Tornado Warning 6, NWS Charleston, WV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Charleston WV
246 AM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No major changes to the forecast at this time.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Potential for strong to severe storms this morning through
the afternoon along with a threat for excessive rainfall as
a cold front moves through the area.

2) Drier start to the weekend but storm chances return by
Sunday evening.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

A Tornado Watch is out for northeast Kentucky counties of Cater
and Greenup until 5am. This is due to robust helicity, abundant
shear and a the STP tornado parameter of 1+ which indicates
possible tornadic environment not too mention tornadic activity
upstream.

Activity is already upstream and headed our way for the first
push of convection into the area although the threat is
weakening, therefore the watch is not being expanded anywhere.
This watch may have to be expanded if trends persist west into
our Ohio counties but the last tornado warning out west has
expired therefore currently holding off on expanding at this
time.

Hi-res and convection allowing models (CAMs) have another push of
convection in the form of a line settling in by mid morning.
The HRRR, FV3 and NAM Nest are most aggressive and suggest
potential super cellular activity with embedded thunderstorms
along a line progressing southeast into our area moving south
throughout the late morning and into the afternoon.

With enough instability for the late morning and afternoon
storms will be able to continue under a strong low level jet
support and high shear to promote a damaging wind threat as well
as tornadic threat with rotating showers possible along the
line or from super cellular storms. Even though prior
convection will weaken instability the line will have enough
support to keep going through the area, however it may not be as
potent as other models suggest.

The winds will be a thing to watch as shower and thunderstorm
activity will have a good environment with high DCAPE and high
PWATs to promote downbursts and heavy downpours which could
promote flooding potential, however it should be more isolated
in nature and be more apparent across low lying or flood prone
areas unless training occurs elsewhere. One caveat is that the
line will be moving fast with strong steering flow aloft which
may deter flash flooding all together this late morning and
afternoon.

Unless rates exceed flash flood guidance or rather
2+ inches per hour or high rates affect an area repeatedly or
under training will possibly cause issues to the aforementioned
areas and elsewhere. Shower activity could bring down strong
winds which could be damaging and severe but this will involve
convection rather than synoptic winds which made the decision of
holding off on a wind advisory being issued at this time.

By mid morning, the tornado threat diminishes and only a
damaging wind threat will remain, however we cannot rule out a
quick spin up along the line as the cold front sags south into
the southern portions of our county warning area. Due to our
radar being down it will be hard to detect low level rotation
therefore shower activity or heavy thunderstorm activity will
likely be warned on if there is any indication of rotation or a
meso even though the tornadic environment will be diminishing.

As the line exits toward the south another push of convection is
indicated by some of the Hi-res models coming in from the west
to affect our southern half of the area. This will add to QPF
values but the activity will be across our driest portions of
our CWA, so basically no flood watch is needed and will be
handled by the warning process.

WPC does have us in a slight risk for a excessive rainfall
threat for this area so isolated flooding issues could occur in
areas susceptible to flood or drainage issues. This activity
will be coming in behind the front, therefore much of the
instability will be used up so the environment should not pose
a severe threat.

After the aforementioned convection subsides things will clear
out and any activity will exit by early afternoon opening the
area up to a dry rest of the day on Friday and into the weekend.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

High pressure at the surface and a semi flat ridge aloft will
help keep the weekend settled although by late Sunday a low
pressure system will traverse into the region just north of us
and drop down a weak frontal band for Monday. Models have this
feature weakening as it comes through the area so frontolysis is
likely.

Thereafter, zonal flow will settle in and keep the area safe
until Thursday as a short wave moves into the region which could
promote chances for diurnal convection on next Thursday
afternoon and evening.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As the cold front pushes further toward the area rain and
thunderstorms will become more prevalent and drop CIGs down to
MVFR toward late morning. VIS restrictions will accompany
shower activity and under heavy thunderstorm activity VIS could
drop to IFR at times. Winds will increase out of the southwest
gusting to 30kt by late morning.

Gusty conditons will prevail until the early evening as the
cold front sags south of the area. By evening, winds will
diminish and CIGs will lift to VFR except for EKN/BKW who will
endure MVFR CIGs into the evening and overnight. Clouds may
clear out around a few western sites to promote fog formation
overnight into Friday morning. If clouds clear out quicker fog
could potentially affect the other sites in mid to late
morning.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Timing of shower and thunderstorm
activity could vary. Fog overnight into Friday morning could
become areawide dependent upon how fast the clouds move out.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

DATE                              THU 06/18/26
UTC 1HRLY       06   07   08   09   10   11   12   13   14   15   16   17
EDT 1HRLY       02   03   04   05   06   07   08   09   10   11   12   13
CRW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    L    H    H    H    H    M
HTS CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    M    M    M    M    H    H    M
BKW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    M    M    M    H    H
EKN CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    M    H    M    H    M    M
PKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    M    M    H    M    H    M    M    H    H    H
CKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    M    H    M    M    H    M    H    H

AFTER 06Z FRIDAY...
IFR ceilings may be possible with lingering showers along the
mountains Thursday night. IFR fog is possible overnight into
Friday morning.

&&

.Equipment...
The RLX radar is down until further notice.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...None.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.

&&

DISCUSSION...JZ
AVIATION...JZ
EQUIPMENT...JZ

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
229 AM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

OHZ083-084-180700-
Jackson OH-Vinton OH-
229 AM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHERN JACKSON AND WESTERN
VINTON COUNTIES THROUGH 300 AM EDT...

At 229 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Waverly, moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Jackson, Wellston, Mcarthur, Hamden, Coalton, Allensville, Eagle
Mills, and Byer.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3917 8279 3917 8277 3937 8275 3936 8264
      3937 8263 3937 8253 3903 8239 3902 8280
TIME...MOT...LOC 0629Z 258DEG 37KT 3919 8296

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

01

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
253 AM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

OHZ075-083>085-180730-
Jackson OH-Athens OH-Meigs OH-Vinton OH-
253 AM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN MEIGS...NORTHERN
JACKSON...VINTON AND SOUTHWESTERN ATHENS COUNTIES THROUGH 330 AM
EDT...

At 253 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Mcarthur, moving east at 55 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Athens, Jackson, Wellston, Mcarthur, Albany, Lake Hope State Park,
Nelsonville, Chauncey, Hamden, Coalton, Zaleski, Creola, Eagle Mills,
Radcliffe, Dyesville, Darwin, Allensville, Harrisonville, Byer, and
Carpenter.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

Persons in campgrounds should consider seeking sturdy shelter until
this storm passes.

&&

LAT...LON 3917 8279 3917 8277 3937 8275 3936 8264
      3937 8263 3937 8252 3940 8251 3939 8229
      3943 8229 3946 8202 3912 8200 3904 8280
TIME...MOT...LOC 0653Z 258DEG 49KT 3928 8254

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

01

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
327 AM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

OHZ075-083>085-180800-
Jackson OH-Athens OH-Meigs OH-Vinton OH-
327 AM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN MEIGS...NORTHERN
JACKSON...VINTON AND SOUTHWESTERN ATHENS COUNTIES THROUGH 400 AM
EDT...

At 327 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Waverly, moving east at 65 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Athens, Wellston, Mcarthur, Albany, Lake Hope State Park, Chauncey,
Hamden, Coalton, Zaleski, Wilkesville, Creola, Radcliffe, Stroud Run
State Park, Dyesville, Darwin, Allensville, Harrisonville, Dexter,
Byer, and Carpenter.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3917 8279 3917 8277 3932 8275 3941 8200
      3906 8197 3909 8280
TIME...MOT...LOC 0727Z 269DEG 58KT 3920 8300

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

01

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
333 AM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

OHZ075-076-WVZ009-010-180800-
Washington OH-Athens OH-Wood WV-Pleasants WV-
333 AM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT WASHINGTON...SOUTHEASTERN
ATHENS...SOUTHWESTERN PLEASANTS AND NORTHERN WOOD COUNTIES THROUGH
400 AM EDT...

At 333 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles south of Chesterhill, moving east at 65 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Parkersburg, Marietta, Belpre, St. Marys, Vienna, Williamstown,
Belmont, Boaz, Washington, Newport, North Hills, Lowell, Amesville,
Lower Salem, Willow Island, Little Hocking, Schultz, Waverly,
Fleming, and Bartlett.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 77 in West Virginia between mile markers 177 and 186.
 Interstate 77 in Ohio between mile markers 1 and 12.
 Route 50 in West Virginia near mile marker 1.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3958 8127 3957 8125 3931 8114 3923 8194
      3942 8196 3945 8186 3945 8183 3946 8183
      3948 8175 3948 8171 3950 8171 3960 8136
      3959 8135 3959 8128 3961 8128 3961 8127
TIME...MOT...LOC 0733Z 255DEG 56KT 3936 8184

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

01

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
400 AM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

OHZ075-076-084-085-WVZ008-009-017-180830-
Washington OH-Athens OH-Meigs OH-Vinton OH-Jackson WV-Wirt WV-
Wood WV-
400 AM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT MEIGS...SOUTHWESTERN
WASHINGTON...SOUTHEASTERN VINTON...SOUTHERN ATHENS...WEST CENTRAL
WIRT...NORTHEASTERN JACKSON AND SOUTHWESTERN WOOD COUNTIES THROUGH
430 AM EDT...

At 359 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms near Albany, moving east at 55 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Parkersburg, Belpre, Pomeroy, Albany, Coolville, Rutland, Forked Run
State Park, Washington, Tuppers Plains, Lubeck, Chester, Wilkesville,
Radcliffe, Belleville, Reedsville, Little Hocking, Dyesville, Darwin,
Salem Center, and Harrisonville.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 77 in West Virginia between mile markers 156 and 168.
 Route 50 in West Virginia between mile markers 1 and 6.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3901 8152 3904 8243 3924 8240 3931 8156
TIME...MOT...LOC 0759Z 267DEG 46KT 3913 8225

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

01

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
401 AM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

OHZ076-WVZ009>011-019-180830-
Washington OH-Ritchie WV-Wood WV-Pleasants WV-Tyler WV-
401 AM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL WASHINGTON...
PLEASANTS...NORTH CENTRAL RITCHIE...WESTERN TYLER AND NORTHEASTERN
WOOD COUNTIES THROUGH 430 AM EDT...

At 400 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Williamstown, or over Marietta, moving east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Parkersburg, Marietta, Belpre, St. Marys, Vienna, Williamstown,
Sistersville, Belmont, Boaz, Newport, Matamoras, North Hills,
Friendly, Willow Island, Maxwell, Schultz, Arvilla, Point Lookout,
New Matamoras, and Wick.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 77 in West Virginia between mile markers 179 and 186.
 Interstate 77 in Ohio between mile markers 1 and 8.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3932 8093 3929 8163 3950 8163 3957 8108
      3957 8104 3954 8104 3959 8097 3959 8096
TIME...MOT...LOC 0800Z 264DEG 43KT 3941 8148

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

01