Special Weather Statement, NWS Pueblo, CO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
204 PM MDT Sun Aug 23 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Scatted to numerous showers and storms expected this evening,
  especially across the plains.

- Showers and storms expected each day of the upcoming week,
  though with a downtick in activity for the later part of the
  week.

- Flash flooding will be a concern for the first half of the
  week, especially across the Aspen Acres burn scar.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
Issued at 203 PM MDT Sun Aug 23 2026

Tonight: For Sunday night, active weather continues for portions of
south central and southeastern Colorado. A ridge of high pressure
will be remain in place just south of the area, with rich monsoon
moisture streaming up and around this feature and into the area.
This moisture tap, along with influence from vort maxes and
shortwaves, will help showers and storms ongoing during the late
afternoon to push across the plains through late evening to early
overnight. While shear will be lackluster, a couple of strong storms
will be possible given increased CAPE values. The strongest storms
may be capable of producing heavy rainfall and flash flooding, along
with gusty outflow winds to around 55 mph from wet microburst/heavy
water laden downdrafts. Along with that, given the moisture in
place, showers may continue to fester across the higher terrain and
valleys into the late evening. With that all said, showers and
storms are expected to dissipate by the mid overnight hours, with
dry conditions by tomorrow morning. Outside of all of that, with the
pattern in place, winds are expected to remain light outside of
storms, less than 10 mph, with pockets of clouds persisting through
much of the evening and overnight hours. Looking at temperatures,
another warm and above seasonal lows night is anticipated given the
moisture and cloud cover. The plains will cool into the 60s, the
valleys into the upper 40s to upper 50s, and the mountains into the
low 40s to mid 50s.

Tomorrow: Heading into Monday, another similar day to the past
couple is expected for south central and southeastern Colorado. The
high pressure will continue to sit south of the area, and continue
to stream deep moisture up and around and into the region. Again,
with influences from vort maxes and shortwaves, another round
afternoon showers and storms is anticipated, with initial
development along the higher terrain, and increasing in coverage
across the valleys and plains heading into mid to later afternoon.
Heavy rainfall, flash flooding, and strong outflow winds to around
50-55 mph will be possible with any stronger storms. Beyond of all
that, also similar to the past couple of days, winds will remain
light, around 10 mph, outside of influences from storms, with clouds
increasing in coverage through the afternoon hours. As for
temperatures, another warm and above seasonal day is anticipated.
The plains will warm into the 90s, the valleys into the 80s, and the
mountains into the mid 50s and upper 70s.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 203 PM MDT Sun Aug 23 2026

Monday Night - Saturday: For the rest of the forecast period, active
weather continues for south central and southeastern Colorado,
though with a downtick in activity heading into the later part of
the week. The stubborn high pressure will remain in place through at
least the first half of the week, bringing additional abundant
moisture. This moisture, along with any vort maxes and short waves,
will bring additional days with afternoon and evening showers and
storms, with the greatest coverage Tuesday and Wednesday. Then
heading into the later part of the week, the high pressure is
expected to drift southward and flatten out. This will eventually
cut-off the deeper moisture tap, with showers and storms decreasing
in coverage past Wednesday, but especially Friday and Saturday.
Otherwise, winds continue to remain relatively light, with increased
cloud cover expected each afternoon. As for temperatures, while a
dip is expected midweek, temperatures remain warm and mostly above
seasonal values, especially heading into next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 1122 AM MDT Sun Aug 23 2026

KCOS, KPUB, and KALS: VFR conditions are expected over the next 24
hours. Outside of thunderstorms, winds are expected to remain
relatively light, around and less than 10 knots, with only
occasional gusts 15 to 20 knots. Dry conditions at the start of
this TAF period will give way to storms this afternoon and early
evening. Storms may bring periods of heavy rainfall, reduced
visibility, gusty outflow winds, small hail, and frequent lightning
to any of the TAF sites. Otherwise, mid to high level clouds will
increase in coverage today, with a decreasing in coverage overnight
and into tomorrow morning.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch until 9 PM MDT this evening for COZ079-080-
086.
Flash Flood Watch from Monday afternoon through Monday evening
for COZ079-080-086.

&&

SHORT TERM...SIMCOE
LONG TERM...SIMCOE
AVIATION...SIMCOE

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1123 AM MDT Sun Aug 23 2026

COZ058>089-093>099-241730-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1123 AM MDT Sun Aug 23 2026

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Showers and thunderstorms will develop over the mountains in the
early afternoon today, spreading across lower elevations and the
plains from mid-afternoon into the evening. The main hazard from
storms today will be locally heavy rainfall and flash flooding,
with areas over and near the Aspen Acres burn scar especially
susceptible to flooding and debris flows. Storms today and this
evening may also produce gusty winds to 55 mph, frequent cloud to
ground lightning and small hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Showers and thunderstorms are possible each afternoon and evening
through the week, with the greatest coverage of storms from
Monday into Wednesday, then drier air begins to decrease storm
chances by the end of the week. Locally heavy rainfall will again
be the main hazard from storms through the period, with a flash
flood risk continuing for the Aspen Acres burn scar into at least
mid-week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will
be possible over portions of the region.

SIMCOE/SIMCOE

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
128 PM MDT Sun Aug 23 2026

COZ076-077-232000-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Ft CO-
Northwestern Fremont County  Above 8500Ft CO-
128 PM MDT Sun Aug 23 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTH CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY
THROUGH 200 PM MDT...

At 127 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Waugh Mountain, or 49 miles west of Colorado Springs, moving east at
15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Waugh Mountain.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3860 10577 3869 10573 3868 10545 3845 10562
TIME...MOT...LOC 1927Z 291DEG 13KT 3862 10569

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Simcoe

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
143 PM MDT Sun Aug 23 2026

COZ069-232015-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Ft CO-
143 PM MDT Sun Aug 23 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN SAGUACHE COUNTY
THROUGH 215 PM MDT...

At 143 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles south of Moffat, or 29 miles north of Alamosa, moving east at 5
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of southeastern
Saguache County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3786 10593 3794 10594 3801 10574 3780 10574
TIME...MOT...LOC 1943Z 266DEG 6KT 3790 10587

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Simcoe

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
213 PM MDT Sun Aug 23 2026

COZ076-081-083-232045-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County CO-
Northwestern Fremont County  Above 8500Ft CO-
Teller County/Rampart Range above 7500fT/Pike's Peak Between 7500 And
11000 Ft CO-
213 PM MDT Sun Aug 23 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTH CENTRAL FREMONT AND
SOUTHWESTERN TELLER COUNTIES THROUGH 245 PM MDT...

At 213 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Cripple Creek, or 24 miles west of Colorado Springs, moving southeast
at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Cripple Creek and Victor.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3870 10533 3878 10528 3876 10506 3858 10522
TIME...MOT...LOC 2013Z 295DEG 9KT 3872 10525

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Simcoe

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
231 PM MDT Sun Aug 23 2026

COZ079-083-086-232100-
Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet CO-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000Ft CO-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County CO-
231 PM MDT Sun Aug 23 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN FREMONT...
NORTHEASTERN CUSTER AND WEST CENTRAL PUEBLO COUNTIES THROUGH 300 PM
MDT...

At 231 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Florence, or 31 miles west of Pueblo, moving southeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Florence and Wetmore.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3830 10528 3840 10518 3834 10491 3817 10508
TIME...MOT...LOC 2031Z 308DEG 13KT 3831 10519

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

kam

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
346 PM MDT Sun Aug 23 2026

COZ086-232215-
Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet CO-
346 PM MDT Sun Aug 23 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN PUEBLO COUNTY
THROUGH 415 PM MDT...

At 344 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong outflow from
storms in western Pueblo county, moving east at 20 mph. The outflow
will affect most of Pueblo county through 415 pm.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Pueblo, Pueblo Airport, Pueblo Reservoir, Salt Creek, Blende,
Avondale, Pueblo West, Pueblo Depot, and Pinon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3816 10492 3847 10483 3847 10424 3798 10442
TIME...MOT...LOC 2144Z 278DEG 18KT 3828 10456

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

Hodanish