Alert archive / Oklahoma / Wind Advisories in 2026
Wind Advisory 13, NWS Norman, OK
NWS Norman, OK issued this wind advisory at May 17, 2026, 12:29 PM CDT for 29 counties in Oklahoma. It took effect at May 17, 2026, 11:07 PM CDT. It was in force for 28 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- May 17, 2026, 12:29 PM CDT (17:29 UTC)
- In effect from
- May 17, 2026, 11:07 PM CDT
- Expired
- May 19, 2026, 3:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 28 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Norman, OK
All 29 counties
Alfalfa County, OK, Beckham County, OK, Blaine County, OK, Caddo County, OK, Canadian County, OK, Comanche County, OK, Custer County, OK, Dewey County, OK, Ellis County, OK, Garfield County, OK, Grady County, OK, Grant County, OK, Greer County, OK, Harper County, OK, Jackson County, OK, Kay County, OK, Kingfisher County, OK, Kiowa County, OK, Lincoln County, OK, Logan County, OK, Major County, OK, Noble County, OK, Oklahoma County, OK, Payne County, OK, Roger Mills County, OK, Tillman County, OK, Washita County, OK, Woods County, OK, Woodward County, OK
The radar
The Vance AFB radar (KVNX), 110 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 12:00Z, 5.5 hours before the alert went out and 115 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 906 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -390 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 801 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 23 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 239 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 235 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
450 WWUS74 KOUN 171729 NPWOUN URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Norman OK 1229 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026 OKZ004>013-180730- /O.NEW.KOUN.WI.Y.0013.260518T1400Z-260519T0300Z/ /O.CON.KOUN.WI.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-260518T0200Z/ Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield- Noble- Including the cities of Buffalo, Blackwell, Woodward, Medford, Ponca City, Carmen, Wakita, Pond Creek, Fairview, Laverne, Enid, Fargo, Cherokee, Helena, Alva, Perry, Shattuck, Arnett, Lamont, and Gage 1229 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING... ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 10 PM CDT MONDAY... * WHAT...For the first Wind Advisory, south winds 25 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. For the second Wind Advisory, south winds 25 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Garfield, Grant, Kay, Noble, Alfalfa, Ellis, Harper, Major, Woods, and Woodward Counties. * WHEN...For the first Wind Advisory, until 9 PM CDT this evening. For the second Wind Advisory, from 9 AM to 10 PM CDT Monday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$ OKZ015-016-022-035-180730- /O.NEW.KOUN.WI.Y.0013.260518T1400Z-260519T0300Z/ /O.CON.KOUN.WI.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-260518T0200Z/ Dewey-Custer-Washita-Kiowa- Including the cities of Weatherford, Burns Flat, Clinton, Vici, Sentinel, Cordell, Seiling, Taloga, Leedey, Hobart, and Snyder 1229 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING... ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 10 PM CDT MONDAY... * WHAT...For the first Wind Advisory, south winds 25 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. For the second Wind Advisory, south winds 25 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Dewey, Kiowa, Custer, and Washita Counties. * WHEN...For the first Wind Advisory, until 9 PM CDT this evening. For the second Wind Advisory, from 9 AM to 10 PM CDT Monday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$ OKZ014-017>021-023>027-034-036>038-180730- /O.NEW.KOUN.WI.Y.0013.260518T1400Z-260519T0300Z/ Roger Mills-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-Beckham-Caddo-Canadian- Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-Greer-Jackson-Tillman-Comanche- Including the cities of Hammon, Frederick, Anadarko, Hennessey, Guthrie, Hinton, Geary, Cheyenne, Chandler, Watonga, Meeker, Lawton, Chickasha, Stillwater, Wellston, Altus, Prague, Elk City, Oklahoma City, Okarche, Stroud, Okeene, Sayre, Granite, Concho, Tuttle, Mangum, El Reno, Davenport, Yukon, Mustang, and Kingfisher 1229 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 10 PM CDT MONDAY... * WHAT...South winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of central, northwest, southwest, and western Oklahoma. * WHEN...From 9 AM to 10 PM CDT Monday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$ MAD
5 follow-up statements
081 WWUS74 KOUN 171735 NPWOUN URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Norman OK 1235 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026 OKZ017-018-023-024-180745- /O.EXA.KOUN.WI.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-260518T0200Z/ /O.CON.KOUN.WI.Y.0013.260518T1400Z-260519T0300Z/ Blaine-Kingfisher-Caddo-Canadian- Including the cities of El Reno, Watonga, Yukon, Mustang, Anadarko, Kingfisher, Okarche, Hennessey, Okeene, Hinton, Geary, and Concho 1235 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING... ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 10 PM CDT MONDAY... * WHAT...For the first Wind Advisory, south winds 25 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. For the second Wind Advisory, south winds 25 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph expected. * WHERE...Canadian, Kingfisher, Blaine, and Caddo Counties. * WHEN...For the first Wind Advisory, until 9 PM CDT this evening. For the second Wind Advisory, from 9 AM to 10 PM CDT Monday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$ OKZ004>013-180745- /O.CON.KOUN.WI.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-260518T0200Z/ /O.CON.KOUN.WI.Y.0013.260518T1400Z-260519T0300Z/ Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield- Noble- Including the cities of Buffalo, Blackwell, Woodward, Medford, Ponca City, Carmen, Wakita, Pond Creek, Fairview, Laverne, Enid, Fargo, Cherokee, Helena, Alva, Perry, Shattuck, Arnett, Lamont, and Gage 1235 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING... ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 10 PM CDT MONDAY... * WHAT...For the first Wind Advisory, south winds 25 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. For the second Wind Advisory, south winds 25 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Garfield, Grant, Kay, Noble, Alfalfa, Ellis, Harper, Major, Woods, and Woodward Counties. * WHEN...For the first Wind Advisory, until 9 PM CDT this evening. For the second Wind Advisory, from 9 AM to 10 PM CDT Monday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$ OKZ015-016-022-035-180745- /O.CON.KOUN.WI.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-260518T0200Z/ /O.CON.KOUN.WI.Y.0013.260518T1400Z-260519T0300Z/ Dewey-Custer-Washita-Kiowa- Including the cities of Weatherford, Burns Flat, Clinton, Vici, Sentinel, Cordell, Seiling, Taloga, Leedey, Hobart, and Snyder 1235 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING... ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 10 PM CDT MONDAY... * WHAT...For the first Wind Advisory, south winds 25 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. For the second Wind Advisory, south winds 25 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Dewey, Kiowa, Custer, and Washita Counties. * WHEN...For the first Wind Advisory, until 9 PM CDT this evening. For the second Wind Advisory, from 9 AM to 10 PM CDT Monday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$ OKZ014-019>021-025>027-034-036>038-180745- /O.CON.KOUN.WI.Y.0013.260518T1400Z-260519T0300Z/ Roger Mills-Logan-Payne-Beckham-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-Greer- Jackson-Tillman-Comanche- Including the cities of Hammon, Frederick, Guthrie, Cheyenne, Chandler, Meeker, Lawton, Chickasha, Wellston, Stillwater, Altus, Prague, Elk City, Oklahoma City, Stroud, Sayre, Granite, Tuttle, Mangum, and Davenport 1235 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 10 PM CDT MONDAY... * WHAT...South winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of central, southwest, and western Oklahoma. * WHEN...From 9 AM to 10 PM CDT Monday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$ MAD
693 WWUS74 KOUN 180154 NPWOUN URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Norman OK 854 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026 OKZ004>013-015>018-022>024-035-181600- /O.EXP.KOUN.WI.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-260518T0200Z/ /O.CON.KOUN.WI.Y.0013.260518T1400Z-260519T0300Z/ Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield- Noble-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Kiowa- Including the cities of Arnett, Alva, Wakita, Carmen, Okeene, Anadarko, Fairview, Okarche, Snyder, Hennessey, Gage, Burns Flat, Buffalo, Weatherford, Vici, Watonga, Lamont, Perry, Sentinel, Hobart, Leedey, Seiling, Yukon, Concho, Pond Creek, Clinton, Ponca City, Laverne, Medford, Geary, Blackwell, El Reno, Fargo, Helena, Enid, Kingfisher, Woodward, Shattuck, Taloga, Cordell, Mustang, Hinton, and Cherokee 854 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 10 PM CDT MONDAY... ...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...South winds 25 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of central, northern, northwest, southwest, and western Oklahoma. * WHEN...From 9 AM to 10 PM CDT Monday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$ OKZ014-019>021-025>027-034-036>038-181600- /O.CON.KOUN.WI.Y.0013.260518T1400Z-260519T0300Z/ Roger Mills-Logan-Payne-Beckham-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-Greer- Jackson-Tillman-Comanche- Including the cities of Tuttle, Sayre, Meeker, Oklahoma City, Wellston, Davenport, Prague, Guthrie, Lawton, Altus, Frederick, Elk City, Chickasha, Stillwater, Mangum, Chandler, Cheyenne, Stroud, Hammon, and Granite 854 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 10 PM CDT MONDAY... * WHAT...South winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of central, southwest, and western Oklahoma. * WHEN...From 9 AM to 10 PM CDT Monday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$ KS
878 WWUS74 KOUN 180407 NPWOUN URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Norman OK 1107 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026 OKZ004>027-034>038-190300- /O.EXT.KOUN.WI.Y.0013.260518T0407Z-260519T0300Z/ Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield- Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne- Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-Greer-Kiowa- Jackson-Tillman-Comanche- Including the cities of Mangum, Gage, Carmen, Pond Creek, Vici, Sentinel, Buffalo, Kingfisher, Concho, Mustang, Medford, Granite, Alva, Davenport, Tuttle, Ponca City, Wakita, Helena, Arnett, Frederick, Meeker, Cheyenne, Seiling, Weatherford, Clinton, Watonga, Anadarko, Enid, Leedey, Cherokee, Stroud, Fairview, Sayre, Geary, Guthrie, Stillwater, Hinton, Snyder, Burns Flat, Hammon, Woodward, Wellston, Hennessey, Laverne, Blackwell, Lamont, Prague, Lawton, Okarche, Cordell, Oklahoma City, Yukon, Taloga, Fargo, El Reno, Shattuck, Elk City, Chandler, Chickasha, Hobart, Okeene, Altus, and Perry 1107 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026 ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT MONDAY... * WHAT...South winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * WHERE...Portions of central, northern, northwest, southwest, and western Oklahoma. * WHEN...Until 10 PM CDT Monday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$ Mahale
625 WWUS74 KOUN 181808 NPWOUN URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Norman OK 108 PM CDT Mon May 18 2026 OKZ004>027-034>038-190300- /O.CON.KOUN.WI.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-260519T0300Z/ Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield- Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne- Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-Greer-Kiowa- Jackson-Tillman-Comanche- Including the cities of Enid, Geary, Blackwell, Lamont, Chandler, Oklahoma City, Alva, Watonga, Medford, Davenport, Yukon, Stroud, Lawton, Buffalo, Altus, Chickasha, Laverne, Granite, Woodward, Wakita, Cheyenne, Vici, Kingfisher, Snyder, El Reno, Seiling, Carmen, Okarche, Cordell, Leedey, Clinton, Stillwater, Cherokee, Prague, Wellston, Helena, Okeene, Elk City, Hinton, Hennessey, Taloga, Perry, Burns Flat, Frederick, Fairview, Shattuck, Hammon, Ponca City, Tuttle, Fargo, Weatherford, Hobart, Anadarko, Concho, Arnett, Sentinel, Guthrie, Mangum, Sayre, Gage, Mustang, Pond Creek, and Meeker 108 PM CDT Mon May 18 2026 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...South winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * WHERE...Portions of central, northern, northwest, southwest, and western Oklahoma. * WHEN...Until 10 PM CDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$ JP
966 WWUS74 KOUN 190234 NPWOUN URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Norman OK 934 PM CDT Mon May 18 2026 OKZ004>027-034>038-190800- /O.EXT.KOUN.WI.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-260519T0800Z/ Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield- Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne- Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-Greer-Kiowa- Jackson-Tillman-Comanche- Including the cities of Geary, Laverne, Weatherford, Okeene, Snyder, Clinton, Pond Creek, Fairview, Stroud, Medford, Woodward, Carmen, Mangum, Hennessey, Blackwell, Gage, Tuttle, Okarche, Perry, Concho, Elk City, Chickasha, Hammon, Cordell, Lamont, Wakita, Lawton, Shattuck, Kingfisher, Burns Flat, Alva, Hobart, Granite, Seiling, Chandler, Yukon, Stillwater, Oklahoma City, Sentinel, El Reno, Cheyenne, Altus, Frederick, Meeker, Anadarko, Prague, Wellston, Vici, Sayre, Davenport, Buffalo, Taloga, Arnett, Mustang, Ponca City, Leedey, Helena, Hinton, Enid, Cherokee, Fargo, Watonga, and Guthrie 934 PM CDT Mon May 18 2026 ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CDT TUESDAY... * WHAT...South winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. North winds behind a cold front will be 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * WHERE...Portions of central, northern, northwest, southwest, and western Oklahoma. * WHEN...Until 3 AM CDT Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution. && $$ Bunker
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Norman, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at May 17, 12:23 PM CDT, 6 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Updated at 1220 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026
- There are risks for severe thunderstorm across parts of our area through Tuesday.
- Elevated to critical fire weather conditions are possible for parts of western Oklahoma into western north Texas on Sunday and Monday afternoons.
- Very warm temperatures are expected through Monday with a cooler weather by Tuesday.
Area forecast discussion, May 17, 12:23 PM CDT, 6 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1223 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1220 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026
- There are risks for severe thunderstorm across parts of our
area through Tuesday.
- Elevated to critical fire weather conditions are possible for
parts of western Oklahoma into western north Texas on Sunday and
Monday afternoons.
- Very warm temperatures are expected through Monday with a
cooler weather by Tuesday.
&&
.NEAR TERM...
(Through Sunday)
Issued at 315 AM CDT Sun May 17 2026
Warm, above-normal temperatures will continue today with the
Southern Plains on the eastern periphery of a low-level thermal
ridge. A tight surface pressure gradient will result in breezy
southerly winds with wind gusts between 30 to 45 mph across most
locations. The exception will be southeast/east central Oklahoma,
where wind gusts will be a littler lower at 20 to 30 mph.
By this afternoon, the dryline is forecast to sharpen near the
Oklahoma/Texas state line (100th meridian). As a 50-knot mid-level
jet streak lifts into southwest Kansas, a surface low will
accelerate to the northeast with a dryline bulge developing across
southwest Kansas. Northwest Oklahoma will be on the southern
periphery of the dryline bulge.
Given these mesoscale features, the chance for convection
initiation (CI) along the dryline is a little higher today as the
stronger mid-level flow and attendant synoptic-scale ascent
approaches from the west. The most likely area for CI is across
northwest into west central Oklahoma (20 to 30% for a given
location), which will be closer to the strongest synopic-scale
ascent. However, with a warm elevated mixed layer aloft (e.g., 12
deg C at 700 mb), thunderstorms are not guaranteed to develop
along the dryline in Oklahoma. If thunderstorms develop,
supercells are possible with a threat for damaging wind gusts and
large hail with a low tornado risk. Any storms would generally
move to the east across northern Oklahoma.
Hot temperatures, gusty southerly winds, and low humidity will
result in elevated to critical fire weather conditions in close
proximity to the dryline in northwest Oklahoma. A Red Flag Warning
remains in effect for this area. Within the Red Flag Warning,
there will likely be a big difference in conditions from northwest
Harper County to southeast Woodward County this afternoon. With
northwest Oklahoma on the southern periphery of the dryline bulge,
this increases the chance for western/northwestern Harper County
to be behind the dryline. Humidity values behind the dryline will
be near 10%, which would result in critical fire weather
conditions. To the east/southeast of this, elevated to near
critical fire weather conditions are expected.
Across southeast Oklahoma, a weak wave may result in a few
showers and thunderstorms within a zone of isentropic ascent/warm
air advection.
Mahale
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Sunday night through Tuesday night)
Issued at 315 AM CDT Sun May 17 2026
A trough with an 80-knot mid-level jet streak will lift into the
Central Plains on Monday afternoon with a highly unstable air
mass forecast to the east of the dryline. With stronger forcing to
the north, storm coverage remains uncertain even with the unstable
air mass in place. Initially, the highest chance of storms and
severe weather will be across northwestern into north central
Oklahoma, which will be in closer proximity to the wave. The
coverage of thunderstorms along the dryline in Oklahoma and
western north Texas remains uncertain with southern extent (i.e.,
the chance of development decreases farther south along the
dryline). Instability and vertical wind shear will be favorable
for supercells with the threat for hail, damaging wind gusts, and
tornadoes.
By evening, the low-level jet will amplify with 50 to 60 knot
winds. The strengthening low-level jet will markedly increase low-
level wind shear, resulting in enlarged, clockwise-curved
hodographs that will be favorable for tornadoes--including strong
tornadoes. As a result, any ongoing supercells into the evening
will have an increasing tornado potential. The location with the
highest risk for this occurring would be near the Oklahoma/Kansas
border across north central Oklahoma given that area has the
(relatively) highest chance for thunderstorms. However, if any
supercells are ongoing farther to the south, they will also be in
a favorable environment for tornadoes.
West of the dryline, fire weather conditions will be a concern
Monday afternoon. Currently, it appears the dryline will be near
or just east of the 100th meridian. Elevated to critical fire
weather conditions are possible to the west of the dryline with
gusty south-southwest winds and very low humidity.
Overnight, a cold front will move to the southeast across Kansas
into northern Oklahoma. A line of thunderstorms may develop as the
front advances from northwest to southeast early Tuesday morning.
As a result, there will be a continued threat of severe weather
through the overnight hours with the severe risk moving to the
southeast with the front. Strong to severe thunderstorms may
redevelop Tuesday afternoon along the cold front as it advances to
the southeast. However, if the front is progressive enough
Tuesday morning, the risk of severe weather may be to our
southeast by the afternoon. Cooler weather and northerly winds are
expected in the front's wake Tuesday afternoon.
Mahale
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 315 AM CDT Sun May 17 2026
An unsettled weather pattern is forecast to persist across the
Southern Plains with the highest chance for showers and
thunderstorms on Wednesday and Thursday as another wave
approaches. The risk for severe weather is much lower during this
period with a cooler, post-frontal air mass in the area.
At least low chances for rain will continue through Saturday with
a weakness/troughiness remaining in place across the area. This
will keep temperatures near to even slightly below normal.
Mahale
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 952 PM CDT Sat May 16 2026
VFR/MVFR ceilings with the MVFR ceilings moving in early Sunday.
LLWS is expected at a few sites overnight into early Sunday. S to
SE winds will remain breezy overnight but increase some again
Sunday.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1220 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026
MVFR ceilings continue to improve with mainly VFR conditions
expected this afternoon into this evening. A low chance for storms
exists this evening, but chances were too low at most sites to
mention except at KWWR and KDUA. MVFR ceilings are expected to
return early Monday morning as low stratus redevelops. Low level
wind shear is also expected once again after midnight at many
sites.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK 71 87 63 75 / 10 30 50 50
Hobart OK 70 94 62 79 / 20 30 30 20
Wichita Falls TX 71 92 68 83 / 10 30 10 50
Gage OK 67 96 49 75 / 20 10 10 0
Ponca City OK 72 90 60 74 / 20 30 80 20
Durant OK 75 89 73 84 / 20 30 10 70
&&
.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Wind Advisory until 9 PM CDT this evening for OKZ004>013-015-016-
022-035.
Red Flag Warning until 9 PM CDT this evening for OKZ004-005-009-
010-014.
TX...None.
&&
NEAR TERM...10
SHORT TERM...10
LONG TERM....10
AVIATION...08The office that day
Everything else NWS Norman, OK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 12:45 PM CDT | Fire Weather Watch | OUN | Beckham, Ellis, Greer, Harmon, Harper, Jackson and 1 more | 13 hr |
Nearby
Wind Advisories in Oklahoma, 2026Every wind advisory in 2026
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.