Flash Flood Warning 18, NWS Charleston, WV

532 
WGUS71 KRLX 262111
FFSRLX

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
511 PM EDT Tue May 26 2026

OHC105-WVC035-105-107-262121-
/O.EXP.KRLX.FF.W.0018.000000T0000Z-260526T2115Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Meigs OH-Jackson WV-Wirt WV-Wood WV-
511 PM EDT Tue May 26 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 515 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR
NORTHEASTERN MEIGS, NORTHERN JACKSON, WIRT AND SOUTHWESTERN WOOD
COUNTIES...

The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a
threat. Please continue to heed remaining road closures.

&&

LAT...LON 3914 8191 3918 8155 3909 8126 3907 8126
      3906 8127 3906 8126 3896 8129 3894 8144
      3894 8145 3893 8146 3890 8168 3898 8193

$$

11

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Charleston WV
202 PM EDT Tue May 26 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
A Flash Flood Watch has been issued from 2 AM Wednesday to 2 AM
Thursday for locations generally along and north of the Metro
Valley.

A marginal risk for severe storms has been issued for Wednesday.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1.) A Flash Flood Watch is in effect starting at 2 AM Wednesday
for heavy, banded rainfall, initially focused across northern
counties before shifting south.

2.) Isolated strong/damaging winds in convection are possible
Wednesday afternoon and evening due to steep low level lapse
rates. Tree damage is more likely even in sub-severe winds given
saturated soils.

3.) A cold front will sweep through Wednesday night, bringing a
return to mainly dry weather and near normal temperatures for
Thursday into next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

A warm front continues to slowly lift north across the area
this afternoon into early this evening. Mainly light rain is
expected, though a few heavier showers and isolated
thunderstorms are possible with any breaks to sunshine.
Organized severe weather is not expected, but any gusts from
storms could uproot trees in saturated soils. Some locally heavy
rainfall with these convective cores are also possible, although
these should be somewhat progressive.

The overnight hours tonight should remain mostly dry. Heading
into Wednesday morning, a belt of stronger H850 flow is forecast
to develop. Heavy rain is likely to form in mass convergence
along the nose of this low level jet, coincident with the
stalled boundary. The heaviest precipitation is expected to
initially set up across the northern tier of counties, generally
north of US Highway 50. As a backdoor cold front approaches
from the north during the day, the boundary and the axis of
heaviest rainfall will slowly shift south Wednesday afternoon
and evening. Despite somewhat limited larger basin rainfall
totals, smaller basins under persistent heavy showers could
still see quick accumulations of 2 to 3 inches with potential
locally significant impacts given recent rainfall and locally
saturated ground conditions. A Flash Flood Watch has been
issued from 2 AM Wednesday until 2 AM Thursday to highlight this
threat. Wet soils across the region will also increase the
likelihood of mud and rock slides. Showers and storms are
expected to become more progressive as they move south Wednesday
night, but should this trend slow down, a southward expansion
of the watch could become necessary.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

In addition to the heavy rain threat, very moist low levels
and daytime surface heating will lead to modest surfaced based
destabilization heading into Wednesday afternoon amidst steeping
low level lapse rates. Some wind damage may occur with the
strongest convective cores. Given the already saturated soils,
it will not take much of a convective wind gust to uproot
shallow rooted trees.

KEY MESSAGE 3...

The aforementioned backdoor cold front will sweep south of
the region Wednesday night, shunting the tropically influenced
moisture out of the area for Thursday and into early next week.
This will yield a period of mainly dry weather. Near normal high
temperatures with cool overnights can be expected behind the
front given the dry airmass.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Mainly very light precipitation continues across the region at
this hour with isolated heavier showers and thunderstorms
expected to begin popping up with any breaks to sunshine. Should
one of these heavier shows make their way over a field, brief
IFR visibilities will be possible. Precipitation largely tapers
off tonight with a dry first half of the overnight expected.
Rainfall is expected to resume after midnight, mainly affecting
the northern terminals, some of this activity could be heavy and
persistent. Heavy showers and thunderstorms gradually shift
south through the day Wednesday with impacts to the central and
southern terminals likely after this TAF period.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Timing and intensity of showers and
thunderstorms today could this afternoon/evening and again
Wednesday morning.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

UTC 1HRLY       13   14   15   16   17   18   19   20   21   22   23   00
EDT 1HRLY       09   10   11   12   13   14   15   16   17   18   19   20
CRW CONSISTENCY  H    L    M    H    H    H    L    M    M    M    M    M
HTS CONSISTENCY  H    L    M    M    M    M    M    L    M    M    M    M
BKW CONSISTENCY  H    M    H    H    H    H    H    M    M    H    H    H
EKN CONSISTENCY  L    M    M    H    H    H    H    H    M    M    M    M
PKB CONSISTENCY  L    H    H    H    L    L    H    M    M    M    M    M
CKB CONSISTENCY  L    M    M    L    H    L    H    H    M    M    M    M

AFTER 18Z WEDNESDAY...
Periodic IFR restrictions are possible in any heavier
showers and thunderstorms through early Thursday morning. IFR
in fog/stratus is possible Thursday morning, and in fog
Saturday/Sunday mornings.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...Flood Watch from late tonight through late Wednesday night for
     WVZ006>011-014>020-027>032-039-040-521-522-525-526.
OH...Flood Watch from late tonight through late Wednesday night for
     OHZ066-067-075-076-083>087.
KY...Flood Watch from late tonight through late Wednesday night for
     KYZ101>103.
VA...None.

&&

DISCUSSION...JP
AVIATION...JP