Flash Flood Warning 1, NWS Blacksburg, VA

047 
WGUS71 KRNK 260159
FFSRNK

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
959 PM EDT Mon May 25 2026

VAC037-260545-
/O.CON.KRNK.FF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-260526T0545Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Charlotte VA-
959 PM EDT Mon May 25 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 145 AM EDT TUESDAY 
FOR CENTRAL CHARLOTTE COUNTY...

At 959 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy 
rain across the warned area. Between 2 and 4 inches of rain have 
fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 2 to 4 inches in 1 hour. 
Additional rainfall amounts up to 0.5 inches are possible in the 
warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Keysville...                       Charlotte Court House...
Drakes Branch...                   Saxe...
Aspen...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

When it is safe to do so, please send your reports of flooding, 
including mudslides or flooded roads, to the National Weather 
Service by calling toll free at 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Reports 
and pictures can also be shared on the National Weather Service 
Blacksburg Facebook page and on X.

&&

LAT...LON 3709 7859 3709 7849 3708 7844 3697 7848
      3692 7875 3693 7875 3694 7873 3701 7874
      3701 7876 3700 7876 3699 7875 3699 7877
      3696 7877 3695 7879 3698 7882 3703 7884

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
EXPECTED RAINFALL RATE...2-4 INCHES IN 1 HOUR

$$

SH

664 
WGUS71 KRNK 260453
FFSRNK

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
1253 AM EDT Tue May 26 2026

VAC037-260503-
/O.CAN.KRNK.FF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-260526T0545Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Charlotte VA-
1253 AM EDT Tue May 26 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR CENTRAL CHARLOTTE COUNTY...

Flood waters have receded. The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no 
longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to heed remaining 
road closures.

&&

LAT...LON 3709 7859 3709 7849 3708 7844 3697 7848
      3692 7875 3693 7875 3694 7873 3701 7874
      3701 7876 3700 7876 3699 7875 3699 7877
      3696 7877 3695 7879 3698 7882 3703 7884

$$

16

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
733 PM EDT Mon May 25 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Very little change in forecast philosophy, with focus on
periodic shower/storm threat through Wednesday and drying trend
for the end of the week.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
KEY MESSAGE 1: Warm & humid conditions keep rain in the
forecast through late Wednesday, with localized flooding
possible.

KEY MESSAGE 2: Mainly dry for the end of the week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1: Warm & humid conditions keep rain in the
forecast through late Wednesday, with localized flooding
possible.

Area to watch this evening is the southern Blue Ridge foothills
and piedmont, where clusters of showers with embedded storms
oriented northeast to southwest from Charlotte County VA to
northwest NC are slowly progressing to the east. Some of the
stronger cells have been producing a lot of lightning, and rain
rates as high as 2 to 4 inches per hour. Rainfall amounts so far
this evening in that area are between 1.5 to 2.25 inches.
Combination of convergence along diffuse frontal boundary over
the area and steady flux of moisture into the region from the
south is expected to sustain development of scattered to
numerous showers with embedded thunderstorms. Regional soundings
are quite moist with PWAT values between 1.50 to 2.00.
Convective allowing models suggest the strongest of the activity
late this afternoon and evening to develop along and east of
the Blue Ridge with potential for thunderstorm clusters to bring
localized heavy rain to the southern and eastern CWA,
especially along the NC/VA border into the piedmont. General
consensus in lieu of drought and high FFG values, is to hold off
on flash flood headlines other than to advertise gully washer
type rainfall rates (2-3" an hour). We desperately need the
rain, so unless there is any training of storm cells, the
activity should move along fast enough to forgo anything other
than localized flash flooding.

A quasi stationary front will remain over the region through
late Wednesday. Prevailing southerly flow from the Central Gulf
Coast will allow for the advection of a mid-level short-wave
out of the Gulf and across the Mid- Atlantic Tuesday and
Wednesday...a feature that will likely enhance the convergence
along the stationary front and aid in several more days of
periodic rainfall. Since the origin of the moisture is
from the tropics, expecting environmental soundings to remain
very moist (+2 to +3 standard deviations above normal) and
supporting a continuation of episodic heavy rainfall.

As mentioned before, due to the potential for locally high rain
rates with some of the stronger storms, it is possible for
isolated instances of 3" to 4" of rain to fall over a short
period of time, resulting localized flooding even despite recent
severe dryness. As such, the Weather Prediction Center
continues to highlight the lower Mid- Atlantic in a Marginal
Risk of Excessive Rainfall for the entire forecast area through
Wednesday, the most vulnerable being urban, low-lying and flood
prone areas. To a lesser concern are the rivers, but multiple
days of thunderstorm activity can lead to rises on the larger
streams too. Even if they do not flood, those near rivers and
streams need to be alert for sudden rises.

KEY MESSAGE 2: Mainly dry for the end of the week.

Model consensus is for high pressure to build south across the
Great Lakes Thursday promoting northerly flow and pushing the
deeper moisture south of our region. Confidence is increasing on
a dry ending to the week and possibly the weekend with shower
and storm chances decreasing. Depending on how far south the
high makes inroads, temperatures could end up below normal to
kick off June.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Flight conditions have improved slightly across the area, mostly
low end VFR with pockets of MVFR or lower. Showers with some
embedded thunderstorms have developed in a northeast to
southwest oriented fashion from Charlotte County VA to northwest
NC, and are progressing slowly eastward. Some of the stronger
storms are producing high rain rates, leading to quick
reductions in visibility. KDAN is the most likely terminal to be
impacted by this activity through the remainder of the evening
hours, but should wane after 06Z. Ceilings however, will trend
lower once again with light drizzle/mist and fog developing
overnight and into early Tuesday morning, dissipating by mid
morning to midday. Chances for scattered showers and
thunderstorms increase Tuesday afternoon, after 18Z.

Light and variable winds through this evening and overnight,
becoming more southwesterly Tuesday afternoon at 10 knots or
less.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
Plenty of moisture progressing into a stalled frontal boundary will
help keep showers and sub-VFR conditions in the forecast through at
least Wednesday. As we progress into Thursday through Saturday,
the front is expected to sag south as drier high pressure
arrives from the north. Look for limited chances of
precipitation, or chances primarily across southern portions of
the region, and mainly VFR conditions. Some late night/early
morning fog will possible. Likewise, sub-VFR conditions may
continue over mainly southern parts of the area where the best
chances of rain will be located.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

DISCUSSION...AS/PM
AVIATION...AS/DS

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
256 PM EDT Mon May 25 2026

VAZ020-WVZ507-508-261900-
Bath-Eastern Greenbrier-Western Greenbrier-
256 PM EDT Mon May 25 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for west central Virginia and
southeast West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

A Marginal risk of Excessive Rainfall is forecast for Tuesday and
Wednesday as multiple rounds of rain, at times heavy, will pass
across the lower Mid-Atlantic. Flash flooding may occur with storms
producing high rainfall rates, or where storms pass over the same
locations repeatedly.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ001>006-018>020-VAZ007-009>019-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059-
WVZ042>044-261900-
Ashe-Alleghany NC-Surry-Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Watauga-Wilkes-
Yadkin-Tazewell-Smyth-Bland-Giles-Wythe-Pulaski-Montgomery-Grayson-
Carroll-Floyd-Craig-Alleghany VA-Roanoke-Botetourt-Rockbridge-
Patrick-Franklin-Bedford-Amherst-Henry-Pittsylvania-Campbell-
Appomattox-Buckingham-Halifax-Charlotte-Mercer-Summers-Monroe-
256 PM EDT Mon May 25 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina,
northwest North Carolina, central Virginia, south central Virginia,
southwest Virginia, west central Virginia and southeast West
Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

There is Marginal risk of Excessive Rainfall today. A few storms
will produce high rainfall rates that could result in localized
flash flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

A Marginal risk of Excessive Rainfall is forecast for Tuesday and
Wednesday as multiple rounds of rain, at times heavy, will pass
across the lower Mid-Atlantic. Flash flooding may occur with storms
producing high rainfall rates, or where storms pass over the same
locations repeatedly.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.