Alert archive / Maryland / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2026

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 222, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

July 21, 2026Caroline County, Talbot County, Maryland

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 21, 2026, 10:40 PM EDT for Caroline County, Talbot County, Maryland. It was in force for 36 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jul 21, 2026, 10:40 PM EDT (02:40 UTC)
Expired
Jul 21, 2026, 11:16 PM EDT
In force
36 min
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
0.75 in
Wind
60.0 mph

Counties Caroline County, MD, Talbot County, MD

The radar

The Dover AFB radar (KDOX), 63 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jul 21, 10:45 PM EDTTSTM WND DMGBozman, MDTrees down on MD-579 eastbound at Pine Point Road. Time estimated from radar.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 5 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jul 21, 2:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC11 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 00:00Z, 2.7 hours before the alert went out and 338 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Roanoke, VA at 00:00Z on 2026-07-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2535 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Roanoke, VA at 00:00Z on 2026-07-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 155 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2535 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-3 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
789 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
155 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
246 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
3.1
Supercell composite
17.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

219 
WUUS51 KPHI 220240
SVRPHI
MDC011-041-220330-
/O.NEW.KPHI.SV.W.0222.260722T0240Z-260722T0330Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1040 PM EDT Tue Jul 21 2026

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly NJ has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Southern Talbot County in eastern Maryland...
  Southern Caroline County in eastern Maryland...

* Until 1130 PM EDT.

* At 1040 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Breezy
  Point, moving east at 50 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Damage to roofs, siding, trees, and power lines is 
           possible.

* Locations impacted include...
  Easton, Federalsburg, Trappe, St. Michaels, Preston, Oxford,
  Tanyard, Harmony, Smithville, Agner, Choptank, Hambleton, and
  Windyhill.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3879 7632 3880 7572 3865 7571 3871 7584
      3870 7590 3857 7604 3863 7608 3864 7615
      3871 7622 3870 7623 3876 7622 3876 7625
      3871 7628 3872 7630 3878 7629 3876 7632
      3868 7633 3868 7634
TIME...MOT...LOC 0240Z 268DEG 45KT 3861 7642 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Hoeflich
2 follow-up statements
413 
WWUS51 KPHI 220259
SVSPHI

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1059 PM EDT Tue Jul 21 2026

MDC011-041-220330-
/O.CON.KPHI.SV.W.0222.000000T0000Z-260722T0330Z/
Talbot MD-Caroline MD-
1059 PM EDT Tue Jul 21 2026

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1130 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN TALBOT AND SOUTHEASTERN CAROLINE COUNTIES...

At 1059 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near University Of
Maryland Center For Environmental Studies, or near Cambridge, moving
east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Damage to roofs, siding, trees, and power lines is 
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Federalsburg, Trappe, Choptank, and Windyhill.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3863 7608 3864 7615 3867 7617 3871 7571
      3865 7572 3869 7577 3868 7578 3870 7581
      3868 7593 3866 7596 3865 7596 3857 7604
TIME...MOT...LOC 0259Z 267DEG 44KT 3857 7618 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Hoeflich
841 
WWUS51 KPHI 220316
SVSPHI

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1116 PM EDT Tue Jul 21 2026

MDC011-041-220326-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SV.W.0222.000000T0000Z-260722T0330Z/
Talbot MD-Caroline MD-
1116 PM EDT Tue Jul 21 2026

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN TALBOT AND
SOUTHEASTERN CAROLINE COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until midnight EDT for
southern Delaware...and eastern Maryland.

LAT...LON 3863 7608 3864 7615 3867 7617 3871 7571
      3865 7572 3869 7577 3868 7578 3870 7581
      3868 7593 3866 7596 3865 7596 3857 7604
TIME...MOT...LOC 0314Z 268DEG 45KT 3858 7590 

$$

Hoeflich

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 21, 10:06 PM EDT, 34 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • 1) The threat for severe weather and flash flooding has largely ended for tonight, however some additional severe storms and flash flooding will be possible Wednesday. Wednesday's severe weather and flooding threat is not expected to be as widespread though as it will be confined mainly to areas south and east of the urban corridor.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 21, 10:06 PM EDT, 34 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1006 PM EDT Tue Jul 21 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
The Severe Thunderstorm Watch was allowed to expire at 10 PM and
we've also cancelled the Flood Watch.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) The threat for severe weather and flash flooding has largely
ended for tonight, however some additional severe storms and flash
flooding will be possible Wednesday. Wednesday's severe weather and
flooding threat is not expected to be as widespread though as it
will be confined mainly to areas south and east of the urban
corridor.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...The threat for severe weather and flash flooding has largely
ended for tonight, however some additional severe storms and flash
flooding will be possible Wednesday. Wednesday's severe weather and
flooding threat is not expected to be as widespread though as it
will be confined mainly to areas south and east of the urban
corridor.

As of  10 PM, the Severe Thunderstorm Watch has been allowed to
expire and we've also cancelled the Flood Watch. That said, the area
still remains in the warm sector ahead of an approaching cold front
and though the instability has significantly decreased, there
is still some remaining. For this reason, still expecting some
showers and a few storms to continue into the overnight as the
cold front approaches from the north and west and weak impulses
aloft move through the upper level flow. Locally heavy downpours
will be possible but any flooding should be largely of the
nuisance variety.

On Wednesday, the cold front will sag farther south and east and
depending on how quickly this clears our area there will be some
showers and thunderstorms, especially as additional shortwaves move
through the flow within the upper-level trough overhead. This looks
to be more concentrated across southern New Jersey to Delmarva but
could extend into the I-95 corridor for a time. There is some severe
weather risk mainly south/east of the I-95 corridor with locally
damaging wind gusts the main threat. The greater instability and
shear looks to reside across Delmarva on southward, where a little
higher severe thunderstorm risk is indicated. Some locally excessive
rainfall is possible with some local flash flood risk, however this
looks to be less compared to today given the shift farther south and
more into the coastal plain. Once the front moves away by later
Wednesday, it turns drier for Thursday/Friday and right into the
weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Tonight...Still some showers and thunderstorms around this
evening mainly from around Philly southward. In any of these
showers conditions may still drop to MVFR or even IFR...best
chances for this at MIV and ACY. Otherwise, widespread showers
diminish by the overnight period with MVFR cigs likely affecting
most sites by around the 04-07z time frame. Winds generally
southwest 10 to 15 knots but locally strong and variable winds
possible in any storms.

Wednesday...Once morning clouds clear by around 14Z, should
have prevailing VFR conditions. However, temporary MVFR or even
IFR conditions will be possible with showers and storms. The
highest risk of showers and storms is at KACY, but it is
possible the storms will be south of all TAF sites. Southwest
winds around 10 KT with some gusts of 15-20 knots possible.
Moderate confidence.

Outlook...

Thursday through Saturday...VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
Small Craft Advisory conditions for all coastal waters through
Wednesday evening. SCA conditions do subside though overnight
on Delaware Bay. Gusty thunderstorms probable into tonight.

Outlook...

Wednesday...Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for the ocean
zones.

Thursday through Saturday...The conditions are anticipated to be
below Small Craft Advisory criteria.

Rip Currents...

For Wednesday, winds turn more southwesterly but still 10-20
mph. However, breaking wave heights are expected to increase,
with breaking waves in the surf zone as high as 5 feet possible.
Still a 7 second period though which will mitigate the rip
current threat some. However, will continue with a MODERATE risk
for the development of dangerous rip currents at all beaches.

For Thursday, winds come around to the northeast and will generally
be 15 to 20 mph. Breaking waves are expected to be around 2-4 feet
with a 7 second period. With the onshore component of the wind and
multiple swell groups expected, expecting a MODERATE risk for the
development of dangerous rip currents at all beaches.

For specific beach forecasts, visit weather.gov/beach/phi

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Wednesday for ANZ430-431.
     Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Thursday for ANZ450>455.

&&

DISCUSSION...Fitzsimmons/Gorse/MJL
AVIATION...Fitzsimmons/Gorse/Johnson
MARINE...Gorse/Hoeflich/MJL
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 21, 4:29 AM EDT, 18 hours 11 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
429 AM EDT Tue Jul 21 2026

MDZ012-015-019-020-220900-
Kent MD-Queen Annes-Talbot-Caroline-
429 AM EDT Tue Jul 21 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Severe thunderstorms with damaging winds and hail are possible this
afternoon and evening. Localized flash flooding is possible this
afternoon and tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Some severe thunderstorms with damaging winds are possible Wednesday.
Localized flash flooding is possible on Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 21, 7:23 PM EDT, 3 hours 17 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
723 PM EDT Tue Jul 21 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0719 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     1 ESE Barnegat Light    39.75N 74.10W
07/21/2026  M42 MPH          ANZ451             NJ   Mesonet

            Barnegat Inlet Light.

&&

Hoeflich
Local storm report, Jul 21, 8:07 PM EDT, 2 hours 33 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
807 PM EDT Tue Jul 21 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0719 PM     Marine Tstm Wind 1 ESE Barnegat Light    39.75N 74.10W
07/21/2026  M42 MPH          ANZ451             NJ   Mesonet

            Barnegat Inlet Light.

&&

Hoeflich
Local storm report, Jul 21, 8:28 PM EDT, 2 hours 12 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
828 PM EDT Tue Jul 21 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0355 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 W Blakeslee           41.09N 75.64W
07/21/2026                   Carbon             PA   911 Call Center

            Tree down on wires in Lake Harmony. Time
            estimated from radar.

&&

ZC
Local storm report, Jul 21, 8:31 PM EDT, 2 hours 9 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
831 PM EDT Tue Jul 21 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0419 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Price Twp               41.15N 75.22W
07/21/2026                   Monroe             PA   911 Call Center

            Trees down on wires. Time estimated from
            radar.

&&

ZC
Local storm report, Jul 21, 9:10 PM EDT, 1 hour 30 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
910 PM EDT Tue Jul 21 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0452 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Montgomery Twp          40.46N 74.66W
07/21/2026                   Somerset           NJ   911 Call Center

            Trees and wires down. Time given in report.

&&

ZC
Local storm report, Jul 21, 9:28 PM EDT, 1 hour 12 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
928 PM EDT Tue Jul 21 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0709 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Stafford Twp            39.70N 74.28W
07/21/2026                   Ocean              NJ   911 Call Center

            Tree down in Stafford Twp. Time estimated
            from radar.

&&

ZC

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 21, 10:42 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHICaroline, Queen Anne's, Talbot4 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Maryland, 2026Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.