Special Weather Statement, NWS Charleston, WV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Charleston WV
726 PM EDT Sun Aug 2 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Latest thoughts on today's strong thunderstorm and flooding
threats. Updated 18Z aviation discussion.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Localized flash flooding and isolated strong to severe
storms will be possible today. Then, expect daily chances of
showers and storms throughout the new work week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

A postively-tilted trough will track across the middle Ohio
Valley and Appalachians today, bringing scattered showers and
thunderstorms along with it. GOES satellite imagery shows clouds
breaking for brief pockets of sunshine across the middle Ohio
Valley, and this daytime heating may provide fuel for isolated
stronger thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. However, the
thick cloud cover has likely limited the overall severe
thunderstorm threat today. If a few storms are able to mature,
deep-layer shear will be just enough (30-40 kts) to support
organized convection. SPC mesoanalysis also shows around 100
m2/s2 of 0-1 km storm relative helicity across central and
eastern portions of West Virginia today, which could provide
support for a brief spin-up tornado. However, the main threat of
any storms that mature today would be localized damaging wind
gusts and cloud-to-ground lightning.

In addition to a marginal severe weather threat, there is also a
threat of flash flooding due to a very saturated airmass.
Precipitable water values are highest today across central,
northern, and eastern West Virginia at 2.00 to 2.25 inches. These
are the locations where flooding will be a concern today, and a
Flood Watch remains in effect for these areas until late tonight.
Any place that sees training showers and thunderstorms today will be
at risk of flash flooding.

The aforementioned trough will escape to the northeast Monday
and Tuesday, but a cutoff upper-level low will develop over the
Southeast on Tuesday and hang around through much of the
workweek. The upper-level low and lingering vorticity aloft will
support the development of showers and thunderstorms each day
this week, with the highest chances occurring in the afternoon
and evening hours during peak heating.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Showers and storms are slowly decreasing in coverage/moving
largely east of the area. Expecting most of the activity to
either dissipate or exit the area by or shortly after 04Z.

Otherwise, after 06Z, expecting widespread IFR/LIFR or worse low
stratus and/or fog to develop overnight, and linger through at
least 14Z, and longer in the mountains.

Additional/isolated showers and storms can be expected on
Monday, particularly after 18Z. Most of this activity will be
confined east/south of the Ohio River, with confidence in
coverage and timing too low to include in the TAF this far out.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 00Z
TUESDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Restrictions tonight and early Monday
morning in fog and low ceilings may vary from forecast.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

DATE                                                            MON 08/03/26
UTC 1HRLY       00   01   02   03   04   05   06   07   08   09   10   11
EDT 1HRLY       20   21   22   23   00   01   02   03   04   05   06   07
CRW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    M    H    L    L    L    M    M    M
HTS CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    M    M    M    M
BKW CONSISTENCY  H    H    M    L    H    M    L    M    M    M    M    M
EKN CONSISTENCY  H    M    H    M    H    H    M    M    M    M    M    M
PKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    M    M    M    H    H    M
CKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    M    H    M    M    H

AFTER 00Z TUESDAY...
IFR restrictions are possible with showers and thunderstorms
throughout the week.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...Flood Watch until midnight EDT tonight for WVZ008>011-013>020-
     025>034-039-040-515>526.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.

&&

DISCUSSION...26
AVIATION...SL

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
803 PM EDT Sun Aug 2 2026

WVZ031-032-040-030045-
Barbour WV-Harrison WV-Taylor WV-
803 PM EDT Sun Aug 2 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT TAYLOR...NORTHERN BARBOUR AND
EAST CENTRAL HARRISON COUNTIES THROUGH 845 PM EDT...

At 803 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Bridgeport, or 8 miles northwest of Philippi, moving northeast at 40
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Grafton, Philippi, Bridgeport, Anmoore, Flemington, Valley Falls,
Moatsville, Rosemont, Knottsville, Meadland, Tygart Lake State Park,
Thornton, McGee, and Galloway.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3926 7985 3913 8013 3927 8028 3941 8011
      3939 8009 3940 8003 3942 8000 3945 7994
      3944 7990 3943 7989 3930 7989 3929 7986
      3927 7985
TIME...MOT...LOC 0003Z 231DEG 35KT 3925 8013

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

JP

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Charleston WV
828 PM EDT Sun Aug 2 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0825 PM     Flash Flood      4 NNW Meadow Bridge     37.91N 80.87W
08/02/2026                   Fayette            WV   Dept of Highways

            High Water reported in the 4000 block of
            Meadow Bridge Rd.

&&

JP

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
832 PM EDT Sun Aug 2 2026

VAZ004-WVZ033-030115-
Buchanan VA-McDowell WV-
832 PM EDT Sun Aug 2 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL BUCHANAN AND WEST
CENTRAL MCDOWELL COUNTIES THROUGH 915 PM EDT...

At 832 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Grundy, moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Grundy, Bradshaw, Stacy, Vansant, Hurley, Avondale, Jolo, and
Roseann.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3715 8201 3725 8221 3748 8204 3740 8172
TIME...MOT...LOC 0032Z 207DEG 20KT 3728 8207

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

JP