Special Weather Statement, NWS Pueblo, CO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1240 PM MDT Wed Jun 3 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Scattered showers and thunderstorms into this evening, with fewer
tomorrow.

- Drier and warmer conditions set in Friday and into the
  weekend. Best chance for daily showers will be over the
  mountains. Temperatures will remain above average.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1239 PM MDT Wed Jun 3 2026

A somewhat disorganized upper trough and low pressure system will
pass through the region this afternoon and into tonight, continuing
ongoing convection into the early evening before things dissipate.
Overnight lows stay pretty mild tonight thanks to lingering low-
level moisture, with mostly 50s for the eastern plains and high 30s
to 40s for the valleys.

Shower and storm coverage looks lower on Thursday. As the previous
trough pushes east, drier air will move in behind it out of the
west, limiting us to some isolated-scattered showers in the
afternoon, with a few thunderstorms mixed in. Best chances will be
over and near the higher terrain, thanks to a mix of daytime heating
and weak orographic lift, but with CAPE and shear both on the low
side whatever forms shouldn't be very strong. Meanwhile,
temperatures heat up a bit, with highs in the 80s-90s across the
area, warmest out east over the plains.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Issued at 1239 PM MDT Wed Jun 3 2026

More dry air moves into our region heading into Friday and this
weekend, with a broad ridge building in over the region. For Friday,
largely just afternoon mountain showers and a few thunderstorms with
isolated to scattered coverage. Instability and shear look weak once
again, with limited coverage and intensity. Precip chances increase
slightly on Saturday as a disturbance translates south of our area,
heading northeast throughout the day. Will see more scattered
coverage for afternoon mountains showers/storms, with gusty winds,
lightning, and some moderate to heavy rain potential. Sunday will be
mostly dry across the region as upper ridging builds back in. Will
have to keep an eye out for any developing critical fire weather
conditions, but as of now winds generally appear too weak for any
major concerns this far out. Meanwhile, temperatures will continue
to warm this weekend, with the high valleys staying in the low-mid
80s while the eastern plains reach well into the 90s by Sunday.

Looking further ahead and into early next week, model solutions
diverge a bit, but the general signal shows an upper low moving into
the Pacific Northwest. Meanwhile, we remain beneath the upper ridge
for a few more days, with the occasional disturbance bringing some
daily shower and storm chances and above average temperatures.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1130 AM MDT Wed Jun 3 2026

VFR conditions are generally expected at KALS, KCOS, and KPUB
through 24 hours. Winds will mostly stay diurnally driven, outside
of shower and storm influence. Showers will pass through the KALS
area between 22-00Z, bringing variable gusts to 30 knots or so and
brief periods of rain. For KCOS and KPUB, thunderstorms will move
off of the terrain, pushing southeast into early evening. Storms are
expected intermittently at KCOS for a few hours starting around 21Z,
while confidence is lower at KPUB, so stuck with PROB30 for lower
coverage in that area. Outflow gusts will be 30-35 knots with light
to briefly moderate rainfall and lightning under any passing storms.

Winds weaken overnight and clouds lessen, with VFR expected into
early Thursday.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

SHORT TERM...GARBEROGLIO
LONG TERM...GARBEROGLIO
AVIATION...GARBEROGLIO

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1134 AM MDT Wed Jun 3 2026

COZ058>089-093>099-041745-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1134 AM MDT Wed Jun 3 2026

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected through the rest of
the afternoon and into early evening. Storms will form over and near
the higher terran, pushing southeast. The main risk with
thunderstorms will be gusty outflow winds up to 50 mph, lightning,
and locally heavy rainfall. Some brief small hail will be possible
with the stronger storms. Localized flash flooding will be possible
on newer burn scars such as the 24 Fire if an isolated stronger
storm moves directly over. Thunderstorms will diminish during the
evening hours.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Isolated thunderstorms will be possible each day with the driest day
on Friday. Thunderstorms will increase again on Saturday, especially
over the mountains, with thunderstorm chances decreasing to more
isolated coverage for the remainder of the weekend into next week.
The main risks with thunderstorms these days will be gusty outflow
winds up to 40 mph, lightning, and spotty light to moderate
rainfall.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will
be possible over portions of the region.

GARBEROGLIO/GARBEROGLIO

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
143 PM MDT Wed Jun 3 2026

COZ072-078>080-032015-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000Ft CO-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Ft CO-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Ft CO-
Wet Mountains above 10000 Ft CO-
143 PM MDT Wed Jun 3 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN HUERFANO AND
SOUTHEASTERN CUSTER COUNTIES THROUGH 215 PM MDT...

At 143 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 14
miles northwest of Greenhorn Mountain, or 38 miles southwest of
Pueblo, moving west at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Rosita.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3805 10513 3792 10518 3795 10541 3813 10535
TIME...MOT...LOC 1943Z 110DEG 9KT 3800 10523

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Simcoe

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
144 PM MDT Wed Jun 3 2026

COZ076-077-032015-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Ft CO-
Northwestern Fremont County  Above 8500Ft CO-
144 PM MDT Wed Jun 3 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY
THROUGH 215 PM MDT...

At 144 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Waugh Mountain, or 52 miles southwest of Colorado Springs, moving
east at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Waugh Mountain.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3846 10579 3859 10579 3866 10556 3843 10553
TIME...MOT...LOC 1944Z 266DEG 11KT 3853 10571

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Simcoe

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
230 PM MDT Wed Jun 3 2026

COZ076-081-083-032100-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County CO-
Northwestern Fremont County  Above 8500Ft CO-
Teller County/Rampart Range above 7500fT/Pike's Peak Between 7500 And
11000 Ft CO-
230 PM MDT Wed Jun 3 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTH CENTRAL FREMONT AND
SOUTHWESTERN TELLER COUNTIES THROUGH 300 PM MDT...

At 230 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms near Florissant, or 24 miles west of Colorado Springs,
moving south at 5 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Cripple Creek and Victor.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3870 10507 3862 10518 3867 10537 3870 10537
      3870 10533 3887 10533 3890 10532 3891 10516
TIME...MOT...LOC 2030Z 355DEG 5KT 3885 10527

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Simcoe

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
239 PM MDT Wed Jun 3 2026

COZ072-073-078-032115-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Ft CO-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Ft CO-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains above 11000 Ft CO-
239 PM MDT Wed Jun 3 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN CUSTER AND EAST
CENTRAL SAGUACHE COUNTIES THROUGH 315 PM MDT...

At 239 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 13
miles northeast of Crestone, or 50 miles north of Alamosa. This
thunderstorm was nearly stationary.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Silver Cliff and Westcliffe.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3823 10564 3824 10548 3807 10542 3802 10555
      3806 10569
TIME...MOT...LOC 2039Z 355DEG 4KT 3816 10558

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Simcoe

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