Severe Thunderstorm Warning 49, NWS Raleigh, NC

743 
WWUS52 KRAH 190148
SVSRAH

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
948 PM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

NCC123-125-151-167-190215-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0049.000000T0000Z-260619T0215Z/
Moore NC-Montgomery NC-Randolph NC-Stanly NC-
948 PM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 PM EDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN MOORE...NORTHERN MONTGOMERY...SOUTHEASTERN RANDOLPH
AND EAST CENTRAL STANLY COUNTIES...

At 948 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Troy, moving
northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Asheboro, Troy, North Carolina Zoo, Badin Lake, Biscoe, Seagrove,
Badin, Star, Steeds, and Eldorado.

This includes Interstate 73 between Mile Markers 51 and 73.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3524 8000 3540 8016 3576 7977 3554 7955
      3552 7956 3551 7952
TIME...MOT...LOC 0148Z 231DEG 41KT 3543 7997 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

LH

862 
WWUS52 KRAH 190212
SVSRAH

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1012 PM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

NCC123-125-151-167-190222-
/O.EXP.KRAH.SV.W.0049.000000T0000Z-260619T0215Z/
Moore NC-Montgomery NC-Randolph NC-Stanly NC-
1012 PM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN MOORE...NORTHERN
MONTGOMERY...SOUTHEASTERN RANDOLPH AND EAST CENTRAL STANLY COUNTIES
WILL EXPIRE AT 1015 PM EDT...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe 
limits, and is exiting the warned area. Therefore, the warning will 
be allowed to expire.

&&

LAT...LON 3524 8000 3540 8016 3576 7977 3554 7955
      3552 7956 3551 7952
TIME...MOT...LOC 0212Z 231DEG 41KT 3559 7972 

$$

LH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
900 PM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...

* The threat of severe storms through tonight has expanded in scope
  and probability, with a Slight risk (level 2 of 5) now covering
  northern and western portions of central NC, with a Marginal risk
  (level 1 of 5) in our southeast areas.

* The risk for isolated bands of heavy rainfall this evening into
  early Fri morning has increased. Areal coverage of heavy rainbands
  appears limited, with high uncertainty as to its location, so will
  not issue a flood watch at this time, but will monitor for this
  potential closely through tonight.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
As of 305 PM Thursday...

1) Scattered strong to severe storms capable of producing damaging
straight-line wind gusts are possible this afternoon through mid
evening over north-central NC, and later tonight mainly over the
western and southern Piedmont.

2) Localized torrential downpours and training rainbands will bring
an isolated flooding risk tonight into early Fri.

3) A Heat Advisory remains in effect today through early evening for
the eastern Piedmont, Sandhills, and Coastal Plain.

4) Increased Fire Danger continues today as strong gusty winds and
hot temperatures overlap with critically dry, drought-cured fuels.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
As of 305 PM Thursday...

KEY MESSAGE 1... Scattered strong to severe storms capable of
producing damaging straight-line wind gusts are possible this
afternoon through mid evening over north-central NC, and later
tonight mainly over the western and southern Piedmont.

We're watching two foci for severe storm potential from now through
Fri morning. First, a cold front to our NW from NY across PA and the
Ohio Valley will slowly approach our area through tonight. A
prefrontal band of storms is ongoing from the northern NC mountains
across the VA border and far N NC, within a zone of 30-40 kts of
effective bulk shear and around 2000 J/kg of SBCAPE with strong
heating. While the DCAPE is greater over VA, these storms will still
be capable of strong to severe wind gusts across our N through early
to mid evening, with isolated hail as a secondary threat. These
storms should remain largely scattered in nature, and should fizzle
gradually with loss of heating and slightly lower deep layer shear
by mid to late evening.

Second, the remnant low of once-TS Arthur will track ENE across AL
and N GA and across the Carolinas through tonight and early Fri
morning attending a substantial precip shield. As it approaches, low
level shear will increase over our area due to the strengthening and
backing low level flow, particularly along a mesoscale warm front
extending ENE of the low that is projected by some CAMs to lift into
the southern portions of central NC overnight. While the timing is
such that SBCAPE will be waning, the 12z HRRR forecast soundings
near FAY valid around 09z-10z Fri are a bit concerning with 500-1000
J/kg SBCAPE south of the meso warm front, along with 150-250 m2/s2
of 0-1 km SRH with the backing surface flow, amid low-70s dewpoints
and high low-level theta-e. Given this potential for somewhat long
and curved hodographs and low LCLs along with moderate instability,
isolated tornadoes are possible, especially with any discrete cells
on the E side of the approaching low. This threat may extend into
the central and southern Coastal Plain into Fri morning.

KEY MESSAGE 2... Localized torrential downpours and training
rainbands will bring an isolated flooding risk tonight into early
Fri.

Despite the ongoing drought over the area, there is a risk for
locally heavy rainfall rates potentially leading to isolated
flooding. First, slow and training cells across our northern
sections this afternoon could produce pockets of minor flooding in
areas of poor drainage and urban areas through early evening. Then,
from tonight through early Fri, as the large rain shield moves in,
training of rainbands will be possible mainly in areas to the north
and east of approaching low, as PW will be 150-175% of normal. Any
outflow from this afternoon's convection could help further focus
bands of heavy showers and storms. But confidence in where such
bands might set up is low, and the areal coverage of heavy rates
appears to be somewhat limited. As such, will not issue a flood
watch for now, but later shifts will closely monitor the situation,
and a more short-fused flood watch may be needed.

KEY MESSAGE 3... A Heat Advisory remains in effect today through
early evening for the eastern Piedmont, Sandhills, and Coastal Plain.

No change to the earlier-posted Heat Advisory. The 12z GSO sounding
had a low level thickness of 10 m above normal, along with an 850 mb
temp of 20C, close to the daily record. Clouds and convection moving
into our VA border areas is hindering the afternoon heating there
currently, but elsewhere, sufficient insolation among the convective
cu is allowing temps to reach the low-mid 90s already, and area
observations including NC Econet sites are already reporting heat
index values near or over 100F outside of the W Piedmont. This
dangerously hot weather will persist through early evening, bringing
a risk of heat illnesses, especially for those working or exercising
outdoors and anyone without adequate cooling, shade, and hydration.

KEY MESSAGE 4... Increased Fire Danger continues today as strong
gusty winds and hot temperatures overlap with critically dry,
drought-cured fuels.

Blustery and gusty SW winds have materialized as advertised, with
sustained speeds of 15-25 mph common, and frequent gusts of 25 to 35
mph. We're starting to see some min RH values in the 35-45% range,
and while this is not especially critical under normal
circumstances, given the extremely dry fuels reported by field
forest service personnel, the risk of fire ignition and dangerous
fire behavior persists today, and the Increased Fire Danger
statement will remain in effect. This risk will be amplified by
erratic and shifting winds and gusts in and near storms. Anticipated
arrival of rain through tonight should help moisten fine fuels
enough to reduce the fire danger for Fri.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 905 PM Thursday...

Scattered strong to severe storms will continue to threaten the
region through late evening, mainly NW of KFAY. Otherwise,
additional bands of convection will arrive later tonight.

As low pressure approaches from the WSW, steady moderate to heavy
showers and embedded storms will spread into and through central NC
from W to E through the overnight hours and into Fri morning. Cigs
are expected to drop to MVFR then quickly to IFR at INT/GSO by
around 05z, to RDU/FAY by around 07z, and RWI by 08z, with high
coverage of showers and a few storms, especially at FAY where a
storm or two may be severe after 08z. MVFR to IFR vsbys are also
possible within these showers and storms. This convection will exit
W to E mid morning through early afternoon Fri, with INT/GSO
expected to trend to VFR 13z-15z Fri and RDU/FAY/RWI trending VFR
15z-18z. To further add to the potential for adverse aviation
conditions, gusty winds will continue into this evening, sustained
from the SW 10-20 kts with frequent gusts up to 20-30 kts.
Mechanical turbulence may occur. Winds will decrease by mid to late
evening but will become more shifting and erratic late tonight
through Fri as the low crosses the Carolinas.

Looking beyond 18z Fri, any lingering rain or sub-VFR cigs at RWI at
18z will quickly exit, leaving VFR conditions dominant from mid
afternoon Fri through at least Sun. We'll have a chance of sub-VFR
stratus Sun night into early Mon, then our next chance of showers
and storms will be Mon into early Tue with the next frontal system.

&&

.CLIMATE...

Record High Temperatures:

June 18: KRDU: 98/2015 KFAY: 102/1944

June 21: KRDU: 101/1933

June 22: KRDU: 100/2022 KFAY: 101/2022

Record High Minimum Temperatures:

June 18: KGSO: 73/2018 KRDU: 77/2025 KFAY: 76/2017

June 19: KRDU: 73/2025 KFAY: 77/2017

June 22: KGSO: 75/1981 KRDU: 78/1933

June 23: KGSO: 74/2024 KRDU: 78/2024 KFAY: 77/2024

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening
for NCZ008>011-024>028-040>043-075>078-085-086-088-089.

&&

DISCUSSION...Hartfield
AVIATION...Badgett
CLIMATE...RAH

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
831 PM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-200045-
Person-Granville-Vance-Warren-Halifax-Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-
Orange-Durham-Franklin-Nash-Edgecombe-Davidson-Randolph-Chatham-Wake-
Johnston-Wilson-Stanly-Montgomery-Moore-Lee-Harnett-Wayne-Anson-
Richmond-Scotland-Hoke-Cumberland-Sampson-
831 PM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Friday morning.

There is a chance of severe thunderstorms with damaging wind through
late evening. In addition, there is a chance of very heavy rainfall
and strong gusty winds later tonight and early Friday.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday Afternoon through Wednesday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Badgett

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
843 PM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0835 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     5 ENE Star              35.42N 79.69W
06/18/2026                   Moore              NC   911 Call Center

            tree down on roadway near Spies rd in Star.

&&

CA

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
844 PM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     8 W Pope Afb            35.19N 79.14W
06/18/2026                   Moore              NC   911 Call Center

            large tree down along LOBELIA RD.

&&

CA

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
908 PM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0826 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     4 NW Robbins            35.47N 79.64W
06/18/2026                   Moore              NC   911 Call Center

            tree down near jasper rd.

&&

CA

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
913 PM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

NCZ008-023>026-040>042-190215-
Johnston NC-Chatham NC-Franklin NC-Durham NC-Alamance NC-Wake NC-
Granville NC-Orange NC-
913 PM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT
ALAMANCE...ORANGE...SOUTHERN GRANVILLE...NORTHERN WAKE...NORTH
CENTRAL JOHNSTON...NORTHEASTERN CHATHAM... DURHAM AND FRANKLIN
COUNTIES THROUGH 1015 PM EDT...

At 911 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking showers and thunderstorms
with heavy rain and gusty wind to 45 mph over the northern Piedmont.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Raleigh, Durham, Cary, Chapel Hill, Burlington, Graham, Hillsborough,
Creedmoor, Louisburg, and Wake Forest.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 85 between Mile Markers 163 and 197.
 Interstate 40 between Mile Markers 140 and 162, between Mile Markers
259 and 293, and between Mile Markers 298 and 302.
 Interstate 440 between Mile Markers 1 and 16.
 Interstate 540 between Mile Markers 0 and 24.
 NC Highway 264 between Mile Markers 20 and 22.
 the Durham Freeway between Mile Markers 2 and 17.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3624 7869 3608 7812 3582 7826 3578 7825
      3570 7828 3587 7954 3625 7953
TIME...MOT...LOC 0111Z 226DEG 27KT 3588 7938

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

PWB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
916 PM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

NCZ021>023-038-039-190215-
Guilford NC-Alamance NC-Forsyth NC-Randolph NC-Davidson NC-
916 PM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT ALAMANCE...SOUTHEASTERN
FORSYTH...NORTHEASTERN DAVIDSON...NORTHERN RANDOLPH AND GUILFORD
COUNTIES THROUGH 1015 PM EDT...

At 915 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
High Point, moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph. Very heavy rainfall.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Greensboro, High Point, Burlington, Graham, Randleman, Thomasville,
Kernersville, Mebane, Elon, and McLeansville.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 85 between Mile Markers 33 and 35, and between Mile
Markers 101 and 131.
 Interstate 40 between Mile Markers 132 and 155, and between Mile
Markers 201 and 226.
 Interstate 73 between Mile Markers 82 and 103.
 Interstate 74 between Mile Markers 60 and 79.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3626 8005 3624 7926 3584 7926 3584 7954
      3577 7955 3586 8018
TIME...MOT...LOC 0115Z 226DEG 26KT 3593 7993

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

PWB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
918 PM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

NCZ038-039-073>075-083-084-190215-
Stanly NC-Anson NC-Richmond NC-Randolph NC-Davidson NC-Montgomery NC-
Moore NC-
918 PM EDT Thu Jun 18 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN MOORE...SOUTHEASTERN
DAVIDSON...NORTHERN ANSON...MONTGOMERY...NORTHWESTERN RICHMOND...
SOUTHWESTERN RANDOLPH AND STANLY COUNTIES THROUGH 1015 PM EDT...

At 918 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms 9 miles south of Plyler, or 10 miles southwest of
Albemarle, moving northeast at 65 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Albemarle, Troy, Badin Lake, Biscoe, Ansonville, Seagrove, Plyler,
Fairview In Union County, Polkton, and Locust.

This includes Interstate 73 between Mile Markers 34 and 65.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3550 8030 3551 8018 3555 8021 3558 8021
      3565 8030 3569 8029 3556 7969 3525 7941
      3498 8028 3500 8030 3519 8028 3520 8030
      3518 8031 3517 8035 3518 8037 3517 8039
      3517 8042 3516 8046 3518 8051
TIME...MOT...LOC 0118Z 231DEG 56KT 3523 8028

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

CA