Severe Thunderstorm Warning 41, NWS Charleston, WV

051 
WWUS51 KRLX 160959
SVSRLX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
559 AM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026

WVC045-059-161009-
/O.CAN.KRLX.SV.W.0041.000000T0000Z-260316T1030Z/
Mingo WV-Logan WV-
559 AM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN MINGO AND
SOUTHEASTERN LOGAN COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 700 AM EDT for
central, southern and southeastern West Virginia.

&&

LAT...LON 3765 8157 3763 8171 3779 8163 3779 8161
      3780 8162 3788 8158 3813 8142 3820 8110
      3791 8103 3760 8134
TIME...MOT...LOC 0959Z 272DEG 23KT 3813 8131 3788 8146 3765 8160 

$$

WVC005-019-039-081-109-161030-
/O.CON.KRLX.SV.W.0041.000000T0000Z-260316T1030Z/
Kanawha WV-Raleigh WV-Wyoming WV-Fayette WV-Boone WV-
559 AM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 AM EDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN KANAWHA...WESTERN RALEIGH...NORTHEASTERN WYOMING...
WESTERN FAYETTE AND SOUTHEASTERN BOONE COUNTIES...

At 559 AM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Powellton to 9 miles east of Bald Knob to near
Oceana, moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Beckley, Fayetteville, Oak Hill, Mount Hope, Mabscott, Ansted,
Oceana, Sophia, Gauley Bridge, Crab Orchard, Dry Creek, Macarthur,
Bradley, Powellton, Hawks Nest State Park, Piney View, Stanaford,
Prosperity, Burnwell, and Twin Falls State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3765 8157 3763 8171 3779 8163 3779 8161
      3780 8162 3788 8158 3813 8142 3820 8110
      3791 8103 3760 8134
TIME...MOT...LOC 0959Z 272DEG 23KT 3813 8131 3788 8146 3765 8160 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

09

550 
WWUS51 KRLX 161016
SVSRLX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
616 AM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026

WVC005-039-161026-
/O.CAN.KRLX.SV.W.0041.000000T0000Z-260316T1030Z/
Kanawha WV-Boone WV-
616 AM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN KANAWHA AND
SOUTHEASTERN BOONE COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 700 AM EDT for
southern and southeastern West Virginia.

&&

LAT...LON 3765 8157 3770 8152 3788 8142 3817 8122
      3820 8110 3791 8103 3760 8134
TIME...MOT...LOC 1016Z 268DEG 26KT 3813 8116 3788 8131 3765 8145 

$$

WVC019-081-109-161030-
/O.CON.KRLX.SV.W.0041.000000T0000Z-260316T1030Z/
Raleigh WV-Wyoming WV-Fayette WV-
616 AM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 AM EDT
FOR CENTRAL RALEIGH...NORTHEASTERN WYOMING AND WESTERN FAYETTE
COUNTIES...

At 616 AM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Hawks Nest State Park to 6 miles west of Bradley
to Twin Falls State Park, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Beckley, Fayetteville, Oak Hill, Mount Hope, Mabscott, Ansted,
Sophia, Gauley Bridge, Crab Orchard, Dry Creek, Macarthur, Bradley,
Hawks Nest State Park, Piney View, Stanaford, Prosperity, Twin Falls
State Park, Powellton, Lester, and Pax.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3765 8157 3770 8152 3788 8142 3817 8122
      3820 8110 3791 8103 3760 8134
TIME...MOT...LOC 1016Z 268DEG 26KT 3813 8116 3788 8131 3765 8145 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

09

704 
WWUS51 KRLX 161024
SVSRLX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
624 AM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026

WVC019-081-109-161034-
/O.EXP.KRLX.SV.W.0041.000000T0000Z-260316T1030Z/
Raleigh WV-Wyoming WV-Fayette WV-
624 AM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL RALEIGH...NORTHEASTERN
WYOMING AND WESTERN FAYETTE COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 630 AM EDT...

The storms which prompted the warning have weakened below severe
limits, and no longer pose an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However, gusty
winds and heavy rain are still possible with these thunderstorms.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 700 AM EDT for
southern and southeastern West Virginia.

&&

LAT...LON 3765 8157 3770 8152 3788 8142 3817 8122
      3820 8110 3791 8103 3760 8134
TIME...MOT...LOC 1024Z 275DEG 30KT 3812 8108 3787 8123 3764 8137 

$$

09

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Charleston WV
438 AM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Extended Severe Thunderstorm Watch #62 across the rest of the
southern portion of the county warning area including Kanawha
and Putnam counties.

320 AM Update...
The line of convection approaching our western flank early this
morning appeared to be mostly below severe limits, but that
portion of the line farther south, approaching out southwestern
flank, were maintaining at least a wind threat.

Winter weather advisories have been issued for the higher
mountainous terrain for this afternoon through Tuesday
afternoon.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
- 1) A strong cold front associated with a deepening low
  pressure system cutting up through the Great Lakes whips
  across the area first thing this morning, with strong to
  possibly severe thunderstorm wind gusts, and some potential
  for rotation.

- 2) Colder rushing in behind the front may lead to a flash
  freeze in the mountains this evening, and bring well below
  normal and below freezing temperatures through Wednesday
  morning with an agricultural hard freeze. It will also support
  snow as a flat wave moves up along the cold front east of the
  area this afternoon. Cloud temperatures in the low level
  moisture in the warp- around upslope flow will be low enough
  for favored dendritic growth in snow showers tonight into
  Tuesday.

- 3) A quieter weather pattern settles in for the latter half
  of the week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

Update...
Extended Severe Thunderstorm Watch #62 across the rest of the
southern portion of the county warning area, as the southern
portion of the convective line continues to hold together,
showing little sign of weakening.

Prev Discussion...
A strong, deepening low pressure system cutting up through the
Great Lakes this morning, with its central pressure falling
through the 980s MB, features blizzard conditions on its
northwest side over the midwest and upper Great Lakes, and
Severe thunderstorms along and just ahead of its cold front
extending southward from the center.

The cold front, and associated line of convection, was steaming
eastward toward the forecast area early this morning, and SPC
has issued Severe Thunderstorm Watches 61 and 62 on our western
and southwestern flanks, respectively. Watch 61 expires at 08z
while 62 expires 11Z thus morning.

The moist adiabatic sounding ahead of the line barely has CAPE
associated with it, 200-400 kj/kg, but 0-1, 0-2 and 0-3 km bulk
shear increases to as high as the deep layer, 0-6 and 0-8 km
bulk shear, into the 50s to around 60, just ahead of the cold
front, including low level direction shear due to warm advection
veering with height (SRH values 500-700). This was sustaining
bowing line segments within the larger-scale thunderstorm band
ahead of an advancing cold front, at least south of the Ohio
River. This will focus the risk for severe gusts (60-75 mph),
with a brief tornado possible, mainly near the strongest and
more persistent mesovortices, early this morning, and possibly
into the daylight morning hours.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

Much colder air arriving in the wake of the cold front will
send temperatures plummeting from the 50s through the 40s and
30s today, getting below freezing mid to late afternoon today,
and then dropping well down into the 20s tonight.

The large mid/upper level trough associated with this system
will generate a flat wave along the front east of the area this
afternoon, reinvigorating precipitation which will change to
snow with the colder air coming in. The wave should move on by
this evening, allowing only several hours of snowfall, but a
heavier band could accelerate temperatures down to or even a bit
below freezing, locally enhancing snowfall accumulations.

Wrap around upslope snow showers will follow tonight. Cloud
temperatures in the teens below zero C will favor dendritic
growth, and these snow showers could set up in bands, also
locally enhancing snowfall accumulations.

Temperatures drop well below freezing tonight and Tuesday
night, in the 10s to around 20, and top out barely if any above
freezing across the lowlands on Tuesday, with teens and 20s in
the mountains. This relatively long-duration early spring
freeze, Monday night through Wednesday morning, poses a
significant hazard to adventurous gardeners and any early-season
vegetation that has emerged during the recent warm pattern.

KEY MESSAGE 3...

The weather pattern then settles down for the later half of the
week, with a return to a relatively warmer pattern as the
region rides the northwest to southeast oriented baroclinic
zone heading mid-week on. The details in this pattern are
relatively low with any small disturbance passing atop the
baroclinic zone likely to produce at least some showers. Not
yet coded, precipitation is possible out of a mid cloud deck in
warm advection Wednesday, and a mainly slight chance for rain
showers beyond that, including the possible approach of a weak
cold front late week as the baroclinic zone wavers.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Ceilings and visibilities are expected to lower to MVFR/IFR as
heavy rain, and possibly thunderstorms, accompany a cold front
across the area this morning. MVFR/IFR flight could occur again as
rain showers transition to snow this afternoon. The snow will
then evolve into snow showers this evening, and become
increasingly confined to the mountains tonight into Tuesday.
The snow showers and associated restrictions will become
increasingly scattered and brief.

Gusty winds are expected to continue through the majority of the
TAF period, with strongest winds occurring during the frontal
passage this morning, with winds shifting from the south to
southwest early this morning, to the southwest behind the front
later this morning, and then west this afternoon. Strong south
flow aloft ahead of the cold front early this morning will
become moderate southwest behind it later this morning, and the
moderate west later this afternoon.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Extent/timing thunderstorms may vary from
the forecast. Timing of transition from rain to snow may also
vary. Strong, gusty winds will fluctuate.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

DATE                              MON 03/16/26
UTC 1HRLY       06   07   08   09   10   11   12   13   14   15   16   17
EDT 1HRLY       02   03   04   05   06   07   08   09   10   11   12   13
CRW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    L    M    M    H    H    M    H
HTS CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    L    M    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
BKW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    M    H    H    H    M    L
EKN CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    M    L    L    M    M
PKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    M    H    H    H    H    H    H
CKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    M    M    H    M    H    M

AFTER 06Z TUESDAY...
IFR possible in snow showers overnight Monday night into Tuesday,
mainly in the mountains.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...Wind Advisory until 11 AM EDT this morning for WVZ005>011-
     013>020-024>034-039-040-515>522-524-525.
     Winter Weather Advisory from 3 PM this afternoon to 5 PM EDT
     Tuesday for WVZ520-522-523-525-526.
     Wind Advisory until 2 AM EDT Tuesday for WVZ523-526.
OH...Wind Advisory until 11 AM EDT this morning for OHZ066-067-075-
     076-083>087.
KY...Wind Advisory until 11 AM EDT this morning for KYZ101>103-105.
VA...Wind Advisory until 11 AM EDT this morning for VAZ003-004.

&&

DISCUSSION...TRM
AVIATION...TRM