Flash Flood Warning 79, NWS Springfield, MO

697 
WGUS73 KSGF 270218
FFSSGF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
918 PM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026

MOC161-270715-
/O.CON.KSGF.FF.W.0079.000000T0000Z-260627T0715Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Phelps MO-
918 PM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 AM CDT SATURDAY 
FOR CENTRAL PHELPS COUNTY...

At 918 PM CDT, Local law enforcement reported thunderstorms 
producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between 1 and 3 inches 
of rain have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts up to 2 inches are 
possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is already occurring.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Law enforcement reported.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Rolla, St. James, Doolittle, Newburg, Northwye and Rosati.

County Road 2020 and Old Highway 66 had water over the roadway on 
the northeast side of Rolla.

This includes the following low water crossings...
  Norman Creek at County Road 4220 and Wolf Creek at Highway CC.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Many flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3805 9153 3780 9153 3780 9190 3804 9191

FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED

$$

EW

673 
WGUS73 KSGF 270710
FFSSGF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
210 AM CDT Sat Jun 27 2026

MOC161-270720-
/O.EXP.KSGF.FF.W.0079.000000T0000Z-260627T0715Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Phelps MO-
210 AM CDT Sat Jun 27 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 215 AM CDT EARLY THIS MORNING 
FOR CENTRAL PHELPS COUNTY...

Flood waters have receded. The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no 
longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to heed remaining 
road closures.

A Flood Watch remains in effect until 700 AM CDT for portions of 
southeast Kansas and Missouri.

&&

LAT...LON 3805 9153 3780 9153 3780 9190 3804 9191

$$

PC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
656 PM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Slight (Level 2 of 5) Risk for severe thunderstorms this
  afternoon into tonight. Damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph will
  be the primary risk.

- Slight (Level 2 of 4) to Moderate (Level 3 of 4) Risk of
  Excessive Rainfall today. A Flood Watch is in effect until 7
  AM Saturday morning.

- Hotter and drier conditions will occur across the area Sunday
  into next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 245 PM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026

Synoptic and Mesoscale Overview:

Surface analysis reveals a low pressure center across eastern
Kansas with a stationary front extending to the east across
northern Missouri and a cold front to the southwest across
southeast Kansas. Visible satellite imagery shows abundant
cloud cover persisting across the region, likely acting to delay
or lessen today's destabilization, but a few peaks across west-
central Missouri are more apparent. Mid-level flow remains
fairly weak, though a belt of moderately enhanced 850 mb flow is
nudging into southern Missouri.

Slight Severe Risk this Afternoon into Tonight:

Scattered storms will initiate in the warm sector across central
and southern Missouri throughout the afternoon with diurnal
heating and the passage of transient mid-level shortwave
impulses. There was a question of how much the cloud cover will
affect destabilization, but a special 18Z balloon launch
suggests ample destablization with minimal surface inhibition.

With sufficient destabilization, a few strong to severe storms
capable of producing damaging straight line winds will be
possible. Forecast 0-3 km theta-e differences are forecast to be
marginal (25-30 deg), so while most storms are expected to be
sub- severe a few gusts of 60 mph may be observed given the
notable lack of CIN. Deep-layer shear will be marginal for
supercell development along an outflow boundary across southwest
and central Missouri, but should they occur, a secondary risk
for hail to the size of ping pong balls and an isolated tornado
will also be possible. Confidence in these secondary hazards
occuring is low at this time. The Storm Prediction Center has
outlined most of the area in a Slight risk.

Areas of Heavy Rainfall and Flooding through Tonight:

Model PWATs are forecast to be quite high (1.9" to 2.2") with
deep moisture convergence south of the aforementioned stationary
front across northern Missouri. Resulting rain rates within the
strongest storms will be quite high as a result, with hourly
rates of 1.5 to 2.5"/hr. Both of the 12Z runs from HREF and REFS
LPMM data depict two distinct pockets of higher rainfall totals:
One across the eastern Ozarks due to training convection this
afternoon and evening, and another across the four corners
region with the potential for overnight convection along a
convergent boundary with MCV potential. Forecast rainfall totals
are generally between 1 to 3 inches, with localized amounts up
to 5 inches as a reasonable high-end scenario. Current thinking
is that the heavy rainfall amounts will not be as widespread as
they were yesterday, but the high-end potential still exists
given the likelihood of very high rainfall rates. The Weather
Prediction Center has outlined an area roughly south of a
Pittsburg, KS to Rolla line in a Moderate risk for excessive
rainfall, with a Slight risk extending across much of the rest
of the area. As a result, the Flood Watch has been extended
areawide until 7 AM Saturday. It's possible locations across
central Missouri will be removed from the watch before then as
their risk ends earlier.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Issued at 245 PM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026

Storms Linger into Saturday:

Hi-res guidance suggests remnant convection associated with an
MCV may linger into Saturday morning, particularly across
southeast Kansas and southern Missouri where a marginal wind
and hail risk may become apparent. This activity will shift east
of Highway 65 and into the eastern Ozarks during the afternoon.

Dry Weather Finally Returns Next Week:

Global ensembles show strong agreement in building a prominent
ridge across the eastern CONUS on Sunday and keeping a fairly
stagnant synoptic pattern in place through the week. This means
warmer and drier conditions overall. Moisture will still be
moderately high, so a few low-end rain chances cannot be totally
ruled out if some weak shortwave disturbance or warm air
advection regime moves through, but these will be the exception
rather than the rule.

NBM percentile data show unusually small interquartile spreads
(2-4 degrees) through next week, indicating high confidence in
the temperature forecast. Highs in the low to mid 90s will be
common, with daily heat indices in the low 100s. This may open
the door to possible heat headlines in future forecast packages.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 652 PM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026

Scattered storms along an outflow boundary in southern Missouri
to start the TAF period, with nuisance long flash lightning in
the vicinity (truly VC) of KSGF within the first 30-90 minutes
of the TAF period and redeveloping/training storms at KJLN.
MVFR to IFR visibility with any heavy downpours associated with
these storms, in addition to downbursts/strong winds as the
storms collapse. Some hail will be possible in the strongest
updrafts as well. Timing/confidence at KBBG is much lower, and
would be much later (closer to 04-06Z).

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...Flood Watch through Saturday morning for KSZ073-097-101.
MO...Flood Watch through Saturday morning for MOZ055>058-066>071-
     077>083-088>098-101>106.

&&

SHORT TERM...Didio
LONG TERM...Didio
AVIATION...Camden

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
258 PM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-272000-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
258 PM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Slight tornado risk.
  Marginal hail risk.
  Slight thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Elevated lightning risk.
  Significant excessive rainfall risk

DISCUSSION...

Slight (Level 2 of 5) Risk for severe thunderstorms this
afternoon into tonight. Damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph will be
the primary risk.

Slight (Level 2 of 4) to Moderate (Level 3 of 4) Risk of
Excessive Rainfall today. A Flood Watch is in effect until 7 AM
Saturday morning.

Hotter and drier conditions will occur across the area Sunday
into next week.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Marginal (level 1 of 5) risk for severe thunderstorms again on
Saturday, however this threat is low confidence.

Warm temperatures return to start next week with highs
in the lower 90s and heat index values in the lower 100s.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 Spotter activation may be needed today.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Didio

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
602 PM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026

MOZ096-262345-
Douglas MO-
602 PM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN DOUGLAS COUNTY
THROUGH 645 PM CDT...

At 602 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Ava, moving east at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Ava, Drury, Vanzant, and Brushyknob.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 100 AM CDT for
south central and southwestern Missouri.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 9273 3707 9269 3706 9226 3706 9225
      3687 9229
TIME...MOT...LOC 2302Z 281DEG 14KT 3701 9263

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Wise

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
720 PM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026

KSZ101-MOZ088-093-270100-
Cherokee KS-Jasper MO-Newton MO-
720 PM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN CHEROKEE...
NORTHWESTERN NEWTON AND SOUTHWESTERN JASPER COUNTIES THROUGH 800 PM
CDT...

At 720 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Galena, or near Baxter Springs, moving east at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Joplin, Webb City, Carl Junction, Baxter Springs, Columbus, Galena,
Oronogo, Airport Drive, Leawood, Lowell, Silver Creek, Shoal Creek
Drive, Saginaw, Redings Mill, Grand Falls Plaza, Shoal Creek Estates,
Waco, Dennis Acres, Cliff Village, and Neutral.

This includes Interstate 44 between mile markers 4 and 8.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 100 AM CDT for
southeastern Kansas...and southwestern Missouri.

&&

LAT...LON 3723 9491 3726 9448 3704 9447 3699 9448
      3702 9462 3706 9492
TIME...MOT...LOC 0020Z 271DEG 11KT 3711 9472

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Wise

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
731 PM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0607 PM     Tornado          5 N Ava                 37.02N 92.65W
06/26/2026                   Douglas            MO   Amateur Radio

            Reports of tree damage received near Mt Zion
            Church. This was within an area where a
            video from the public showed a funnel cloud
            near the ground and radar depicted likely
            debris in the air.

&&

SR

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
735 PM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026

MOZ081-091-092-270115-
Wright MO-Webster MO-Laclede MO-
735 PM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN WEBSTER...
NORTHWESTERN WRIGHT AND SOUTHWESTERN LACLEDE COUNTIES THROUGH 815 PM
CDT...

At 735 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Conway, or 13 miles northeast of Marshfield, moving northeast at 20
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Morgan, Conway, Twin Bridges, Grovespring, and Rader.

This includes Interstate 44 near mile marker 120.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 100 AM CDT for
southwestern Missouri.

&&

LAT...LON 3735 9276 3752 9284 3763 9257 3741 9242
TIME...MOT...LOC 0035Z 246DEG 17KT 3747 9272

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Wise

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
753 PM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0603 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     4 N Ava                 37.01N 92.67W
06/26/2026                   Douglas            MO   Public

            Report of trees down on County Road 507.
            This was possibly due to a tornado. Report
            relayed via social media.

&&

SR

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
814 PM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0657 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     5 SW Duncan             37.23N 92.75W
06/26/2026                   Webster            MO   Emergency Mngr

            Barn heavily damaged along with trees
            uprooted.

&&

SR