Flash Flood Warning 20, NWS Pueblo, CO

552 
WGUS75 KPUB 251913
FFSPUB

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
113 PM MDT Sat Jul 25 2026

COC015-252045-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.W.0020.000000T0000Z-260725T2045Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Chaffee CO-
113 PM MDT Sat Jul 25 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 245 PM MDT THIS
AFTERNOON FOR CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY...

At 113 PM MDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy
rain across the warned area. Between 0.8 and 1 inch of rain has
fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 0.3 to 0.5 inches in 1 hour.
Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Alpine and St Elmo.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Flooding is occurring or is imminent. It is important to know where
you are relative to streams, rivers, or creeks which can become
killers in heavy rains. Campers and hikers should avoid streams or
creeks.

&&

LAT...LON 3872 10642 3873 10638 3875 10637 3874 10633
      3876 10628 3876 10624 3874 10614 3872 10615
      3865 10626 3863 10632 3861 10633 3859 10636
      3862 10637 3862 10638 3864 10638 3865 10643
      3868 10644 3870 10645 3871 10644 3871 10643

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
EXPECTED RAINFALL RATE...0.3-0.5 INCHES IN 1 HOUR

$$

Simcoe

408 
WGUS75 KPUB 252040
FFSPUB

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
240 PM MDT Sat Jul 25 2026

COC015-252050-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FF.W.0020.000000T0000Z-260725T2045Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Chaffee CO-
240 PM MDT Sat Jul 25 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 245 PM MDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY...

The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a
threat. Please continue to heed remaining road closures.

&&

LAT...LON 3872 10642 3873 10638 3875 10637 3874 10633
      3876 10628 3876 10624 3874 10614 3872 10615
      3865 10626 3863 10632 3861 10633 3859 10636
      3862 10637 3862 10638 3864 10638 3865 10643
      3868 10644 3870 10645 3871 10644 3871 10643

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1132 AM MDT Sat Jul 25 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Upper level high pressure overhead to keep hot temperatures in
  place through the weekend, with daily showers and storms over
  and near the higher terrain.

- Another surge in monsoonal moisture expected for next week,
  which raises flash flooding concerns over the burn scars and
  saturated soils.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 152 AM MDT Sat Jul 25 2026

Current water vapor imagery and upper air analysis has a large
upper ridge in place across the southern High Plains and into the
Rockies, with an 598DM high in place across the Central Rockies
at this time. Water vapor and GOES Blended Total Water Vapor imagery
has PWATS running between 100-125 percent of normal under the upper
high, with PWATs of 150-200 percent of normal currently across the
Great Basin. Regional radars early this morning still have a few
spotty showers ongoing over and near the higher terrain, with a
lone thunderstorm across the southern Sangre de Cristo mtns as of
midnight.

For today and tonight, models keep the center of the upper high in
across the Central Rockies, keeping weak, mainly westerly flow aloft
in place across the region. This, along with enough moisture in place
under the high, and strong summer solar heating, all support another
round of afternoon showers and thunderstorms developing over the higher
terrain through the late morning and continuing through the late
afternoon, with showers and storms spreading east across the high
mountain valleys and immediate adjacent plains, through the afternoon
and evening. The best coverage will be along and west of the ContDvd,
though slow movement of storms will continue to pose a the threat for
flash flooding, especially for the recent burn areas of Lake, Pueblo and
Custer counties. Hot temperatures will also be a concern, with temperatures
expected to quickly warm into the 90s through the late morning across
the plains, and then topping out in the lower 100s. With slowly cooling
temperatures through the overnight hours, we did add Otero, Bent and
Prowers counties to the Heat Advisory for today. While temperatures will
be hot, current records are also rather high for today, 94F for ALS in
2023, 98F for COS in 2003 and 107F for PUB in 2003.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Issued at 152 AM MDT Sat Jul 25 2026

A similar forecast remains in place for Sunday, as the center of the
upper high slides a tad south and east across the southeast plains.
This will bring another few degrees of warming to southeast Colorado,
with highs expected on the upper 90s to possibly 109F across the far
southeast plains. With that said, we have added Crowley and Baca counties
to the current Heat Advisory in place for Sunday. Could also see a few
records fall on Sunday, with current record highs being 91F for ALS in
2023, 97F for COS in 1953, and 103F for PUB in 2023. As for convection,
model data continues to indicate enough residual moisture in place, to
work with strong solar heating to support scattered showers and storms
over the higher terrain once again on Sunday. Weak westerly flow will
help to push storms east across the high mtn valleys and immediate adjacent
plains through the afternoon and evening hours. Again, will need to watch
for potential flash flooding for recent burn areas.

For next week, weak westerly flow will continue to increase monsoonal
moisture across all of south central and southeast Colorado, leading to a
slow cooling and wetting trend across the area. The southeast plains will
at least get some chances of showers and storms through the middle and end
of next week, with abundant moisture in place. The daily rounds of slow
moving showers and storms will raise flash flooding concerns over the burn
scars, as well as areas that develop saturated soils due to the increase
in daily storms.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1120 AM MDT Sat Jul 25 2026

FR conditions are anticipated during the next 24 hours at all
3 taf sites, KPUB, KALS and KCOS. Winds will be diurnally
driven. There will be a slight chance of a shower/-tsra at or in
the vicinity of KCOS late in the afternoon.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 9 PM MDT this evening for COZ083>086-093-
097-098.
Heat Advisory from 10 AM to 9 PM MDT Sunday for COZ083>086-089-
093-095>099.

&&

SHORT TERM...MW
LONG TERM...MW
AVIATION...HODANISH

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1108 AM MDT Sat Jul 25 2026

COZ058>089-093>099-261715-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1108 AM MDT Sat Jul 25 2026

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

100 degree plus readings are expected over most of the plains
today. The 100 degree readings will likely occur generally below
5000 feet elevation. If you will be outside today make sure you
stay well hydrated. Heat advisories are in effect for the highway
50 corridor from Canon City to the Kansas border, and also across
El Paso county.

Showers and thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and evening
over the higher terrain...mainly above 6000 feet elevation. The
storms will be likely across the Continental Divide region and
scattered over the remainder of the mountains. Over the San Luis
Valley storms will be isolated. The storms over the mountains will
have the potential to cause heavy rain. Any heavy rain over the
burn scars will have the potential to cause flash flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Hot temperatures will continue and expand on Sunday, with high
temperatures in the upper 90s to possibly 109F across across the
southeast plains, where another Heat Advisory is in place from
10 am to 9 pm mdt.

Daily showers and thunderstorms are expected to continue and expand
through the early to middle of next week. The best coverage of storms
will remain over and near the higher terrain, leading to increasing
concerns of flash flooding for area burn scars, as well as areas that
can develop saturated soils due to daily rounds of moderate to heavy
rainfall.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will
be possible over portions of the region.

Hodanish

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
913 AM MDT Sat Jul 25 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0912 AM     Rain             2 SSW Wetmore           38.20N 105.10W
07/25/2026  M0.70 Inch       Custer             CO   Trained Spotter

            Rain fell yesterday evening. They are in teh
            Aspen Acres burn scar. Minor mud flows noted
            on property.

&&