Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Warnings in 2026

Tornado Warning 32, NWS Paducah, KY

May 22, 2026Todd County, Kentucky

NWS Paducah, KY issued this tornado warning at May 22, 2026, 6:45 PM CDT for Todd County, Kentucky. It was in force for 15 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 22, 2026, 6:45 PM CDT (23:45 UTC)
Expired
May 22, 2026, 7:00 PM CDT
In force
15 min
Issued by
NWS Paducah, KY
Area
Storm-based polygon
Tornado
Radar indicated
Hail
0.75 in

County Todd County, KY

The radar

The Ft Campbell radar (KHPX), 30 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 11.8 hours before the alert went out and 378 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2026-05-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2026-05-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 80 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1069 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
80 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
154 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

689 
WFUS53 KPAH 222345
TORPAH
KYC219-230015-
/O.NEW.KPAH.TO.W.0032.260522T2345Z-260523T0015Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Paducah KY
645 PM CDT Fri May 22 2026

The National Weather Service in Paducah has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Northeastern Todd County in south central Kentucky...

* Until 715 PM CDT.

* At 645 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
  was located 7 miles north of Elkton, moving northeast at 30 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. 
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree 
           damage is likely.

* This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
  northeastern Todd County, including the following locations...
  Clifty.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3687 8706 3685 8709 3698 8718 3705 8711
      3705 8709 3706 8706
TIME...MOT...LOC 2345Z 226DEG 25KT 3692 8711 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

JGG
1 follow-up statement
016 
WWUS53 KPAH 230000
SVSPAH

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Paducah KY
700 PM CDT Fri May 22 2026

KYC219-230010-
/O.CAN.KPAH.TO.W.0032.000000T0000Z-260523T0015Z/
Todd KY-
700 PM CDT Fri May 22 2026

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN TODD COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and has exited the warned area. Therefore, the warning has
been cancelled.

&&

LAT...LON 3687 8706 3685 8709 3698 8718 3705 8711
      3705 8709 3706 8706
TIME...MOT...LOC 2359Z 226DEG 25KT 3699 8701 

$$

JGG

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at May 22, 6:21 PM CDT, 24 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • There remains a marginal risk for severe weather across the far southeast Kentucky Pennyrile late this afternoon into the early evening. A weak spin up tornado and isolated damaging winds will be the primary hazards should a severe storm occur.
  • Daily chances of showers and thunderstorms continue. Saturday will be the driest day with only a 20-30% chance of an isolated shower or storm.
  • Total average rainfall between 1 and 2.5 inches is forecast over the next week; localized higher totals could result in minor flood issues.
Area forecast discussion, May 22, 6:21 PM CDT, 24 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
621 PM CDT Fri May 22 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- There remains a marginal risk for severe weather across the
  far southeast Kentucky Pennyrile late this afternoon into the
  early evening. A weak spin up tornado and isolated damaging
  winds will be the primary hazards should a severe storm occur.

- Daily chances of showers and thunderstorms continue. Saturday
  will be the driest day with only a 20-30% chance of an
  isolated shower or storm.

- Total average rainfall between 1 and 2.5 inches is forecast
  over the next week; localized higher totals could result in
  minor flood issues.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1201 PM CDT Fri May 22 2026

Expect showers/maybe a thunderstorm as a wave lifts across the
TN Valley thru this evening. It rides along and lifts a warm
sector boundary, which models nudge its way into our southeastern
Pennyrile counties. If so, and if BINOVC occurs in conjunction,
there may juice up just enough instability for surface based
convection, and if that happens, increasing mid level flow/shear
atop it with some broadening of the hodographs due to the
low/warm sector vicinity track increases helicity enough to
warrant the SPC MRGL risk svr for isolated spinup/damaging
winds; a non-zero chance. Primarily it's a good soaking rain
potential with the NAEFS E-SAT still indicating high 99th
percentile PW's in excess of 1.75" yielding 5-10 yr return
intervals suggestive of localized flooding potential, although
overall it's generally welcome overtop our driest grounds in the
CWA still running D3 across southern Ky.

The aforementioned represents the first in a succession of
rounds or chance rounds of pcpn over the holiday weekend. It
won't be entirely wet despite the daily chances though, as much
of Saturday looks dry for much of the area, despite small
chances that exist. Most ensuing daily chances come either with
a wave/its presence or the diurnal breathing cycle (and/or
both), beginning with next best chances over the back half of
the weekend. Chances swell again in the mid week portion of the
forecast, although if the developing Rex block pattern that
looks like is taking shape changes its synoptic feature modeling
latitudinally or longitudinally even just a little bit, this
will greatly affect our pops forecast. Otherwise it looks steady
as she goes on the new week's forecast with daily highs near 80F
or in the lower 80s and lows that'll start running nightly in
the mid-upper 60s.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 614 PM CDT Fri May 22 2026

Rain showers moving through the terminals for the first couple
hours will shift east of the sites before midnight. Low clouds
will linger through Saturday morning with generally MVFR/IFR
ceilings along with some briefly reduced visibilities. Expect
improving conditions by late Saturday morning into the
afternoon. Winds will remain fairly light at 10 kts or less.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

DISCUSSION...
AVIATION...KC
Hazardous weather outlook, May 22, 1:15 AM CDT, 17 hours 30 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
115 AM CDT Fri May 22 2026

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-230615-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-
Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-
Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-
Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-
Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-
Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
115 AM CDT Fri May 22 2026 /215 AM EDT Fri May 22 2026/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern
Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast
Missouri.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A isolated severe thunderstorm is possible mainly over the far
southeast Kentucky Pennyrile late this afternoon into the evening.
A weak spin up tornado and damaging winds is the main hazard of
concern. Minor flooding is also possible across the entire region.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Daily thunderstorms are forecast Saturday through Thursday. Heavy
rainfall is the main hazard of concern.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

DW

The office that day

Everything else NWS Paducah, KY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 22, 4:52 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPAHCalloway3 hr
May 22, 6:59 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementPAHTodd31 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Kentucky, 2026Every tornado warning in 2026Tornadoes in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.