Flash Flood Warning 41, NWS Pueblo, CO

434 
WGUS75 KPUB 300509 RRA
FFSPUB

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1109 PM MDT Wed Jul 29 2026

COC065-300519-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FF.W.0041.000000T0000Z-260730T0515Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Lake CO-
1109 PM MDT Wed Jul 29 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE WILLOW BURN SCAR WILL EXPIRE AT 1115
PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR CENTRAL LAKE COUNTY...

The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a
threat. Please continue to heed remaining road closures.

&&

LAT...LON 3927 10644 3927 10637 3918 10637 3919 10647

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
601 PM MDT Wed Jul 29 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- One more day of organized heavy rain activity, flash flooding
likely over parts of the region.

- Drier THU/FRI/SAT, then hot SUN, MON

- Rain chances increase and possibly cooler stating TUE

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1227 PM MDT Wed Jul 29 2026

Flash flooding once again will be a threat today. Perusing HREF
guidance overall best chance of flash flooding today will be over EL
Paso county, as numerous high rest product show substantial QPF
moving over this region late this afternoon and especially early
this evening. Additionally, this area got quite a bit of rain
yesterday and flash flooding did occur over the eastern parts of the
county.

Another area will be the Aspen Acres (AA) burn scar region. Quite a
bit of rain has fallen over the scar yesterday and any additional
rain will quickly run off. However, confidence is not as high as
yesterday as qpf forecasted for later this afternoon was not as high
as yesterday. However, one small storm producing heavy rain could
cause significant problems over the AA region. The best chance for
heavier rain over the AA burn scar will be from 4 to 7 pm per latest
guidance.

Storms will once again roll slowly across the plains bringing
beneficial rain to the lower elevations, with the activity expected
to be over the KS/CO border area around midnight.

Of interest, guidance brings another round of showers and storms
across the central mtns late this evening into the early morning
hours.

Tomorrow, it will be much drier over the region, however we will
see a few storms over the plains later tomorrow afternoon and
evening. Flash flood threat will be much lower tomorrow, however any
rain on a burn scar could be problematic. During the evening, a weak
boundary will move across the region, and this may keep the
scattered storms ongoing into the early AM hours of Friday. A few of
the storms Thursday could be strong as there will be some shear on
this day.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1227 PM MDT Wed Jul 29 2026

Friday.... Some drier air will come down on the plains, and drier
air is noted moving into the central mtn area. Likewise, these areas
will see little if any precip. However, areas along the mtns/plains
interface will see the best instability and moisture, and we may see
a localized area of higher pops along the mtn/plains interface, with
the best chance across the southern Sangres. Additionally, the AA
burn scar will have a chance of some localized heavy convective
precip.

Saturday will be similar to Friday, but the precip chances this day
will be best over the far southern Sangre De Cristo region.

Of note, temps FRI and SAT, temps on the plains wont be too bad,
mainly 90s lower/mid 90s with U80s El Paso county.

For SUN and MON, 100s return to most of the plains with M90s El Paso
county. Any storms will be isolated and high based.

Tuesday it will cool off once again with storms in the mtns and
isolated on the plains.

WED will be drier with less storms. \/Hodanish

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 601 PM MDT Wed Jul 29 2026

PROB 30 has been included in the TAFs this evening and
tomorrow afternoon for KCOS and KPUB. Thunderstorm chances in
general have decreased for tomorrow, so they will be more
sporadic in nature, but if a storm develops over KCOS or KPUB
MVFR to LIFR conditions are possible during that period tomorrow
afternoon.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch until 9 PM MDT this evening for COZ074>078-081>085-
087>089-093>096.
Flash Flood Watch until 9 PM MDT this evening for COZ079-080-
086.

&&

SHORT TERM...HODANISH
LONG TERM...HODANISH
AVIATION...HODANISH/SKELLY

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1106 AM MDT Wed Jul 29 2026

COZ058>089-093>099-301715-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1106 AM MDT Wed Jul 29 2026

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Flash flooding is likely to occur across parts of the region
today. A flash flood watch is in effect for all of the southern
Mountains, and greater I-25 corridor region extending out to
Kiowa, Bent and Otero counties. The best chance for heavier rain
will be across all of the Pikes Peak region and then eastward to
Kiowa and Prowers counties. The heavy rain will occur across the
Pikes Peak region late this afternoon, and then extending out on
to the plains this evening.

Another area of high concern will once again be over the Aspen
Acres burn scar. Significant flash flooding occurred over the scar
yesterday, and any rain which occurs today could cause additions
flash flooding, and it could be significant. The overall best
chance of heavy rain over the burn scare will be late this
afternoon.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Showers and thunderstorms with heavy rainfall will remain possible
Thursday and Friday before drier conditions arrive over the weekend.
Flash flooding will remain possible, especially on area burn scars,
and areas that have seen recent heavy rains.  Lightning, small hail
and gusty outflow winds may accompany stronger storms.

Hot temperatures return Sunday and Monday across the Plains, with
highs in the upper 90s to lower 100s.  Shower and thunderstorm
activity looks to remain confined to the higher terrain.  More
widespread activity may return to southern Colorado by Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will
be likely over portions of the region.

Hodanish

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
706 PM MDT Wed Jul 29 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0653 PM     Flash Flood      3 NNW San Isabel        38.02N 105.07W
07/29/2026                   Custer             CO   Emergency Mngr

            Old San Isabel road and 78.

&&

kam

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
719 PM MDT Wed Jul 29 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0715 PM     Debris Flow      2 SSW Beulah            38.05N 104.99W
07/29/2026                   Pueblo             CO   Other Federal

            Mud and debris overflowing culvert over the
            road.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
723 PM MDT Wed Jul 29 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0715 PM     Flash Flood      2 SSW Beulah            38.05N 104.99W
07/29/2026                   Pueblo             CO   Emergency Mngr

            Highway 78 near Beulah with large amounts of
            debris from the Aspen Acres burn scar.

&&

kam

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
729 PM MDT Wed Jul 29 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0708 PM     Debris Flow      1 S Beulah              38.06N 104.98W
07/29/2026                   Pueblo             CO   Emergency Mngr

            Wall of water/debris flow coming down
            squirrel creek sending small structure down
            creek taking out power poles and propane
            tanks.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
732 PM MDT Wed Jul 29 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0708 PM     Flash Flood      2 SSW Beulah            38.05N 104.99W
07/29/2026                   Pueblo             CO   Emergency Mngr

            Corrects previous flash flood report from 2
            SSW Beulah. Highway 78 near Beulah with
            large amounts of debris from the Aspen Acres
            burn scar.

&&

kam

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
748 PM MDT Wed Jul 29 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0742 PM     Debris Flow      1 ESE Beulah            38.07N 104.97W
07/29/2026                   Pueblo             CO   Emergency Mngr

            Mud and debris flow through Beulah. Multiple
            homes flooded. Bridges and roads closed and
            not structurally sound due to flooding.

&&