Special Weather Statement, NWS Pueblo, CO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1247 PM MDT Thu Jun 25 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Potential for strong to severe storms today and Friday across
  the eastern plains, with large hail and strong winds the
  primary hazards.

- Widespread critical fire weather conditions return this
  weekend into early next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 111 AM MDT Thu Jun 25 2026

Today and Tonight: Thursday brings another potential round of
afternoon and evening showers and storms. Westerly flow will remain
in place across the region, bringing increase flow and orographics.
While dry conditions are expected early in the day, this pattern
will give way to scattered afternoon and evening showers and
thunderstorms. For the mountains and valleys, general Summer type
thunderstorms are expected, with lightning, small hail, and gusty
outflow winds to 40 mph expected. Across the eastern plains, richer
moisture will be in place, and while some mixing is anticipated
during the afternoon hours, this moisture combined with 40-50 knots
of shear, could allow for storms to become strong to severe as they
push eastward off of the higher terrain. Given higher cloud bases,
strong outflow winds to 65 mph would be the primary hazard, though
isolated instances of large hail to 1 inch will be possible. Another
area of potential storm initiation may be along a cold front as it
sags southward across the eastern plains. Given increased moisture
behind this front, and the shear in place, at least transient
supercells will be possible, with large hail up to 1.5 inches and
strong winds to around 65 mph the primary concerns. With that all
said, most showers and storms are expected to dissipate heading into
the evening hours, though with isolated showers and storms still
lingering through the night. Outside of all of that, breezy
conditions will be in place during the day, especially for the San
Luis Valley, with gusts to around 20 mph expected, and partly cloudy
skies persisting throughout the day. Temperatures will remain near
to slightly below seasonal values during the day, and mild and near
seasonal overnight. With that, for highs, the plains will be in the
80s to low 90s, the valleys in the 80s, and the mountains in the 50s
to 70s. For lows, the plains will be in the 50s to low 60s, the
valleys in the 40s to low 50s, and the mountains in the 30s to 40s.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 111 AM MDT Thu Jun 25 2026

Friday: For the end of the work week, active and stormy weather
continues for south central and southeastern Colorado. Westerly to
southwesterly flow will be in place, along with persistent
orographics. Dry conditions are expected early in the day, but
showers and storms are anticipated to blossom along the higher
terrain by mid afternoon and push eastward across the valleys and
plains. More typical Summer storms are expected across the mountains
and valleys with lightning, small hail, and gusty outflow winds.
Across the plains, another round of strong to severe storms is
possible given better moisture quality across this localized area,
with large hail and strong winds the primary hazards. As instability
wanes in the evening, showers and storms are anticipated to
dissipate. Beyond all of that, gusty afternoon winds and partly
cloudy skies are expected areawide. As for temperatures, a warming
trend begins, with much of the region warming back to seasonal
values.

Saturday - Monday: Heading into the weekend and into early next
week, active weather continues, but with fire weather concerns.
Southwesterly flow will develop and persist over the area, bringing
strong winds and drier air. With increasing winds, and drier air and
associated lower humidity values, widespread critical fire weather
conditions are expected during this period. Confidence is fairly
high (around 70%) on this pattern evolution, given strong and
continued support and agreement from ensemble model guidance.
Otherwise, as alluded to, windy conditions with mostly clear
skies is anticipated. Temperatures will continue the warming
trend, with above seasonal temperatures expected, with triple
digit temperatures for portions of the eastern plains.

Tuesday - Wednesday: Continuing into the front part of the midweek
period of next week, a pattern change takes place, though with
active weather continuing. Southwesterly flow will remain, however,
a large ridge of high pressure will be in place across the
central/midwest parts of CONUS. This flow will start to advect in
better moisture, particularly at the midlevel. Given this, shower
and thunderstorm chances will start to increase again. With that said
though, dry and windy conditions persist for western portions of the
forecast area, potentially bringing additional days with critical
fire weather conditions. Outside of all of that, more windy days and
partly cloudy skies are anticipated. Looking at temperatures,
slightly above seasonal values continue.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1227 PM MDT Thu Jun 25 2026

Mainly VFR conditions at COS and PUB through the evening hours,
with scattered showers and thunderstorms spreading across the
eastern mtns into the I-25 Corridor. East to northeast winds
at COS and PUB through the afternoon become more east to southeast
through the evening, with MFVR and IFR stratus developing at the
terminals into the overnight hours. Stratus breaks up through
the early morning, with another round of storms expected aft
this taf period.

VFR conditions expected at ALS over the next 24 hours, with
scattered showers and thunderstorms spreading across the
valley and low chance of high based storms affecting the
terminal through the early evening. Breezy southwest winds
through the afternoon becoming light diunral overnight.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Fire Weather Watch from Saturday morning through Saturday
evening for COZ220-222>225.

&&

SHORT TERM...SIMCOE
LONG TERM...SIMCOE
AVIATION...MW

Hazardous Weather Outlook...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1100 AM MDT Thu Jun 25 2026

COZ058>089-093>099-261630-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1100 AM MDT Thu Jun 25 2026

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop
over the higher terrain late this morning and continue through
the evening, with a few strong to severe storms developing as
they move into a more unstable atmosphere across the I-25 Corridor
and southeast plains this afternoon and evening. The best chances
of severe storms, producing strong wind gusts of 60 to 70 mph,
and large hail up to 1.5 inches in diameter, look to be across
the Palmer Divide into the I-25 Corridor, and across the Raton
Mesa into the southern tier of eastern Las Animas and Baca
counties. Locally heavy rainfall will also be possible with the
strongest storms, leading to the potential for flash flooding,
especially across areas which have received abundant precipitation
over the past few days.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Another round of strong to severe storms is expected Friday across
the eastern plains, with with large hail and strong winds again the
primary hazards. Widespread, and potentially substantial, critical
fire weather conditions are expected to return this weekend and into
early next as dry and windy conditions return.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will
be possible over portions of the region.

23/SIMCOE

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1146 AM MDT Thu Jun 25 2026

COZ081-083-085-086-251815-
Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet CO-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County CO-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below
7400 Ft CO-
Teller County/Rampart Range above 7500fT/Pike's Peak Between 7500 And
11000 Ft CO-
1146 AM MDT Thu Jun 25 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT EAST CENTRAL FREMONT...
SOUTHWESTERN EL PASO AND NORTHWESTERN PUEBLO COUNTIES THROUGH 1215 PM
MDT...

At 1145 AM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles northeast of Penrose, or 20 miles south of Colorado Springs,
moving southeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Pueblo West.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3852 10505 3866 10491 3851 10458 3830 10479
TIME...MOT...LOC 1745Z 307DEG 15KT 3855 10491

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

EP

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1223 PM MDT Thu Jun 25 2026

COZ086-251900-
Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet CO-
1223 PM MDT Thu Jun 25 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN PUEBLO COUNTY
THROUGH 100 PM MDT...

At 1223 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Pinon, or 11 miles north of Pueblo, moving southeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Pueblo, Pueblo Airport, Blende, Avondale, Pueblo West, Pueblo Depot,
and Pinon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3840 10480 3851 10465 3833 10421 3814 10441
TIME...MOT...LOC 1823Z 305DEG 29KT 3843 10466

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

EP

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
120 PM MDT Thu Jun 25 2026

COZ084-085-251945-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below
7400 Ft CO-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below 7500 Ft
CO-
120 PM MDT Thu Jun 25 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY THROUGH
145 PM MDT...

At 120 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Black Forest, or 12 miles northeast of Colorado Springs, moving
southeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Northeastern Colorado Springs, Schriever Space Force Base, Black
Forest, Falcon, and Cimarron Hills.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3894 10478 3905 10467 3893 10435 3876 10456
TIME...MOT...LOC 1920Z 312DEG 14KT 3898 10468

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

EP