Flash Flood Warning 73, NWS Norman, OK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
618 PM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 431 PM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026

- Scattered strong to severe storms are possible late this
  afternoon and evening, with hail up to the size of quarters,
  gusts to 70 mph, and locally heavy rainfall possible.

- Flood Watch in effect for a small area of north central
  Oklahoma

- Summer finally shows up.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Rest of today and tonight)
Issued at 1257 PM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026

Friday afternoon and evening may be the most interesting part of
this forecast update, as just enough parameters are in place for
at least scattered thunderstorms. Since it is still June, any
thunderstorm will have an appropriate amount of instability and
shear to produce a few severe storms.

Yesterday: much more of a classic setup, as evidenced by the
tornadoes in the panhandles. Today isn't quite as volatile, yet
there are steep lapse rates, 0-6km shear approaching 35 to 40
knots, and some juicy dewpoints in the 70s. This isn't enough for
a repeat of yesterday, but should be enough to allow scattered
storms to become severe if they can develop. ACARS and model
soundings are pretty close, each showing between 2000-2500 J/kg of
CAPE in central and northwestern Oklahoma.

So, can storms indeed develop. For a lifting mechanism, there is a
stalled front from Amarillo,TX to Wellington,KS to Springfield,
MO. 18Z satellite data shows cu in the development stage...and
daytime heating should enhance this through sunset. With few
exceptions, the convective allowing models are showing a signal
for increased cloud base RH...and are developing convection as
early as 22Z, but especially by 0Z. Thus, at least scattered
thunderstorms are likely in the north.

The cold front and associated boundaries are most notable on
satellite just north of the border in southern Kansas. As storms
fire here, they will be close enough to produce rain and/or runoff
in Grant, Kay, and Noble Counties. This is the same area which has
seen over 5+ inches of rain in spots this week. Rainfall amounts
as little as 1/2 inch could aggravate any flooding issues there.
Therefore, a Flood Watch was issued for those three counties
through 12Z Saturday.

Fox

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Saturday through Sunday night)
Issued at 1257 PM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026

After 12Z Saturday, rain and thunderstorm chances decrease. As the
rain chances move east, the temperatures will begin to rise. Low
90s today will quickly give way to mid and upper 90s on Saturday,
with close to triple digits possible near Wichita Falls.
Thankfully, nowhere near record setting territory. See below for
more on that. However, despite not being records, it'll feel hot
enough, as the heat index values will rise to as high as 103.

Record highs this weekend in Wichita Falls are two of the highest
temperatures on record at KSPS. Saturday's high temperature record
is 116, set in 1980. Sunday's high temperature record in Wichita
Falls is the highest on record, 117 degrees, also set in 1980.

Fox

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through next Thursday)
Issued at 1257 PM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026

Midnight shift did a great job with the overview, so have kept the
text below. Of the next six days, we are currently forecasting one
record warm minimum (record high morning low temp), two that tie
existing records, and within 2 degrees of the remaining three. In
other words, once the relative cool weather is gone, summer is
heading in with a vengeance. Upper ridge will build, with
monsoonal flow setting up over Arizona and New Mexico.

Fox

Previous long term discussion:
1253 AM CDT Thu Jun 25 2026

Above-average temperatures will be the main story next week with
highs in the upper 90's to low 100's. Heat index values are forecast
to remain just below advisory criteria, with warmer values expected
over north-central Oklahoma into mid-week. Low shower and storm chances
could linger across western Oklahoma and adjacent north Texas.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 431 PM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026

Another round of showers and storms expected to impact northern
into portions of central Oklahoma this evening and into the
overnight. Some brief periods of MVFR ceilings appear possible
with this activity. By morning precip ends and skies gradually
clear. Winds will diminsh across much of the area, but may stay up
across portions of western Oklahoma southward into western north
Texas. South to southwest winds will increase area-wide Saturday
morning with some gusts over 30kts possible.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  76  96  79  96 /  20  10   0   0
Hobart OK         76 100  78 100 /  20   0  10   0
Wichita Falls TX  77  99  77  98 /  10   0   0   0
Gage OK           72 102  80 102 /  20   0   0   0
Ponca City OK     73  92  79  94 /  60  20   0   0
Durant OK         78  94  77  95 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Flood Watch through Saturday morning for OKZ007-008-013-020.

TX...None.
&&

NEAR TERM...21
SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....21
AVIATION...30

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Norman OK
718 PM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0655 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     3 NNE Fairmont          36.40N 97.68W
06/26/2026                   Garfield           OK   Emergency Mngr

            Tree damage and and small outbuilding blown
            over.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
730 PM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026

OKZ005-006-011-017-270100-
Major OK-Alfalfa OK-Woods OK-Blaine OK-
730 PM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of southeastern Woods,
southern Alfalfa, northwestern Blaine and Major Counties through 800
PM CDT...

At 730 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 5 miles southwest of Orienta to near Canton
Lake. Movement was northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Fairview, Okeene, Ringwood, Cleo Springs, Longdale, Ames, Meno,
Canton Lake, Orienta, Isabella, and Homestead.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3647 9811 3627 9811 3606 9836 3608 9864
      3616 9864 3616 9867 3617 9871 3640 9869
      3648 9853
TIME...MOT...LOC 0030Z 236DEG 25KT 3633 9856 3613 9861

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

MDU

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
734 PM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026

OKZ005-006-270100-
Alfalfa OK-Woods OK-
734 PM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern Woods
and northwestern Alfalfa Counties through 800 PM CDT...

At 734 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 4
miles northeast of Capron, moving northeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Capron.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3700 9836 3686 9850 3692 9867 3700 9866
TIME...MOT...LOC 0034Z 213DEG 17KT 3694 9853

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

MDU

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Norman OK
736 PM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     1 W Garber              36.43N 97.61W
06/26/2026                   Garfield           OK   Emergency Mngr

            Large tree uprooted.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Norman OK
747 PM CDT Fri Jun 26 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0729 PM     Hail             3 W Kildare             36.80N 97.10W
06/26/2026  M1.00 Inch       Kay                OK   Public

            Report from mPING: Quarter (1.00 in.).

&&