 to 11 PM today. Damaging wind
gusts will be the primary risk, with a secondary risk for hail
(ping pong ball size) and tornadoes.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Unseasonably cool temperatures and windy conditions this weekend,
especially Saturday, with highs in the upper 70s to lower/middle
80s and gusts up to 30 mph.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed late afternoon and evening for
areas east of Highway 65.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Melto

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
540 PM CDT Fri Jul 31 2026

MOZ070-071-082-083-312315-
Dent MO-Phelps MO-Pulaski MO-Texas MO-
540 PM CDT Fri Jul 31 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN DENT...EAST CENTRAL
PULASKI...NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS AND SOUTHWESTERN PHELPS COUNTIES
THROUGH 615 PM CDT...

At 540 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 10
miles east of Fort Leonard Wood, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Eastern Fort Leonard Wood, Edgar Springs, Lenox, Beulah, and Anutt.

This includes Interstate 44 between mile markers 180 and 183.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for south
central, central and east central Missouri.

&&

LAT...LON 3755 9201 3775 9210 3789 9179 3756 9164
TIME...MOT...LOC 2240Z 250DEG 30KT 3766 9197

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
605 PM CDT Fri Jul 31 2026

MOZ071-083-312330-
Dent MO-Phelps MO-
605 PM CDT Fri Jul 31 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN DENT AND EAST
CENTRAL PHELPS COUNTIES THROUGH 630 PM CDT...

At 605 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles south of Rolla, moving northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Bangert, Lake Spring, Lecoma, and Anutt.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for south central
and east central Missouri.

&&

LAT...LON 3771 9174 3787 9183 3800 9152 3779 9153
      3779 9131
TIME...MOT...LOC 2305Z 246DEG 32KT 3781 9173

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

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