Alert archive / North Carolina / Flash Flood Warnings in 2026

Flash Flood Warning 20, NWS Blacksburg, VA

August 1, 2026Stokes County, Surry County, Yadkin County, North Carolina; Patrick County, Virginia

NWS Blacksburg, VA issued this flash flood warning at Aug 1, 2026, 8:35 PM EDT for Stokes County, Surry County, Yadkin County, North Carolina; Patrick County, Virginia. It was in force for 8 hr. 20 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Aug 1, 2026, 8:35 PM EDT (00:35 UTC)
Expired
Aug 2, 2026, 4:27 AM EDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
NWS Blacksburg, VA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Stokes County, NC, Surry County, NC, Yadkin County, NC, Patrick County, VA

The radar

The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 80 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Aug 1, 10:00 PM EDTFLASH FLOOD4 Ssw Pilot Mountain, NCRunning water has completely flooded Shoals Road and made it impassable just south of its intersection with Fulks Lane.
Aug 1, 10:52 PM EDTFLASH FLOOD3 Sw Pilot Mountain, NCBridge under water on Jim McKinney Road over Pilot Creek.
Aug 1, 11:22 PM EDTFLASH FLOOD1 Sw Woodville, NCWater coming in the front door of the house.
Aug 1, 11:25 PM EDTFLASH FLOODPilot Mountain, NCNumerous roads under fast flowing water and impassable, including Toms Creek Church Road, Bryan Road, and Cleo Cain Road.
Aug 1, 11:56 PM EDTFLASH FLOODPilot Mountain, NCSeveral vehicle water rescues ongoing in and around town, including East Pine Street, Foothill Farm Lane, Cleo Cain Road.
Aug 2, 12:14 AM EDTFLASH FLOOD3 Se Flat Rock, NCFlooding inside a building on Reeves Mill Road.
Aug 2, 12:15 AM EDTFLASH FLOOD1 N Woodville, NCBridge on Norman Rd, near Mt. Airy, NC is washed out.
Aug 2, 12:15 AM EDTFLASH FLOOD3 Ene Woodville, NCBridge flooded on Albion Church Rd, near Martin Rd in Mt. Airy, NC.
Aug 2, 12:25 AM EDTFLASH FLOOD3 Ese Flat Rock, NCCreek has risen, surrounding a house on Westfield Rd in Mt. Airy, NC. Person trapped inside with water entering the home.
Aug 2, 12:40 AM EDTFLASH FLOOD1 Ne Woodville, NCWoodville Rd near Mt. Airy is flooded.
Aug 2, 12:45 AM EDTFLASH FLOOD1 Ene Woodville, NCCampbell Rd near Mt. Airy, NC is washed out.
Aug 2, 12:45 AM EDTFLASH FLOOD2 Wsw Francisco, NCFrans Rd in Stokes, NC is flooded.
Aug 2, 1:00 AM EDTFLASH FLOOD2 W Francisco, NCChristian Rd in Stokes, NC is flooded.
Aug 2, 1:00 AM EDTFLASH FLOOD3 Ese Flat Rock, NCIndian Grove Church Road near the intersection at Westfield Rd in Mt. Airy, NC is flooded.
Aug 2, 1:05 AM EDTFLASH FLOOD3 Se Flat Rock, NCReeves Mill Rd is flooded at Rutledge Creek.
Aug 2, 1:25 AM EDTFLASH FLOOD3 W Francisco, NCOld Asbury Rd in Stokes, NC is flooded.
Aug 2, 1:30 AM EDTFLASH FLOODArarat, NCRoad is flooded near the intersection of Radar Rd and Ararat Rd in Ararat, NC.
Aug 2, 1:50 AM EDTFLASH FLOOD2 Ene Woodville, NCMud slide near the intersection of Woodville Rd and Caterpillar Trail in Mt Airy, NC.
Aug 2, 2:15 AM EDTFLASH FLOOD1 Nnw Woodville, NCSlate Mountain Rd near Big Creek is flooded.
Aug 2, 3:30 AM EDTFLASH FLOOD4 N Woodville, NCFlooding near the intersection of E Pine Street and Childress Rd in Mt. Airy, NC.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 23 storm reports to this flash flood warning; the first came 85 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 00:00Z, 0.6 hours before the alert went out and 51 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 00:00Z on 2026-08-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 369 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 00:00Z on 2026-08-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 22 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
369 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-12 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1215 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
22 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
144 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

966 
WGUS51 KRNK 020035
FFWRNK
NCC169-171-197-VAC141-020645-
/O.NEW.KRNK.FF.W.0020.260802T0035Z-260802T0645Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
835 PM EDT Sat Aug 1 2026

The National Weather Service in Blacksburg has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Stokes County in north central North Carolina...
  Eastern Surry County in northwestern North Carolina...
  Yadkin County in northwestern North Carolina...
  Southeastern Patrick County in southwestern Virginia...

* Until 245 AM EDT Sunday.

* At 835 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  heavy rain across the warned area. Between 4 and 5 inches of rain 
  have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are 
  possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected 
  to begin shortly.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Mount Airy...                      Fairview...
  Yadkinville...                     Dobson...
  Pilot Mountain...                  Walnut Cove...
  Boonville...

This includes the following streams and drainages...
  Big Beaver Island Creek, Ararat River, Beaver Creek, Baker Branch, 
  Archies Creek and Belews Creek.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

When it is safe to do so, please send your reports of flooding, 
including mudslides or flooded roads, to the National Weather 
Service by calling toll free at 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Reports 
and pictures can also be shared on the National Weather Service 
Blacksburg Facebook page and on X.

&&

LAT...LON 3661 8041 3661 8005 3654 8005 3654 8003
      3626 8004 3626 8045 3622 8043 3621 8045
      3614 8044 3611 8051 3608 8052 3605 8050
      3605 8079 3635 8078

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

CDG
5 follow-up statements
360 
WGUS71 KRNK 020142
FFSRNK

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
942 PM EDT Sat Aug 1 2026

NCC169-171-197-VAC141-020645-
/O.CON.KRNK.FF.W.0020.000000T0000Z-260802T0645Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Stokes NC-Surry NC-Yadkin NC-Patrick VA-
942 PM EDT Sat Aug 1 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 245 AM EDT SUNDAY FOR 
STOKES, EASTERN SURRY, YADKIN AND SOUTHEASTERN PATRICK COUNTIES...

At 942 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy 
rain across the warned area. Between 6 and 7 inches of rain have 
fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible in 
Surry and Stokes Counties. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to 
begin shortly.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Mount Airy...                      Fairview...
Yadkinville...                     Dobson...
Pilot Mountain...                  Walnut Cove...
Boonville...

This includes the following streams and drainages...
  Big Beaver Island Creek, Ararat River, Beaver Creek, Baker Branch, 
  Archies Creek and Belews Creek.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

When it is safe to do so, please send your reports of flooding, 
including mudslides or flooded roads, to the National Weather 
Service by calling toll free at 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Reports 
and pictures can also be shared on the National Weather Service 
Blacksburg Facebook page and on X.

&&

LAT...LON 3661 8041 3661 8005 3654 8005 3654 8003
      3626 8004 3626 8045 3622 8043 3621 8045
      3614 8044 3611 8051 3608 8052 3605 8050
      3605 8079 3635 8078

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

CDG
268 
WGUS71 KRNK 020214
FFSRNK

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
1014 PM EDT Sat Aug 1 2026

NCC169-171-197-VAC141-020645-
/O.CON.KRNK.FF.W.0020.000000T0000Z-260802T0645Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Stokes NC-Surry NC-Yadkin NC-Patrick VA-
1014 PM EDT Sat Aug 1 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 245 AM EDT SUNDAY FOR 
STOKES, EASTERN SURRY, YADKIN AND SOUTHEASTERN PATRICK COUNTIES...

At 1014 PM EDT, local law enforcement reported thunderstorms 
producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between 6 and 7 inches 
of rain have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches 
are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or 
expected to begin shortly.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Law enforcement reported flooding on Shoals Road.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Mount Airy...                      Fairview...
Yadkinville...                     Dobson...
Pilot Mountain...                  Walnut Cove...
Boonville...

This includes the following streams and drainages...
  Big Beaver Island Creek, Ararat River, Beaver Creek, Baker Branch, 
  Archies Creek and Belews Creek.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

When it is safe to do so, please send your reports of flooding, 
including mudslides or flooded roads, to the National Weather 
Service by calling toll free at 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Reports 
and pictures can also be shared on the National Weather Service 
Blacksburg Facebook page and on X.

&&

LAT...LON 3661 8041 3661 8005 3654 8005 3654 8003
      3626 8004 3626 8045 3622 8043 3621 8045
      3614 8044 3611 8051 3608 8052 3605 8050
      3605 8079 3635 8078

FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED

$$

CDG
333 
WGUS51 KRNK 020635
FFWRNK
NCC169-171-197-VAC141-020900-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FF.W.0020.000000T0000Z-260802T0900Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
235 AM EDT Sun Aug 2 2026

The National Weather Service in Blacksburg has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Stokes County in north central North Carolina...
  Eastern Surry County in northwestern North Carolina...
  Yadkin County in northwestern North Carolina...
  Southeastern Patrick County in southwestern Virginia...

* Until 500 AM EDT.

* At 235 AM EDT, Doppler radar indicates heavy rain has exited the 
  warned area. However, thunderstorms earlier this evening produced 
  between 4 and locally 7.5 inches of rain in eastern Surry County, 
  western Stokes County, and southwest Patrick County. Rivers and 
  creeks continue to rise due to heavy runoff from this rainfall. 
  This is a very dangerous situation as numerous roads remain 
  flooded this morning, with the potential that motorists may 
  unknowingly drive into deep flood waters, not realizing the 
  flooding is there due to the darkness.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

  SOURCE...Law enforcement reported.

  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Mount Airy...                      Fairview...
  Yadkinville...                     Dobson...
  Pilot Mountain...                  Walnut Cove...
  Boonville...

This includes the following streams and drainages...
  Beaver Creek, Ararat River, Big Beaver Island Creek, Baker Branch, 
  Archies Creek and Belews Creek.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Because of the widespread flooding occurring this morning, people 
are advised to avoid all travel unless absolutely necessary. If you 
must travel, make sure somebody knows were you are going, and the 
route you plan to take to your destination. If you encounter a 
flooded road, turn around. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles. e 
especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

When it is safe to do so, please send your reports of flooding, 
including mudslides or flooded roads, to the National Weather 
Service by calling toll free at 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Reports 
and pictures can also be shared on the National Weather Service 
Blacksburg Facebook page and on X.

&&

LAT...LON 3661 8041 3661 8005 3654 8005 3654 8003
      3626 8004 3626 8045 3622 8043 3621 8045
      3614 8044 3611 8051 3608 8052 3605 8050
      3605 8079 3635 8078

FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED

$$

16
094 
WGUS71 KRNK 020715
FFSRNK

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
315 AM EDT Sun Aug 2 2026

NCC197-020725-
/O.CAN.KRNK.FF.W.0020.000000T0000Z-260802T0900Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Yadkin NC-
315 AM EDT Sun Aug 2 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR YADKIN COUNTY...

Flooding is no longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to 
heed remaining road closures.

A Flood Watch remains in effect until 200 AM EDT Monday for portions 
of North Carolina, Virginia, and southeast West Virginia.

&&

LAT...LON 3661 8041 3661 8005 3654 8005 3640 8014
      3626 8045 3624 8045 3626 8047 3626 8053
      3629 8055 3627 8059 3629 8063 3627 8063
      3625 8067 3627 8068 3627 8073 3628 8074
      3626 8075 3627 8078 3635 8078

$$

NCC169-171-VAC141-020900-
/O.CON.KRNK.FF.W.0020.000000T0000Z-260802T0900Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Stokes NC-Surry NC-Patrick VA-
315 AM EDT Sun Aug 2 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT EARLY THIS 
MORNING FOR STOKES, EASTERN SURRY AND SOUTHEASTERN PATRICK 
COUNTIES...

At 315 AM EDT, Thunderstorms earlier this evening produced between 4 
and locally 7.5 inches of rain in eastern Surry County, western 
Stokes County, and southwest Patrick County. Several rivers and 
creeks continue to rise due to heavy runoff from this rainfall. This 
is a dangerous situation as numerous roads are flooded this morning, 
with the potential that motorists may unknowingly drive into deep 
flood waters, not realizing the flooding is there due to the 
darkness.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Law enforcement reported.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Mount Airy...                      Fairview...
Dobson...                          Pilot Mountain...
Danbury...                         Francisco...
Sandy Ridge...

This includes the following streams and drainages...
  Beaver Creek, Big Creek, Big Beaver Island Creek, Baker Branch, 
  Archies Creek and Ararat River.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Because of the widespread flooding occurring this morning, people 
are advised to avoid all travel unless absolutely necessary. If you 
must travel, make sure somebody knows were you are going, and the 
route you plan to take to your destination. If you encounter a 
flooded road, turn around. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles. e 
especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

When it is safe to do so, please send your reports of flooding, 
including mudslides or flooded roads, to the National Weather 
Service by calling toll free at 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Reports 
and pictures can also be shared on the National Weather Service 
Blacksburg Facebook page and on X.

&&

LAT...LON 3661 8041 3661 8005 3654 8005 3640 8014
      3626 8045 3624 8045 3626 8047 3626 8053
      3629 8055 3627 8059 3629 8063 3627 8063
      3625 8067 3627 8068 3627 8073 3628 8074
      3626 8075 3627 8078 3635 8078

FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED

$$

16
506 
WGUS71 KRNK 020827
FFSRNK

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
427 AM EDT Sun Aug 2 2026

NCC169-171-VAC141-020837-
/O.CAN.KRNK.FF.W.0020.000000T0000Z-260802T0900Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Stokes NC-Surry NC-Patrick VA-
427 AM EDT Sun Aug 2 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR STOKES, EASTERN SURRY AND SOUTHEASTERN 
PATRICK COUNTIES HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A FLOOD WARNING...

&&

LAT...LON 3661 8041 3661 8005 3654 8005 3640 8014
      3626 8045 3624 8045 3626 8047 3626 8053
      3629 8055 3627 8059 3629 8063 3627 8063
      3625 8067 3627 8068 3627 8073 3628 8074
      3626 8075 3627 8078 3635 8078

$$

16

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Aug 1, 7:30 PM EDT, 1 hour 5 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • 1) Showers and thunderstorms return to the forecast this weekend, with the possibility of 1-3 inches of rain and a few strong/severe storms. 2) Unsettled weather continues through the front half of the week, with a possible decrease in convective coverage at the end of the week.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 1, 7:30 PM EDT, 1 hour 5 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
730 PM EDT Sat Aug 1 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Shower chances best across the foothills and piedmont this
evening. As winds turn to the southeast overnight, showers will
mainly be along the Blue Ridge then spreads across the entire
area Sunday.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Showers and thunderstorms return to the forecast this
weekend, with the possibility of 1-3 inches of rain and a few
strong/severe storms.

2) Unsettled weather continues through the front half of the
week, with a possible decrease in convective coverage at the end
of the week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Showers and thunderstorms return to the
forecast this weekend, with the possibility of 1-3 inches of
rain and a few strong/severe storms.

Low pressure over the Mid-Mississippi Valley will move slowly
eastward into KY/TN this weekend with influx of moisture laden
air into the Appalachians...PWATs increasing into the 1.50 to
2.00 inch range for our forecast area. This will promote
isolated to scattered showers tonight becoming scattered to
numerous showers and thunderstorms through the day Sunday with
primary focus along the southern Blue Ridge where Convective
Allowing Models (CAMs) suggest S-SE upslope flow will enhance
the rain efficiency and provide for an area of low level lift
and regeneration.

As the shortwave trough drives the low closer to our region,
dynamic lift will also lead to sustainable rain production even
with loss of daytime heating, probability for rainfall just as
high late tonight as it will be during the day Sunday.

Greatest hazards through the weekend will be two-fold.

The first hazards is heavy rainfall, especially given how moist
we expect the airmass to be across the forecast area. The storm
system will be rather slow-moving, allowing for the rain to be
persistent. The development of off-and-on showers and storms
over similar areas could result in localized ponding/flooding
issues. As such, WPC has our area outlined for a Marginal, or
Level 1 Risk, of excessive rainfall through Sunday with a
Slight, or Level 2 Risk, of excessive rainfall for the southern
Blue Ridge from Patrick and Carroll Counties in VA into the
North Carolina High Country and Northwest Piedmont of NC.

The second hazard is the possibility of isolated strong or
severe thunderstorms. The right entrance region of the upper jet
should be moving across our neck of the woods Sunday afternoon,
resulting in increased diffluence aloft. Thermodynamically,
mixed-layer CAPE values around 1000 J/kg (maybe a little more)
could seen, especially from Southside Virginia into the North
Carolina Piedmont. With the increased forcing provided by the
surface low and cold front to our west, we could see some
isolated strong or severe storms in this environment. There are
a couple of limiting factors in my mind... (1) Boundary layer
wind speeds might be a tad low to get significant storm-scale
organization. (2) If precipitation is more widespread than
currently forecast, then instability should be lower. Given the
overall risk, SPC has our area outlined for a Marginal Risk
(Level 1) for seeing severe storms Sunday with the primary
impact being damaging winds.

KEY MESSAGE 2...
Unsettled weather continues through the front half of the week,
with a possible decrease in convective coverage at the end of
the week.

As an upper-level low settles into the Tennessee Valley, it
should slowly push a cold front through most of our area before
it stalls. The upper low is then expected to "sit and spin"
close to the forecast area through much of the upcoming week.
This feature will continue to send disturbances through a rather
moist airmass, resulting in continued odds of seeing daily
showers and thunderstorms. There's some indication that
convective probabilities may decrease during the latter half of
the week as the upper low ejects toward the Northeast U.S.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Flight conditions are bordering between VFR/MVFR this evening,
as low clouds have moved into the area. Storms are currently
tracking over the foothills with moderate to heavy showers along
the eastern side of the Blue Ridge (near KROA). These showers
may impact KLYH by 00Z. We should see a lull in showers after 10
PM, but low clouds and/or fog will likely hang around before
showers re-enter later tonight.

Late tonight, a warm front lifts through the area, bringing
more widespread chances of rainfall to all terminals. Rain could
be heavy at times, as cigs lower to IFR/LIFR after 08Z in the
mountains, and around 12Z in the Piedmont. Patchy fog will also
be possible in spots through mid-morning Sunday. Scattered rain
chances persist through the end of the TAF period at all
terminals tomorrow.

Southeast winds diminish overnight, though occasional gusts to
18 knots remain possible along western slopes through 06z. Winds
remain out of the southeast Sunday.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...

Shower/storm chances will stick around Sunday evening, as a
cold front moves into the area. The front stalls, allowing daily
chances of rain to continue, keeping likely sub-VFR flight
conditions in place at times through the week ahead. Overnight
patchy fog will also be possible each morning.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

DISCUSSION...DB/PM/RCS
AVIATION...JCB/RCS
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 1, 2:16 PM EDT, 6 hours 19 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
216 PM EDT Sat Aug 1 2026

NCZ001>004-018>020-VAZ007-009>020-022-023-032-033-WVZ042>044-507-508-
021815-
Ashe-Alleghany NC-Surry-Stokes-Watauga-Wilkes-Yadkin-Tazewell-Smyth-
Bland-Giles-Wythe-Pulaski-Montgomery-Grayson-Carroll-Floyd-Craig-
Alleghany VA-Bath-Roanoke-Botetourt-Patrick-Franklin-Mercer-Summers-
Monroe-Eastern Greenbrier-Western Greenbrier-
216 PM EDT Sat Aug 1 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina,
northwest North Carolina, southwest Virginia, west central Virginia
and southeast West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Thunderstorms developing late tonight may produce heavy rain within
a short period of time, which could result in localized flash
flooding of creeks and other flood prone areas. The threat will be
highest near the crest of the Blue Ridge, but may occur anywhere
across the mountains or foothills of the Blue Ridge.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Thunderstorms developing each afternoon and evening during the early
half of the coming week will be capable of producing frequent
lightning, localized damaging wind gusts, and pockets of heavy rain
that may result in flash flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

NCZ005-006-VAZ024-034-035-043>047-058-059-021815-
Rockingham-Caswell-Rockbridge-Bedford-Amherst-Henry-Pittsylvania-
Campbell-Appomattox-Buckingham-Halifax-Charlotte-
216 PM EDT Sat Aug 1 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina,
central Virginia, south central Virginia and west central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Thunderstorms developing each afternoon and evening during the early
half of the coming week will be capable of producing frequent
lightning, localized damaging wind gusts, and pockets of heavy rain
that may result in flash flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 1, 6:00 PM EDT, 2 hours 35 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
600 PM EDT Sat Aug 1 2026

NCZ003-004-VAZ016-017-032-043-012230-
Stokes NC-Surry NC-Henry VA-Patrick VA-Floyd VA-Carroll VA-
600 PM EDT Sat Aug 1 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT
NORTHEASTERN SURRY...NORTHWESTERN STOKES...SOUTHERN FLOYD...EASTERN
CARROLL...NORTHWESTERN HENRY AND PATRICK COUNTIES THROUGH 630 PM
EDT...

At 600 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms near Stuart, moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Stuart...
Francisco...
Fancy Gap...
Ararat...
Bassett...
Woolwine...
and Willis.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3667 8077 3691 8056 3689 8021 3687 8023
      3685 8012 3683 8007 3678 8003 3678 8001
      3679 8003 3679 8001 3680 8001 3675 7991
      3640 8034
TIME...MOT...LOC 2200Z 236DEG 21KT 3664 8037

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

CDG
Special weather statement, Aug 1, 6:28 PM EDT, 2 hours 7 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
628 PM EDT Sat Aug 1 2026

VAZ017-032-033-043-012300-
Henry VA-Franklin VA-Patrick VA-Floyd VA-
628 PM EDT Sat Aug 1 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT
CENTRAL FLOYD...WESTERN HENRY...SOUTHWESTERN FRANKLIN AND PATRICK
COUNTIES THROUGH 700 PM EDT...

At 628 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms over Buffalo Ridge, or over Woolwine, moving northeast
at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Stuart...
Floyd...
Spencer...
Bassett...
Woolwine...
Ferrum...
and Endicott.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3661 8039 3679 8053 3700 8028 3694 8003
      3679 7984 3654 8004 3654 8020
TIME...MOT...LOC 2228Z 224DEG 19KT 3675 8024

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

CDG
Special weather statement, Aug 1, 7:01 PM EDT, 1 hour 34 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
701 PM EDT Sat Aug 1 2026

VAZ017-032-033-043-012330-
Henry VA-Franklin VA-Patrick VA-Floyd VA-
701 PM EDT Sat Aug 1 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT
EAST CENTRAL FLOYD...NORTHWESTERN HENRY...SOUTHERN FRANKLIN AND
NORTHEASTERN PATRICK COUNTIES THROUGH 730 PM EDT...

At 700 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms over Fairy Stone State Park, or near Bassett, moving
northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Rocky Mount...
Bassett...
Sydnorsville...
Ferrum...
Copper Hill...
Endicott...
and Philpott Dam.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3663 8003 3672 8020 3684 8030 3709 8012
      3704 7985 3691 7968
TIME...MOT...LOC 2300Z 218DEG 20KT 3683 8007

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

CDG
Special weather statement, Aug 1, 7:30 PM EDT, 1 hour 5 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
730 PM EDT Sat Aug 1 2026

NCZ003-004-VAZ032-020000-
Stokes NC-Surry NC-Patrick VA-
730 PM EDT Sat Aug 1 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT
NORTHEASTERN SURRY...NORTHERN STOKES AND SOUTHEASTERN PATRICK
COUNTIES THROUGH 800 PM EDT...

At 730 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms near Francisco, moving northeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Stuart...
Danbury...
Francisco...
Sandy Ridge...
Critz...
Woodville...
and Collinstown.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3636 8042 3648 8055 3673 8034 3661 8005
      3654 8005 3654 8003 3653 8003 3633 8022
TIME...MOT...LOC 2330Z 222DEG 18KT 3644 8034

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

CDG
Special weather statement, Aug 1, 8:19 PM EDT, 16 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
819 PM EDT Sat Aug 1 2026

NCZ003>005-020-VAZ032-020045-
Stokes NC-Rockingham NC-Yadkin NC-Surry NC-Patrick VA-
819 PM EDT Sat Aug 1 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT
SOUTHEASTERN SURRY...STOKES...WEST CENTRAL ROCKINGHAM...NORTHEASTERN
YADKIN AND SOUTH CENTRAL PATRICK COUNTIES THROUGH 845 PM EDT...

At 819 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms over Hanging Rock State Park, or near Danbury, moving
northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Mayodan...
Madison...
Pilot Mountain...
Walnut Cove...
Stoneville...
Danbury...
and Francisco.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3619 8048 3640 8054 3662 8032 3646 7991
      3626 8009 3626 8045 3624 8045 3623 8043
      3622 8043 3621 8045 3619 8044
TIME...MOT...LOC 0019Z 218DEG 23KT 3636 8025

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

CDG

The office that day

Everything else NWS Blacksburg, VA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 1, 8:19 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRNKStokes26 min
Aug 1, 9:40 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryRNKAshe, Watauga, Wilkes4 hr
Aug 1, 10:27 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKSurry6 hr
Aug 1, 11:26 PM EDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatRNKStokes, Surry6 hr
Aug 1, 11:54 PM EDTFlood WatchRNKAlleghany, Ashe, Stokes, Surry, Watauga, Wilkes and 1 more26 hr
Aug 2, 12:32 AM EDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyCatastrophic damage threatRNKSurry7 hr
Aug 2, 4:20 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningRNKSurry9 hr
Aug 2, 4:27 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningRNKStokes, Surry9 hr
Aug 2, 6:45 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRNKAshe30 min
Aug 2, 5:40 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRNKSmyth50 min
Aug 2, 5:48 PM EDTFlash Flood WatchRNKPatrick22 hr
Aug 2, 6:41 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRNKTazewell34 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2026Flash Flood Warnings in Virginia, 2026Every flash flood warning in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.