Wind Advisory 7, NWS Blacksburg, VA

Alleghany County, NC, Ashe County, NC, Caswell County, NC, Rockingham County, NC, Stokes County, NC, Surry County, NC, Watauga County, NC, Wilkes County, NC, Yadkin County, NC, Alleghany County, VA, Amherst County, VA, Appomattox County, VA, Bath County, VA, Bedford County, VA, Bland County, VA, Botetourt County, VA, Buckingham County, VA, Campbell County, VA, Carroll County, VA, Charlotte County, VA, City of Buena Vista, VA, City of Covington, VA, City of Danville, VA, City of Galax, VA, City of Lexington, VA, City of Lynchburg, VA, City of Martinsville, VA, City of Radford, VA, City of Roanoke, VA, City of Salem, VA, Craig County, VA, Floyd County, VA, Franklin County, VA, Giles County, VA, Grayson County, VA, Halifax County, VA, Henry County, VA, Montgomery County, VA, Patrick County, VA, Pittsylvania County, VA, Pulaski County, VA, Roanoke County, VA, Rockbridge County, VA, Smyth County, VA, Tazewell County, VA, Wythe County, VA, Greenbrier County, WV, Mercer County, WV, Monroe County, WV, Summers County, WV

539 
WWUS71 KRNK 160106
NPWRNK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
906 PM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026

VAZ007-009-010-WVZ042-043-508-161400-
/O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0007.260316T0400Z-260316T1500Z/
Tazewell-Smyth-Bland-Mercer-Summers-Western Greenbrier-
Including the cities of Hix, Hinton, Quinwood, Flat Top, Marion,
Rainelle, Duo, Bluefield, Tazewell, and Bland
906 PM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph expected.

* WHERE...In Virginia, Bland, Smyth, and Tazewell Counties. In West 
  Virginia, Mercer, Summers, and Western Greenbrier Counties.

* WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NCZ001>003-018-019-VAZ011>020-022>024-032>035-043-WVZ044-507-161400-
/O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0007.260316T1500Z-260317T0600Z/
Ashe-Alleghany NC-Surry-Watauga-Wilkes-Giles-Wythe-Pulaski-
Montgomery-Grayson-Carroll-Floyd-Craig-Alleghany VA-Bath-Roanoke-
Botetourt-Rockbridge-Patrick-Franklin-Bedford-Amherst-Henry-
Monroe-Eastern Greenbrier-
Including the cities of Troutdale, Independence, Lewisburg, West
Jefferson, Roanoke, Union, Martinsville, Floyd, Wytheville,
Alderson, Sparta, Bedford, Fincastle, Boone, White Sulphur
Springs, Lexington, Rocky Mount, Whitetop, Stuart, Dobson,
Covington, Salem, New Castle, Pulaski, Hot Springs, Volney,
Wilkesboro, Pearisburg, Galax, Clifton Forge, Blacksburg,
Radford, Amherst, and Buena Vista
906 PM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MONDAY TO 2 AM EDT 
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph expected.

* WHERE...Portions of north central and northwest North Carolina, 
  central, south central, southwest, and west central Virginia, and 
  southeast West Virginia.

* WHEN...From 11 AM Monday to 2 AM EDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NCZ004>006-020-VAZ044>047-058-059-161400-
/O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0007.260316T1500Z-260317T0400Z/
Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Yadkin-Pittsylvania-Campbell-Appomattox-
Buckingham-Halifax-Charlotte-
Including the cities of Danbury, Yanceyville, Keysville, Eden,
Appomattox, Danville, Yadkinville, South Boston, and Lynchburg
906 PM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MONDAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT 
MONDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 40 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...In North Carolina, Caswell, Rockingham, Stokes, and Yadkin 
  Counties. In Virginia, Appomattox, Buckingham, Campbell, 
  Charlotte, Halifax, and Pittsylvania Counties.

* WHEN...From 11 AM Monday to midnight EDT Monday Night.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

SH

041 
WWUS71 KRNK 161128
NPWRNK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
728 AM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026

VAZ007-009-010-WVZ042-043-508-161500-
/O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-260316T1500Z/
Tazewell-Smyth-Bland-Mercer-Summers-Western Greenbrier-
Including the cities of Flat Top, Hinton, Hix, Duo, Bland,
Rainelle, Marion, Tazewell, Bluefield, and Quinwood
728 AM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* WHERE...In Virginia, Bland, Smyth, and Tazewell Counties. In West 
  Virginia, Mercer, Summers, and Western Greenbrier Counties.

* WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT this morning.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NCZ001>003-018-019-VAZ011>020-022>024-032>035-043-WVZ044-507-161930-
/O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0007.260316T1500Z-260317T0600Z/
Ashe-Alleghany NC-Surry-Watauga-Wilkes-Giles-Wythe-Pulaski-
Montgomery-Grayson-Carroll-Floyd-Craig-Alleghany VA-Bath-Roanoke-
Botetourt-Rockbridge-Patrick-Franklin-Bedford-Amherst-Henry-
Monroe-Eastern Greenbrier-
Including the cities of Dobson, Troutdale, Salem, Stuart, Union,
Boone, Radford, Volney, Covington, West Jefferson, Buena Vista,
Rocky Mount, Bedford, White Sulphur Springs, Lexington, Clifton
Forge, Amherst, Roanoke, Alderson, Blacksburg, Wilkesboro,
Wytheville, Whitetop, Fincastle, Lewisburg, Pulaski, Hot Springs,
Sparta, Pearisburg, Martinsville, Floyd, Galax, Independence, and
New Castle
728 AM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 2 AM 
EDT TUESDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected.

* WHERE...Portions of north central and northwest North Carolina, 
  central, south central, southwest, and west central Virginia, and 
  southeast West Virginia.

* WHEN...From 11 AM this morning to 2 AM EDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NCZ004>006-020-VAZ044>047-058-059-161930-
/O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0007.260316T1500Z-260317T0400Z/
Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Yadkin-Pittsylvania-Campbell-Appomattox-
Buckingham-Halifax-Charlotte-
Including the cities of Danbury, Appomattox, Yanceyville,
Danville, Eden, Keysville, Yadkinville, South Boston, and
Lynchburg
728 AM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 
MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 45 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...In North Carolina, Caswell, Rockingham, Stokes, and Yadkin 
  Counties. In Virginia, Appomattox, Buckingham, Campbell, 
  Charlotte, Halifax, and Pittsylvania Counties.

* WHEN...From 11 AM this morning to midnight EDT tonight.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

WP

438 
WWUS71 KRNK 161607
NPWRNK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
1207 PM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026

NCZ001>003-018-019-VAZ011>020-022>024-032>035-043-WVZ044-507-170015-
/O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-260317T0600Z/
Ashe-Alleghany NC-Surry-Watauga-Wilkes-Giles-Wythe-Pulaski-
Montgomery-Grayson-Carroll-Floyd-Craig-Alleghany VA-Bath-Roanoke-
Botetourt-Rockbridge-Patrick-Franklin-Bedford-Amherst-Henry-
Monroe-Eastern Greenbrier-
Including the cities of New Castle, Lexington, Boone, Bedford,
Fincastle, Radford, West Jefferson, Independence, Wilkesboro,
Pulaski, Galax, Clifton Forge, Lewisburg, Pearisburg, Wytheville,
Covington, Rocky Mount, Alderson, Hot Springs, White Sulphur
Springs, Troutdale, Roanoke, Amherst, Whitetop, Volney, Sparta,
Buena Vista, Salem, Dobson, Martinsville, Floyd, Stuart,
Blacksburg, and Union
1207 PM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT TUESDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected.

* WHERE...Portions of north central and northwest North Carolina, 
  central, south central, southwest, and west central Virginia, and 
  southeast West Virginia.

* WHEN...Until 2 AM EDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A strong cold front will pass through the 
  region this afternoon associated with blustery winds and falling 
  temperatures.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NCZ004>006-020-VAZ044>047-058-059-170015-
/O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-260317T0400Z/
Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Yadkin-Pittsylvania-Campbell-Appomattox-
Buckingham-Halifax-Charlotte-
Including the cities of Lynchburg, Keysville, Eden, Yanceyville,
Yadkinville, Appomattox, Danville, South Boston, and Danbury
1207 PM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 45 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...In North Carolina, Caswell, Rockingham, Stokes, and Yadkin 
  Counties. In Virginia, Appomattox, Buckingham, Campbell, 
  Charlotte, Halifax, and Pittsylvania Counties.

* WHEN...Until midnight EDT tonight.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A strong cold front will pass through the 
  region this evening associated with blustery winds and falling 
  temperatures.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

11

493 
WWUS71 KRNK 162320
NPWRNK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
720 PM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026

NCZ001>003-018-019-VAZ011>020-022>024-032>035-043-WVZ044-507-170600-
/O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-260317T0600Z/
Ashe-Alleghany NC-Surry-Watauga-Wilkes-Giles-Wythe-Pulaski-
Montgomery-Grayson-Carroll-Floyd-Craig-Alleghany VA-Bath-Roanoke-
Botetourt-Rockbridge-Patrick-Franklin-Bedford-Amherst-Henry-
Monroe-Eastern Greenbrier-
Including the cities of Radford, Hot Springs, Bedford, Amherst,
Covington, Martinsville, Sparta, New Castle, Buena Vista, Boone,
Lexington, Whitetop, Troutdale, Galax, Floyd, Lewisburg, Union,
Wilkesboro, Salem, Pulaski, West Jefferson, Fincastle,
Blacksburg, Rocky Mount, Dobson, Roanoke, Clifton Forge,
Wytheville, White Sulphur Springs, Alderson, Volney, Stuart,
Pearisburg, and Independence
720 PM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT TUESDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of north central and northwest North Carolina, 
  central, south central, southwest, and west central Virginia, and 
  southeast West Virginia.

* WHEN...Until 2 AM EDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NCZ004>006-020-VAZ044>047-058-059-170400-
/O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-260317T0400Z/
Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Yadkin-Pittsylvania-Campbell-Appomattox-
Buckingham-Halifax-Charlotte-
Including the cities of Lynchburg, Yadkinville, Danville, Eden,
Appomattox, Keysville, Danbury, Yanceyville, and South Boston
720 PM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

* WHAT...West winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* WHERE...In North Carolina, Caswell, Rockingham, Stokes, and Yadkin 
  Counties. In Virginia, Appomattox, Buckingham, Campbell, 
  Charlotte, Halifax, and Pittsylvania Counties.

* WHEN...Until midnight EDT tonight.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

SH

748 
WWUS71 KRNK 170407
NPWRNK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
1207 AM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

NCZ004>006-020-VAZ044>047-058-059-170515-
/O.EXP.KRNK.WI.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-260317T0400Z/
Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Yadkin-Pittsylvania-Campbell-Appomattox-
Buckingham-Halifax-Charlotte-
Including the cities of Appomattox, South Boston, Eden, Danville,
Keysville, Danbury, Lynchburg, Yadkinville, and Yanceyville
1207 AM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

The threat has ended.

$$

NCZ001>003-018-019-VAZ011>020-022>024-032>035-043-WVZ044-507-170600-
/O.CON.KRNK.WI.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-260317T0600Z/
Ashe-Alleghany NC-Surry-Watauga-Wilkes-Giles-Wythe-Pulaski-
Montgomery-Grayson-Carroll-Floyd-Craig-Alleghany VA-Bath-Roanoke-
Botetourt-Rockbridge-Patrick-Franklin-Bedford-Amherst-Henry-
Monroe-Eastern Greenbrier-
Including the cities of Rocky Mount, Boone, Pearisburg, Union,
Troutdale, Radford, Lexington, Clifton Forge, Independence,
Floyd, Volney, Dobson, Amherst, Alderson, Blacksburg, Galax,
Martinsville, White Sulphur Springs, West Jefferson, New Castle,
Wytheville, Sparta, Covington, Bedford, Salem, Hot Springs,
Lewisburg, Roanoke, Buena Vista, Fincastle, Stuart, Wilkesboro,
Whitetop, and Pulaski
1207 AM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT EARLY THIS 
MORNING...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of north central and northwest North Carolina, 
  central, south central, southwest, and west central Virginia, and 
  southeast West Virginia.

* WHEN...Until 2 AM EDT early this morning.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

WP

202 
WWUS71 KRNK 170458
NPWRNK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
1258 AM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

NCZ003-019-VAZ032-033-043-170600-
/O.CAN.KRNK.WI.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-260317T0600Z/
Surry-Wilkes-Patrick-Franklin-Henry-
Including the cities of Rocky Mount, Martinsville, Dobson,
Stuart, and Wilkesboro
1258 AM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

West to northwest winds will be gusty at times up to 35 mph, but 
below advisory levels. Therefore the wind advisory is cancelled.

$$

NCZ001-002-018-VAZ011>020-022>024-034-035-WVZ044-507-170900-
/O.EXT.KRNK.WI.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-260317T0900Z/
Ashe-Alleghany NC-Watauga-Giles-Wythe-Pulaski-Montgomery-Grayson-
Carroll-Floyd-Craig-Alleghany VA-Bath-Roanoke-Botetourt-
Rockbridge-Bedford-Amherst-Monroe-Eastern Greenbrier-
Including the cities of Boone, Pearisburg, Union, Troutdale,
Radford, Lexington, Clifton Forge, Independence, Floyd, Volney,
Amherst, Alderson, Blacksburg, Galax, White Sulphur Springs, West
Jefferson, New Castle, Wytheville, Sparta, Covington, Bedford,
Salem, Hot Springs, Lewisburg, Roanoke, Buena Vista, Fincastle,
Whitetop, and Pulaski
1258 AM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph, especially 
  at the higher elevations.

* WHERE...Portions of northwest North Carolina, southwest Virginia, 
  and southeast West Virginia.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT early this morning.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

WP

683 
WWUS71 KRNK 170903
NPWRNK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
503 AM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

NCZ001-002-018-VAZ011>020-022>024-034-035-WVZ044-507-171015-
/O.EXP.KRNK.WI.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-260317T0900Z/
Ashe-Alleghany NC-Watauga-Giles-Wythe-Pulaski-Montgomery-Grayson-
Carroll-Floyd-Craig-Alleghany VA-Bath-Roanoke-Botetourt-
Rockbridge-Bedford-Amherst-Monroe-Eastern Greenbrier-
Including the cities of Boone, Pearisburg, Union, Troutdale,
Radford, Lexington, Clifton Forge, Independence, Floyd, Volney,
Amherst, Alderson, Blacksburg, Galax, White Sulphur Springs, West
Jefferson, New Castle, Wytheville, Sparta, Covington, Bedford,
Salem, Hot Springs, Lewisburg, Roanoke, Buena Vista, Fincastle,
Whitetop, and Pulaski
503 AM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

...WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

Wind gusts have fallen off since early this morning. Therefore the 
advisory has been allowed to expire.

$$

WP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
633 AM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Aviation update.

Increase in severe weather outlook to moderate for along and
east of U.S. 29 from Lynchburg to Danville to Reidsville for
Monday.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Wedge sets up today with clouds increasing along with rain
chances. A few thunderstorms tonight mainly across NC/southside
VA.

2) Strong front Monday with severe weather potential.

3) Cold temperatures and wind chills along with mountain
snow showers return in the wake of a cold front.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1: Wedge develops with clouds increasing along with
rain chances. A few storms possible in NC/southside VA.

Upper trough will begin moving into the central Plains later
today with strong southwest flow aloft. At the surface high
pressure will stay off the northeast coast but expect an in-
situ wedge to develop with easterly flow and increasing clouds.
Will be a battle between the increasing sun angle versus the
clouds on how it will impact temps, but overall still think a
period of sunshine will boost temps into the 60s for most before
the lower clouds and rain arrives this afternoon.

Going into tonight, the wind energy starts to increase, and some
elevated instability will likely lead to a few storms mainly
along/south of the VA/NC border this evening. Models trying to
show wedge eroding overnight as flow turns to the south, but
this time of year, it can be hard to erode the wedge at night,
though this may be a case where the low level jet and rain wins
out. Still have limited thunder until the main front Monday.

There is a marginal risk of severe weather across far SW VA into
NC mountain counties and portions of the Piedmont of NC/VA, but
this is mainly for any potential wedge front induced
wind/tornado occurrences. At this time, looks like higher threat
will be further southwest and southeast of us tonight across the
TN Valley and southern NC.

KEY MESSAGE 2: A strong cold front will cross the region Monday,
with threat for severe weather.

A powerful low-pressure system over the Upper Mississippi Valley
will drive a strong cold front across the region on Monday. This
system is supported by a potent negative-tilt trough, which will
enhance atmospheric lifting. Ahead of the front, a surge of moisture
will push dew points into the upper 50s to lower 60s, while a 50-
knot south-southwesterly low-level jet provides significant wind
shear and buoyancy. These conditions will initially support low-
topped convection across the mountains from the morning into the
early afternoon, where lightning may be limited but rainfall will be
moderate to heavy.

As the system moves east of the Blue Ridge, more robust, deep
convection is expected to develop in the afternoon and early
evening. A Quasi-Linear Convective System (QLCS) is likely to
organize along the front, with damaging straight-line winds as the
primary threat, though embedded tornadoes are also possible within
the line. Reflecting the high potential for impactful weather, the
Storm Prediction Center has placed most of the mountain region under
a Slight Risk (Level 2/5), the foothills in an Enhanced Risk (Level
3/5) and the Piedmont in a Moderate Risk (Level 4/5).

KEY MESSAGE 3: Cold temperatures and wind chills along with
mountain snow showers return in the wake of a cold front.

Temperatures across the mountains are expected to start in the mid
to upper 50s Monday morning, before crashing into the low to mid-30s
by evening as a sharp cold front passes. During the afternoon,
plunging temperatures may cause rain to change over to snow,
particularly across the higher elevations. This transition could
affect the evening commute for all areas west of the Blue Ridge,
where rain may mix with or turn to all snow. By midnight, snow
coverage is expected to shrink toward the western slopes, with total
accumulations ranging from 1 to 3 inches on the peaks and windward
slopes, while mountain valleys likely see a dusting to half of an
inch.

Rapid pressure rises behind the front will usher in blustery
conditions Monday night, with the strongest winds gradually
subsiding after midnight. By Tuesday morning, temperatures will have
plummeted to the upper teens and lower 20s across the mountains,
with low to mid-20s expected east of the Blue Ridge. Bitter wind
chills between 0F and 10F are anticipated in the mountains, while
the foothills and Piedmont will feel like 15F to 20F. Snow showers
will taper off Tuesday morning, leading to a cold day with highs
only reaching the upper 20s to low 30s west of the Blue Ridge and
the low to mid-40s to the east.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
VFR conditions are expected to persist through early this
afternoon. Low level moisture will start tracking northward with
a wedge of cool air at the surface developing. Ceilings drop
east of the mountains by 15-17z to low end VFR/high end MVFR,
reaching BLF/LWB by 18-20z. Expect ceilings to continue
lowering to less than 2kft after 21Z. East to southeasterly
winds will also increase after mid morning, gusts into the 20 to
30 knot range by Sunday afternoon along and west of the Blue
Ridge. LLWS possible this morning and again late tonight.

Rain will start to develop by late in the afternoon at DAN
reaching all taf sites in the evening, but tapering off
overnight before main front with showers/storms moves in after
12z Monday. The rain will overall drop vsbys to 3-6sm, but cigs
once the rain starts tank below 1kft. As winds start to turn
south late in the period cigs may rise back to MVFR from ROA/BCB
to BLF/LWB.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...

A strong cold front pushes through the area Monday, accompanied
by showers/thunderstorms, some of which could be strong to
severe with damaging winds the main threat especially along/east
of BCB/ROA. Aviation operations will be likely be impacted at
times. All terminals will experience a downpour of rain and a
wind shift, high likelihood of LLWS and turbulence. Rapidly
falling temperatures behind the front may cause the rain to
change to snow across the mountains Monday evening with gusty
northwest winds continuing Monday night and into Tuesday.

Conditions look to improve to VFR again by Tuesday night through
Thursday.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

DISCUSSION...RCS/WP
AVIATION...AS/PM/WP

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
426 AM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026

NCZ001-002-018-019-VAZ007-009-010-012-015-WVZ042-160830-
Ashe-Alleghany NC-Watauga-Wilkes-Tazewell-Smyth-Bland-Wythe-Grayson-
Mercer-
426 AM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest North Carolina,
southwest Virginia and southeast West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

A few thunderstorms this evening could produce damaging wind gusts.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

A line of showers and thunderstorms may produce damaging winds
Monday.

Behind the front northwest winds could gust over 45 mph Monday
afternoon into Monday evening.

Snow showers late Monday into Tuesday morning could bring light
accumulations.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are requested to report hail of any size, as well
as any damage caused by thunderstorm winds in their area.

NCZ005-006-VAZ035-044>047-058-059-160830-
Rockingham-Caswell-Amherst-Pittsylvania-Campbell-Appomattox-
Buckingham-Halifax-Charlotte-
426 AM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina,
central Virginia and south central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Severe storms capable of producing damaging winds and isolated
tornadoes are possible Monday, mainly in the afternoon. Large hail is
also possible.

West to northwest winds could gust over 40 mph late Monday afternoon
into Monday night behind the cold front.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are requested to report hail of any size, as well
as any damage caused by thunderstorm winds in their area.

NCZ003-004-020-VAZ024-032>034-043-160830-
Surry-Stokes-Yadkin-Rockbridge-Patrick-Franklin-Bedford-Henry-
426 AM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina,
northwest North Carolina, south central Virginia, southwest
Virginia and west central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

A line of storms may bring damaging winds Monday. An isolated tornado
and large hail are also possible.

West to northwest winds may gust over 40 mph after the cold front
moves through Monday afternoon into Monday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are requested to report hail of any size, as well
as any damage caused by thunderstorm winds in their area.

VAZ011-013-014-016>020-022-023-WVZ043-044-507-508-160830-
Giles-Pulaski-Montgomery-Carroll-Floyd-Craig-Alleghany VA-Bath-
Roanoke-Botetourt-Summers-Monroe-Eastern Greenbrier-
Western Greenbrier-
426 AM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Virginia, west
central Virginia and southeast West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

A line of showers and storms may bring damaging winds Monday.

West to northwest winds could gust over 40 mph after the front passes
through Monday afternoon into Monday night.

A light accumulation of snow is also possible late Monday afternoon
into Monday night, especially in the higher elevations.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are requested to report hail of any size, as well
as any damage caused by thunderstorm winds in their area.