Alert archive / Oklahoma / Wind Advisories in 2026

Wind Advisory 13, NWS Norman, OK

May 17, 202629 counties in Oklahoma

NWS Norman, OK issued this wind advisory at May 17, 2026, 12:29 PM CDT for 29 counties in Oklahoma. It took effect at May 17, 2026, 11:07 PM CDT. It was in force for 28 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 17, 2026, 12:29 PM CDT (17:29 UTC)
In effect from
May 17, 2026, 11:07 PM CDT
Expired
May 19, 2026, 3:00 AM CDT
In force
28 hr
Issued by
NWS Norman, OK
All 29 counties

Alfalfa County, OK, Beckham County, OK, Blaine County, OK, Caddo County, OK, Canadian County, OK, Comanche County, OK, Custer County, OK, Dewey County, OK, Ellis County, OK, Garfield County, OK, Grady County, OK, Grant County, OK, Greer County, OK, Harper County, OK, Jackson County, OK, Kay County, OK, Kingfisher County, OK, Kiowa County, OK, Lincoln County, OK, Logan County, OK, Major County, OK, Noble County, OK, Oklahoma County, OK, Payne County, OK, Roger Mills County, OK, Tillman County, OK, Washita County, OK, Woods County, OK, Woodward County, OK

The radar

The Vance AFB radar (KVNX), 110 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 12:00Z, 5.5 hours before the alert went out and 115 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Norman, OK at 12:00Z on 2026-05-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 906 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Norman, OK at 12:00Z on 2026-05-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 239 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
906 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-390 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
801 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
239 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
235 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

450 
WWUS74 KOUN 171729
NPWOUN

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Norman OK
1229 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026

OKZ004>013-180730-
/O.NEW.KOUN.WI.Y.0013.260518T1400Z-260519T0300Z/
/O.CON.KOUN.WI.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-260518T0200Z/
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-
Including the cities of Buffalo, Blackwell, Woodward, Medford,
Ponca City, Carmen, Wakita, Pond Creek, Fairview, Laverne, Enid,
Fargo, Cherokee, Helena, Alva, Perry, Shattuck, Arnett, Lamont,
and Gage
1229 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 10 PM CDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...For the first Wind Advisory, south winds 25 to 30 mph with 
  gusts up to 50 mph. For the second Wind Advisory, south winds 25 
  to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected.

* WHERE...Garfield, Grant, Kay, Noble, Alfalfa, Ellis, Harper, 
  Major, Woods, and Woodward Counties.

* WHEN...For the first Wind Advisory, until 9 PM CDT this evening. 
  For the second Wind Advisory, from 9 AM to 10 PM CDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

OKZ015-016-022-035-180730-
/O.NEW.KOUN.WI.Y.0013.260518T1400Z-260519T0300Z/
/O.CON.KOUN.WI.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-260518T0200Z/
Dewey-Custer-Washita-Kiowa-
Including the cities of Weatherford, Burns Flat, Clinton, Vici,
Sentinel, Cordell, Seiling, Taloga, Leedey, Hobart, and Snyder
1229 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 10 PM CDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...For the first Wind Advisory, south winds 25 to 30 mph with 
  gusts up to 50 mph. For the second Wind Advisory, south winds 25 
  to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected.

* WHERE...Dewey, Kiowa, Custer, and Washita Counties.

* WHEN...For the first Wind Advisory, until 9 PM CDT this evening. 
  For the second Wind Advisory, from 9 AM to 10 PM CDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

OKZ014-017>021-023>027-034-036>038-180730-
/O.NEW.KOUN.WI.Y.0013.260518T1400Z-260519T0300Z/
Roger Mills-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-Beckham-Caddo-Canadian-
Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-Greer-Jackson-Tillman-Comanche-
Including the cities of Hammon, Frederick, Anadarko, Hennessey,
Guthrie, Hinton, Geary, Cheyenne, Chandler, Watonga, Meeker,
Lawton, Chickasha, Stillwater, Wellston, Altus, Prague, Elk City,
Oklahoma City, Okarche, Stroud, Okeene, Sayre, Granite, Concho,
Tuttle, Mangum, El Reno, Davenport, Yukon, Mustang, and
Kingfisher
1229 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 10 PM CDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph expected.

* WHERE...Portions of central, northwest, southwest, and western 
  Oklahoma.

* WHEN...From 9 AM to 10 PM CDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

MAD
5 follow-up statements
081 
WWUS74 KOUN 171735
NPWOUN

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Norman OK
1235 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026

OKZ017-018-023-024-180745-
/O.EXA.KOUN.WI.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-260518T0200Z/
/O.CON.KOUN.WI.Y.0013.260518T1400Z-260519T0300Z/
Blaine-Kingfisher-Caddo-Canadian-
Including the cities of El Reno, Watonga, Yukon, Mustang,
Anadarko, Kingfisher, Okarche, Hennessey, Okeene, Hinton, Geary,
and Concho
1235 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 10 PM CDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...For the first Wind Advisory, south winds 25 to 30 mph with 
  gusts up to 45 mph. For the second Wind Advisory, south winds 25 
  to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph expected.

* WHERE...Canadian, Kingfisher, Blaine, and Caddo Counties.

* WHEN...For the first Wind Advisory, until 9 PM CDT this evening. 
  For the second Wind Advisory, from 9 AM to 10 PM CDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

OKZ004>013-180745-
/O.CON.KOUN.WI.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-260518T0200Z/
/O.CON.KOUN.WI.Y.0013.260518T1400Z-260519T0300Z/
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-
Including the cities of Buffalo, Blackwell, Woodward, Medford,
Ponca City, Carmen, Wakita, Pond Creek, Fairview, Laverne, Enid,
Fargo, Cherokee, Helena, Alva, Perry, Shattuck, Arnett, Lamont,
and Gage
1235 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 10 PM CDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...For the first Wind Advisory, south winds 25 to 30 mph with 
  gusts up to 45 mph. For the second Wind Advisory, south winds 25 
  to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected.

* WHERE...Garfield, Grant, Kay, Noble, Alfalfa, Ellis, Harper, 
  Major, Woods, and Woodward Counties.

* WHEN...For the first Wind Advisory, until 9 PM CDT this evening. 
  For the second Wind Advisory, from 9 AM to 10 PM CDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

OKZ015-016-022-035-180745-
/O.CON.KOUN.WI.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-260518T0200Z/
/O.CON.KOUN.WI.Y.0013.260518T1400Z-260519T0300Z/
Dewey-Custer-Washita-Kiowa-
Including the cities of Weatherford, Burns Flat, Clinton, Vici,
Sentinel, Cordell, Seiling, Taloga, Leedey, Hobart, and Snyder
1235 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 10 PM CDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...For the first Wind Advisory, south winds 25 to 30 mph with 
  gusts up to 45 mph. For the second Wind Advisory, south winds 25 
  to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected.

* WHERE...Dewey, Kiowa, Custer, and Washita Counties.

* WHEN...For the first Wind Advisory, until 9 PM CDT this evening. 
  For the second Wind Advisory, from 9 AM to 10 PM CDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

OKZ014-019>021-025>027-034-036>038-180745-
/O.CON.KOUN.WI.Y.0013.260518T1400Z-260519T0300Z/
Roger Mills-Logan-Payne-Beckham-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-Greer-
Jackson-Tillman-Comanche-
Including the cities of Hammon, Frederick, Guthrie, Cheyenne,
Chandler, Meeker, Lawton, Chickasha, Wellston, Stillwater, Altus,
Prague, Elk City, Oklahoma City, Stroud, Sayre, Granite, Tuttle,
Mangum, and Davenport
1235 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 10 PM CDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph expected.

* WHERE...Portions of central, southwest, and western Oklahoma.

* WHEN...From 9 AM to 10 PM CDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

MAD
693 
WWUS74 KOUN 180154
NPWOUN

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Norman OK
854 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026

OKZ004>013-015>018-022>024-035-181600-
/O.EXP.KOUN.WI.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-260518T0200Z/
/O.CON.KOUN.WI.Y.0013.260518T1400Z-260519T0300Z/
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Kiowa-
Including the cities of Arnett, Alva, Wakita, Carmen, Okeene,
Anadarko, Fairview, Okarche, Snyder, Hennessey, Gage, Burns Flat,
Buffalo, Weatherford, Vici, Watonga, Lamont, Perry, Sentinel,
Hobart, Leedey, Seiling, Yukon, Concho, Pond Creek, Clinton,
Ponca City, Laverne, Medford, Geary, Blackwell, El Reno, Fargo,
Helena, Enid, Kingfisher, Woodward, Shattuck, Taloga, Cordell,
Mustang, Hinton, and Cherokee
854 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 10 PM CDT MONDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...South winds 25 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected.

* WHERE...Portions of central, northern, northwest, southwest, and 
  western Oklahoma.

* WHEN...From 9 AM to 10 PM CDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

OKZ014-019>021-025>027-034-036>038-181600-
/O.CON.KOUN.WI.Y.0013.260518T1400Z-260519T0300Z/
Roger Mills-Logan-Payne-Beckham-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-Greer-
Jackson-Tillman-Comanche-
Including the cities of Tuttle, Sayre, Meeker, Oklahoma City,
Wellston, Davenport, Prague, Guthrie, Lawton, Altus, Frederick,
Elk City, Chickasha, Stillwater, Mangum, Chandler, Cheyenne,
Stroud, Hammon, and Granite
854 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 10 PM CDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph expected.

* WHERE...Portions of central, southwest, and western Oklahoma.

* WHEN...From 9 AM to 10 PM CDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

KS
878 
WWUS74 KOUN 180407
NPWOUN

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Norman OK
1107 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026

OKZ004>027-034>038-190300-
/O.EXT.KOUN.WI.Y.0013.260518T0407Z-260519T0300Z/
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-Greer-Kiowa-
Jackson-Tillman-Comanche-
Including the cities of Mangum, Gage, Carmen, Pond Creek, Vici,
Sentinel, Buffalo, Kingfisher, Concho, Mustang, Medford, Granite,
Alva, Davenport, Tuttle, Ponca City, Wakita, Helena, Arnett,
Frederick, Meeker, Cheyenne, Seiling, Weatherford, Clinton,
Watonga, Anadarko, Enid, Leedey, Cherokee, Stroud, Fairview,
Sayre, Geary, Guthrie, Stillwater, Hinton, Snyder, Burns Flat,
Hammon, Woodward, Wellston, Hennessey, Laverne, Blackwell,
Lamont, Prague, Lawton, Okarche, Cordell, Oklahoma City, Yukon,
Taloga, Fargo, El Reno, Shattuck, Elk City, Chandler, Chickasha,
Hobart, Okeene, Altus, and Perry
1107 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of central, northern, northwest, southwest, and 
  western Oklahoma.

* WHEN...Until 10 PM CDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

Mahale
625 
WWUS74 KOUN 181808
NPWOUN

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Norman OK
108 PM CDT Mon May 18 2026

OKZ004>027-034>038-190300-
/O.CON.KOUN.WI.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-260519T0300Z/
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-Greer-Kiowa-
Jackson-Tillman-Comanche-
Including the cities of Enid, Geary, Blackwell, Lamont, Chandler,
Oklahoma City, Alva, Watonga, Medford, Davenport, Yukon, Stroud,
Lawton, Buffalo, Altus, Chickasha, Laverne, Granite, Woodward,
Wakita, Cheyenne, Vici, Kingfisher, Snyder, El Reno, Seiling,
Carmen, Okarche, Cordell, Leedey, Clinton, Stillwater, Cherokee,
Prague, Wellston, Helena, Okeene, Elk City, Hinton, Hennessey,
Taloga, Perry, Burns Flat, Frederick, Fairview, Shattuck, Hammon,
Ponca City, Tuttle, Fargo, Weatherford, Hobart, Anadarko, Concho,
Arnett, Sentinel, Guthrie, Mangum, Sayre, Gage, Mustang, Pond
Creek, and Meeker
108 PM CDT Mon May 18 2026

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...South winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of central, northern, northwest, southwest, and 
  western Oklahoma.

* WHEN...Until 10 PM CDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

JP
966 
WWUS74 KOUN 190234
NPWOUN

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Norman OK
934 PM CDT Mon May 18 2026

OKZ004>027-034>038-190800-
/O.EXT.KOUN.WI.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-260519T0800Z/
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-Greer-Kiowa-
Jackson-Tillman-Comanche-
Including the cities of Geary, Laverne, Weatherford, Okeene,
Snyder, Clinton, Pond Creek, Fairview, Stroud, Medford, Woodward,
Carmen, Mangum, Hennessey, Blackwell, Gage, Tuttle, Okarche,
Perry, Concho, Elk City, Chickasha, Hammon, Cordell, Lamont,
Wakita, Lawton, Shattuck, Kingfisher, Burns Flat, Alva, Hobart,
Granite, Seiling, Chandler, Yukon, Stillwater, Oklahoma City,
Sentinel, El Reno, Cheyenne, Altus, Frederick, Meeker, Anadarko,
Prague, Wellston, Vici, Sayre, Davenport, Buffalo, Taloga,
Arnett, Mustang, Ponca City, Leedey, Helena, Hinton, Enid,
Cherokee, Fargo, Watonga, and Guthrie
934 PM CDT Mon May 18 2026

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CDT TUESDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. North 
  winds behind a cold front will be 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 
  mph.

* WHERE...Portions of central, northern, northwest, southwest, and 
  western Oklahoma.

* WHEN...Until 3 AM CDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

Bunker

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Norman, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at May 17, 12:23 PM CDT, 6 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • Updated at 1220 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026
  • There are risks for severe thunderstorm across parts of our area through Tuesday.
  • Elevated to critical fire weather conditions are possible for parts of western Oklahoma into western north Texas on Sunday and Monday afternoons.
  • Very warm temperatures are expected through Monday with a cooler weather by Tuesday.
Area forecast discussion, May 17, 12:23 PM CDT, 6 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1223 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1220 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026

- There are risks for severe thunderstorm across parts of our
  area through Tuesday.

- Elevated to critical fire weather conditions are possible for
  parts of western Oklahoma into western north Texas on Sunday and
  Monday afternoons.

- Very warm temperatures are expected through Monday with a
  cooler weather by Tuesday.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Through Sunday)
Issued at 315 AM CDT Sun May 17 2026

Warm, above-normal temperatures will continue today with the
Southern Plains on the eastern periphery of a low-level thermal
ridge. A tight surface pressure gradient will result in breezy
southerly winds with wind gusts between 30 to 45 mph across most
locations. The exception will be southeast/east central Oklahoma,
where wind gusts will be a littler lower at 20 to 30 mph.

By this afternoon, the dryline is forecast to sharpen near the
Oklahoma/Texas state line (100th meridian). As a 50-knot mid-level
jet streak lifts into southwest Kansas, a surface low will
accelerate to the northeast with a dryline bulge developing across
southwest Kansas. Northwest Oklahoma will be on the southern
periphery of the dryline bulge.

Given these mesoscale features, the chance for convection
initiation (CI) along the dryline is a little higher today as the
stronger mid-level flow and attendant synoptic-scale ascent
approaches from the west. The most likely area for CI is across
northwest into west central Oklahoma (20 to 30% for a given
location), which will be closer to the strongest synopic-scale
ascent. However, with a warm elevated mixed layer aloft (e.g., 12
deg C at 700 mb), thunderstorms are not guaranteed to develop
along the dryline in Oklahoma. If thunderstorms develop,
supercells are possible with a threat for damaging wind gusts and
large hail with a low tornado risk. Any storms would generally
move to the east across northern Oklahoma.

Hot temperatures, gusty southerly winds, and low humidity will
result in elevated to critical fire weather conditions in close
proximity to the dryline in northwest Oklahoma. A Red Flag Warning
remains in effect for this area. Within the Red Flag Warning,
there will likely be a big difference in conditions from northwest
Harper County to southeast Woodward County this afternoon. With
northwest Oklahoma on the southern periphery of the dryline bulge,
this increases the chance for western/northwestern Harper County
to be behind the dryline. Humidity values behind the dryline will
be near 10%, which would result in critical fire weather
conditions. To the east/southeast of this, elevated to near
critical fire weather conditions are expected.

Across southeast Oklahoma, a weak wave may result in a few
showers and thunderstorms within a zone of isentropic ascent/warm
air advection.

Mahale

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Sunday night through Tuesday night)
Issued at 315 AM CDT Sun May 17 2026

A trough with an 80-knot mid-level jet streak will lift into the
Central Plains on Monday afternoon with a highly unstable air
mass forecast to the east of the dryline. With stronger forcing to
the north, storm coverage remains uncertain even with the unstable
air mass in place. Initially, the highest chance of storms and
severe weather will be across northwestern into north central
Oklahoma, which will be in closer proximity to the wave. The
coverage of thunderstorms along the dryline in Oklahoma and
western north Texas remains uncertain with southern extent (i.e.,
the chance of development decreases farther south along the
dryline). Instability and vertical wind shear will be favorable
for supercells with the threat for hail, damaging wind gusts, and
tornadoes.

By evening, the low-level jet will amplify with 50 to 60 knot
winds. The strengthening low-level jet will markedly increase low-
level wind shear, resulting in enlarged, clockwise-curved
hodographs that will be favorable for tornadoes--including strong
tornadoes. As a result, any ongoing supercells into the evening
will have an increasing tornado potential. The location with the
highest risk for this occurring would be near the Oklahoma/Kansas
border across north central Oklahoma given that area has the
(relatively) highest chance for thunderstorms. However, if any
supercells are ongoing farther to the south, they will also be in
a favorable environment for tornadoes.

West of the dryline, fire weather conditions will be a concern
Monday afternoon. Currently, it appears the dryline will be near
or just east of the 100th meridian. Elevated to critical fire
weather conditions are possible to the west of the dryline with
gusty south-southwest winds and very low humidity.

Overnight, a cold front will move to the southeast across Kansas
into northern Oklahoma. A line of thunderstorms may develop as the
front advances from northwest to southeast early Tuesday morning.
As a result, there will be a continued threat of severe weather
through the overnight hours with the severe risk moving to the
southeast with the front. Strong to severe thunderstorms may
redevelop Tuesday afternoon along the cold front as it advances to
the southeast. However, if the front is progressive enough
Tuesday morning, the risk of severe weather may be to our
southeast by the afternoon. Cooler weather and northerly winds are
expected in the front's wake Tuesday afternoon.

Mahale

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 315 AM CDT Sun May 17 2026

An unsettled weather pattern is forecast to persist across the
Southern Plains with the highest chance for showers and
thunderstorms on Wednesday and Thursday as another wave
approaches. The risk for severe weather is much lower during this
period with a cooler, post-frontal air mass in the area.

At least low chances for rain will continue through Saturday with
a weakness/troughiness remaining in place across the area. This
will keep temperatures near to even slightly below normal.

Mahale

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 952 PM CDT Sat May 16 2026

VFR/MVFR ceilings with the MVFR ceilings moving in early Sunday.
LLWS is expected at a few sites overnight into early Sunday. S to
SE winds will remain breezy overnight but increase some again
Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1220 PM CDT Sun May 17 2026

MVFR ceilings continue to improve with mainly VFR conditions
expected this afternoon into this evening. A low chance for storms
exists this evening, but chances were too low at most sites to
mention except at KWWR and KDUA. MVFR ceilings are expected to
return early Monday morning as low stratus redevelops. Low level
wind shear is also expected once again after midnight at many
sites.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  71  87  63  75 /  10  30  50  50
Hobart OK         70  94  62  79 /  20  30  30  20
Wichita Falls TX  71  92  68  83 /  10  30  10  50
Gage OK           67  96  49  75 /  20  10  10   0
Ponca City OK     72  90  60  74 /  20  30  80  20
Durant OK         75  89  73  84 /  20  30  10  70

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Wind Advisory until 9 PM CDT this evening for OKZ004>013-015-016-
     022-035.

     Red Flag Warning until 9 PM CDT this evening for OKZ004-005-009-
     010-014.

TX...None.
&&

NEAR TERM...10
SHORT TERM...10
LONG TERM....10
AVIATION...08

The office that day

Everything else NWS Norman, OK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 17, 12:45 PM CDTFire Weather WatchOUNBeckham, Ellis, Greer, Harmon, Harper, Jackson and 1 more13 hr

Nearby

Wind Advisories in Oklahoma, 2026Every wind advisory in 2026

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.