Severe Thunderstorm Warning 327, NWS Pueblo, CO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
555 PM MDT Wed Sep 9 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Uncharacteristic pattern over the region tonight as showers
  and thunderstorms will increase during the evening and last
  through the overnight hours over the plains.

- Lots of morning clouds over the plains tomorrow morning.

- Roller Coaster WRT temps through this period.

- Marginal fire weather conditions THU and FRI over parts of the
  fcst area

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 111 PM MDT Wed Sep 9 2026

For the rest of today, mot much in the way of precip is expected. If
any showers develop through 6 pm, they will be down near the
southern Sangres and isolated over the far SE Plains. Max temps
today should generally be in the 80s plains and valleys.

The interesting weather will be tonight. With plenty of low level
moisture over the plains and a somewhat degraded moisture plume
aloft, combined with a fairly stout disturbance at mid levels will
move over the region later tonight. Showers and thunderstorms will
develop over the plains by early to mid evening and increase in
intensity and coverage into the early morning hours of Thursday. The
main concern with this activity will be locally heavy rain,
especially over the far eastern plains where deeper moisture is
noted in the data. Some local flash flooding can not be ruled out
and we are under a slight risk for flash flooding over the plains
later tonight.

for tomorrow, there will likely be quite a bit of low clouds over
the plains tomorrow morning, and some showers may still be ongoing
over the far eastern plains early tomorrow morning. Skies will clear
by late morning and it should be a rather nice day with max temps
only in the lower to mid 80s plains and mid 80s valleys. Some
isolated late afternoon thunder may occur along the mtn/plains
interface tomorrow afternoon

It will be dry and warm in the mtns and breezy at times. An elevated
fire weather risk is expected, mainly over the La Garita mtn range.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 111 PM MDT Wed Sep 9 2026

Friday...we warm up once again and expect temps around 90F over the
plains with mid 80s valleys. Only isolated storms are expected in
the afternoon/early evening. We will see a bit more of a fire
weather risks today as it will be breezy and dry, and Elevated fire
weather conditions will once again be possible over the San Luis
Valley, the lower elevations of Fremont and Chaffee counties and
western Pueblo county.

Saturday...a fairly stout cool front move down the plains Saturday
morning. However showers and thunderstorms are still expected to by
mainly isolated over the region. It will be cooler with highs in the
80s across the valleys and plains.

Sunday...Temperatures are forecast to shoot up again, with values in
the mid to upper 90s across the plains and mid 80s valleys. showers
will be isolated across the plains.

Another cold front moves across the region late Sunday into early
Monday and and max temps at the beginning of the week fall back down
in the 80s Monday, with even cooler weather moving into for Tuesday.
We should see a better chance of showers and storms on these two
days as we will see the monsoon plume get reinvigorated over the
region and a disturbance comes across the region.

It appears an unsettled pattern will remain across the region
through the rest of the week bringing in some cooler weather and
better chances of precip. \/Hodanish

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 547 PM MDT Wed Sep 9 2026

At KCOS, VFR this evening, with e-ne winds continuing. Period of
low VFR/brief MVFR cigs possible after 09z continuing until
14z, though still-to-develop convection on the southeast plains
will determine how strong easterly winds are overnight and how
widespread lower clouds will be. Any clouds break quickly Thu
morning, with VFR conditions through the day and winds becoming
sly from late morning into the afternoon. At KPUB, southeastern
plains convection may develop far enough west to produce a few
showers, and have a prob30 from 05z-10z for -shra and low VFR
cigs. Leftover clouds break quickly Thu morning, with VFR
conditions and moderate se winds through the day.

At KALS, VFR the next 24 hrs, with winds become nly overnight,
then switching back to the w-sw after 18z Thu.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

SHORT TERM...HODANISH
LONG TERM...HODANISH
AVIATION...PETERSEN

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1117 AM MDT Wed Sep 9 2026

COZ058>089-093>099-101730-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1117 AM MDT Wed Sep 9 2026

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Through late afternoon, little, if any shower or thunderstorm
activity is anticipated. if any storms develop they will be over
the southern Sangre De Cristo mountains, and possibly over the far
southeast plains.

The main shower and thunderstorm activity will occur this evening,
and especially late tonight, across the eastern plains. Most of
this activity will occur east of interstate I-25, with the
heaviest precipitation occurring over the far eastern plains.

Rainfall over the far eastern plains may be heavy at times later
tonight, and local flash flooding will be possible. Gusty winds of
45 to 55 mph will also be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Drier air works into the region from the west, on Thursday and Friday,
with breezy conditions leading to elevated fire danger across the higher
terrain of the Continental Divide and into the interior valleys.

Isolated to scattered showers and storms return for the weekend
into early next week, especially over the higher terrain of the
Continental Divide.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will
be possible over portions of the region.

HOdanish

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